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It’s been nearly 20 months since Neil Young pulled his music off Spotify and, according to Billboard’s estimate, the move has cost him about $300,000 so far in lost recorded music and publishing royalties.
On Jan. 24, 2022, the singer-songwriter gave the streaming company an ultimatum: “You can have Rogan or Young. Not both.” Young blamed Rogan and his Spotify-exclusive podcast, The Joe Rogan Experience, for spreading “fake information about vaccines” and putting the public’s health at risk. Spotify acquiesced a few days later and removed Young’s catalog from its platform.
Other artists in Young’s circle of friends, such as Joni Mitchell and Nils Lofgren, also requested that Spotify remove their music from the platform — and remain off to this day. But Young’s absence leaves the largest hole in Spotify’s catalog: 45 studio albums, two EPs and 12 live albums as a solo artist and with his band Crazy Horse, plus compilations and soundtracks, that includes such rock classics as “Cinnamon Girl,” “Heart of Gold” and “Rockin’ in a Free World.”
Young’s open letter and demand for removal from Spotify attracted worldwide media attention and caused a brief spike in streams, but his departure from the platform at the end of January 2022 created an immediate decline in his average stream rate — and it hasn’t rebounded since, according to Luminate data. From 2021 to Sept. 21, 2023, Young’s average weekly global on-demand audio streams declined 32% from 10.5 million to 7.1 million. The actual loss is deeper considering that weekly on-demand audio streams in the U.S., Young’s largest market, increased 25% over that period.
The impact of Young’s Spotify pullout isn’t much for an artist of his stature and net worth, but it’s not nothing, either. Each month Young is away from Spotify, he loses about $16,000 in royalties from both his record label and his music publishing, according to Billboard analysis of Luminate data.
In nearly 20 months, Young’s absence has cost him about 273 million on-demand audio streams. The gross amount of lost royalties during Young’s Spotify absence totals roughly $1.3 million. Billboard estimates that Young’s labels, Warner Music Group’s Reprise Records and Universal Music Group’s Geffen Records, have lost approximately $1 million in gross revenues, from which Young receives a royalty. Young’s gross publishing revenue has fallen about $270,000. Young sold 50% of his publishing rights to Hipgnosis Songs Fund in 2021.
Sales of Young’s music in the U.S. have dropped, too, although whether his absence from Spotify played a role is unknown. So far in 2023, Young has sold about 25% fewer albums per week than compared to 2021; 2022’s weekly average was 9% below 2021 levels. Physical album sales, which outnumber digital album sales nearly eight-to-one for Young, are down 24% from 2021 to 2023. This year, weekly digital album sales are off 29% from 2021 (they increased 3% in 2022). Young’s weekly digital track sales have fallen by 35% from 2021 to 2023.
The cumulative effect of the sales slowdowns amounted to 59,000 fewer album sales and 54,000 fewer track sales over nearly 20 months. (Luminate does not track the Neil Young Archive, an online subscription service that provides access to a vast catalog of Young’s audio and video, but in October 2019 Wired reported it had 25,000 subscribers with a goal to reach 40,000 paying $1.99 a month.)
There’s much more to Young’s career than Spotify, though, and plenty of other ways for him and his rights holders to earn off his music. In the last 18 months, for example, Young’s music has been used in over 75 TV and film synchs, according to a person with knowledge of the songwriter’s business. These have included the NBC series “This Is Us” (Jill Andrews’ cover of “Only Love Can Break Your Heart”), the AMC series “Dark Winds” (Young’s recording of “Birds”), the Hulu series “Poker Face” (Young’s recording of “Walk On”), “The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon” (the band’s performance of “Old Man”) and “Sunday Night Football” (Beck’s cover of “Old Man”).
One place you won’t see Young’s music is advertisements. Young is famously opposed to using his music to sell products and advertise corporate brands. Young encapsulated his distaste for putting music in advertisements in his 1989 song “This Note’s For You” — a take on a Budweiser ad slogan from the era, “This Bud’s For You.” “Ain’t singing’ for Pepsi, ain’t singing for Coke,” Young sang in the album’s title track. “I don’t sing for nobody, makes me look like a joke.” The song’s video stirred up controversy — and was initially banned from MTV — for its mocking depiction of a 1984 Pepsi commercial shoot during which pyrotechnics set Michael Jackson’s hair caught fire.
Surely, Young has lost untold millions of dollars over his career in potential ad sales and endorsement deals. But as an artist who’s always clearly voiced his principals and stood by them, he’s long made it clear money is not his first priority.
Warner Music Group CEO Robert Kyncl has a message for a music industry facing disruption from artificial intelligence that’s often likened to the rise of file-sharing a quarter century ago: “You have to embrace technology, because it’s not like you can put technology in a bottle,” he said during an onstage interview at the Code […]
For some music companies, 2022 was the payoff for weathering the darkest days of the COVID-19 pandemic. When business returned that year — sometimes in record-setting fashion — these companies rewarded their executives handsomely, according to Billboard’s 2022 Executive Money Makers breakdown of stock ownership and compensation. But shareholders, as well as two investment advisory groups, contend the compensation for top executives at Live Nation and Universal Music Group (UMG) is excessive.
Live Nation, the world’s largest concert promotion and ticketing company, rebounded from revenue of $1.9 billion and $6.3 billion in 2020 and 2021, respectively, to a record $16.7 billion in 2022. That performance helped make its top two executives, president/CEO Michael Rapino and president/CFO Joe Berchtold, the best paid music executives of 2022. In total, Rapino received a pay package worth $139 million, while Berchtold earned $52.4 million. Rapino’s new employment contract includes an award of performance shares targeted at 1.1 million shares and roughly 334,000 shares of restricted stock that will fully pay off if the company hits aggressive growth targets and the stock price doubles in five years.
Live Nation explained in its 2023 proxy statement that its compensation program took into account management’s “strong leadership decisions” in 2020 and 2021 that put the company on a path to record revenue in 2022. Compared with 2019 — the last full year unaffected by the COVID-19 pandemic — concert attendance was up 24%, ticketing revenue grew 45%, sponsorships and advertising revenue improved 64%, and ancillary per-fan spending was up at least 20% across all major venue types. Importantly, Live Nation reached 127% of its target adjusted operating income, to which executives’ cash bonuses were tied.
The bulk of Rapino’s and Berchtold’s compensation came from stock awards — $116.7 million for Rapino and $37.1 million for Berchtold — on top of relatively modest base salaries. Both received a $6 million signing bonus for reupping their employment contracts in 2022. (Story continues after charts.)
Lucian Grainge, the top-paid music executive in 2021, came in third in 2022 with total compensation of 47.3 million euros ($49.7 million). Unlike the other executives on this year’s list, he wasn’t given large stock awards or stock options. Instead, Grainge, who has been CEO of UMG since 2010, was given a performance bonus of 28.8 million euros ($30.3 million) in addition to a salary of 15.4 million euros ($16.2 million) — by far the largest of any music executive.
This year, shareholders have shown little appetite for some entertainment executives’ pay packages — most notably Netflix — and Live Nation’s compensation raised flags at two influential shareholder advisory groups, Institutional Shareholder Services and Glass Lewis, which both recommended that Live Nation shareholders vote “no” in an advisory “say on pay” vote during the company’s annual meeting on June 9. Shareholders did just that, voting against executives’ pay packages by a 53-to-47 margin.
Failed “say on pay” votes are rare amongst United States corporations. Through Aug. 17, just 2.1% of Russell 3000 companies and 2.3% of S&P 500 companies have received less than 50% votes on executive compensation, according to executive compensation consultancy Semler Brossy. (Live Nation is in both indexes.) About 93% of companies received at least 70% shareholder approval.
ISS was concerned that the stock grants given to Rapino and Berchtold were “multiple times larger” than total CEO pay in peer group companies and were not adequately linked to achieving sustained higher stock prices. Additionally, ISS thought Live Nation did not adequately explain the rationale behind the grants.
To determine what Rapino, Berchtold and other executives should earn, Live Nation’s compensation committee referenced high-earning executives from Netflix, Universal Music Group, SiriusXM, Spotify, Endeavor Group Holdings, Fox Corporation, Warner Bros. Discovery, Inc. and Paramount Global. Netflix co-CEOs Reed Hastings and Ted Sarandos were paid $51.1 million and $50.3 million, respectively, in 2022. Warner Bros. Discovery CEO David Zaslov made $39.3 million in 2022 — including a $21.8 million cash bonus — a year after his pay totaled $246.6 million, including $202.9 million in stock option awards that will vest over his six-year employment contract. Endeavor CEO Ari Emanuel and executive chairman Patrick Whitesell received pay packages worth $308.2 million and $123.1 million, respectively, in 2021 thanks to equity awards tied to the company’s IPO that year (the received more modest pay of $19 million and $12.2 million in 2022).
Some companies in the peer group didn’t fare well in “say on pay” votes in 2023, though. Netflix, got only 29% shareholder approval in this year’s say-on-pay advisory vote after Hastings’ and Sarandos’ compensations both increased from higher stock option awards while the company’s stock price, riding high as COVID-19 lockdowns drove investors to streaming stocks, fell 51% in 2022. Warner Bros. Discovery’s 2022 compensation squeaked by with 51% shareholder approval.
Minutes from UMG’s 2023 annual general meeting in May suggest many of its shareholders also didn’t approve of Grainge’s compensation. UMG’s 2022 compensation was approved by just 59% of shareholders, and the company’s four largest shareholders own 58.1% of outstanding shares, meaning virtually no minority shareholders voted in favor.
UMG shareholders’ votes could be meaningfully different next year. Anna Jones, chairman of the music company’s remuneration committee, said during the annual meeting that in 2024, shareholders will vote on a pay package related to Grainge’s new employment agreement that takes minority shareholders’ concerns from the 2022 annual meeting into consideration. Grainge’s contract lowers his cash compensation, and more than half of his total compensation will come from stock and performance-based stock options.
Other companies in Live Nation’s peer group received near unanimous shareholder approval. SiriusXM’s 2022 executive compensation received 98.5% approval at the company’s annual meeting. Paramount Global’s executive compensation was approved by 96.4% of its shareholders. Endeavor didn’t have a “say on pay” vote in 2023, but a year ago, it’s sizable 2021 compensation packages were approved by 99% of voting shareholders.
As the radio industry came back from pandemic-era doldrums, two iHeartMedia executives — Bob Pittman, CEO, and Richard Bressler, president, CFO and COO — were among the top 10 best-paid executives in the music industry. It was new employment contracts, not iHeartMedia’s financial performance, that put them into the top 10, however. Both executives received performance stock awards — $6.5 million for Pittman and $6 million for Bressler — for signing new four-year employment contracts in 2022. Those shares will be earned over a five-year period based on the performance of the stock’s shareholder return. Neither Pittman nor Bressler received a payout from the annual incentive plan, however: iHeartMedia missed the financial targets that would have paid them millions of dollars apiece. Still, with salaries and other stock awards, Pittman and Bressler received pay packages valued at $16.3 million and $15.5 million, respectively.
Spotify co-founders Daniel Ek and Martin Lorentzon once again topped the list of largest stockholdings in public music companies. Ek’s 15.9% stake is worth nearly $4.8 billion while Lorentzon’s 11.2% stake has a market value of nearly $3.4 billion. Both Ek and Lorentzon have benefitted from Spotify’s share price more than doubling so far in 2023. In September 2022, the inaugural Money Makers list had Ek’s stake at $3.6 billion and Lorentzon’s shares at $2.3 billion.
The billionaire club also includes No. 3 HYBE chairman Bang Si-hyuk, whose 31.8% of outstanding shares are worth $2.54 billion, and No. 4 CTS Eventim CEO Klaus-Peter Schulenberg, whose 38.8% stake — held indirectly through his KPS Foundation non-profit — is worth $2.25 billion. They, too, have benefitted from higher share prices in 2023. Last year, Bang’s stake was worth $1.7 billion and Schulenberg’s shares were valued at $2.1 billion.
These top four shareholders and three others in the top 10 have one important thing in common — they are company founders. At No. 5, Park Jin-young, founder of K-pop company JYP Entertainment, owns a $559 million stake in the label and agency he launched in 1997. Another K-pop mogul, No. 8 Hyunsuk Yang, chairman of YG Entertainment, owns shares worth $199 million in the company he founded in 1996. And No. 9 Denis Ladegaillerie, CEO of 18-year-old French music company Believe, has a 12.5% stake worth $112.7 million.
Live Nation’s Rapino again landed in the top 10 for amassing a stockholding over a lengthy career, during which he has helped significantly increase his company’s value. Rapino, the only CEO Live Nation has ever known, took the helm in 2005 just months before the company was spun off from Clear Channel Entertainment with a market capitalization of $692 million. Since then, Live Nation’s market capitalization has grown at over 20% compound annual growth rate to $19.1 billion. Rapino’s 3.46 million shares represent a 1.5% stake worth $291 million.
Selling a company that one founded is another way onto the list. Scooter Braun, CEO of HYBE America, has a 0.9% stake in HYBE worth $69.8 million. That’s good for No. 10 on the list of executive stock ownership. Braun, HYBE’s second-largest individual shareholder behind chairman Bang, sold his company, Ithaca Holdings — including SB Projects and Big Machine Label Group — to HYBE in 2021 for $1.1 billion.
These rankings are based on publicly available financial statements and filings — such as proxy statements, annual reports and Form 4 filings that reveal employees’ recent stock transactions — that publicly traded companies are required by law to file for transparency to investors. So, the list includes executives from Live Nation but not its largest competitor, the privately held AEG Live.
Some major music companies are excluded because they are not standalone entities. Conglomerates that break out the financial performance of their music companies — e.g., Sony Corp. (owner of Sony Music Entertainment) and Bertelsmann (owner of BMG) — don’t disclose compensation details for heads of record labels and music publishers. Important digital platforms such as Apple Music and Amazon Music are relatively small parts of much larger corporations.
The Money Makers executive compensation table includes only the named executive officers: the CEO, the CFO and the next most highly paid executives. While securities laws vary by country, they generally require public companies to named executive officers’ salary, bonuses, stock awards and stock option grants and the value of benefits such as private airplane access and security.
And while Billboard tracked the compensation of every named executive for publicly traded music companies, the top 10 reflects two facts: The largest companies tend to have the largest pay packages and companies within the United States tend to pay better than companies in other countries.
The list of stock ownership is also taken from public disclosures. The amounts include common stock owned directly or indirectly by the executive. The list does not include former executives — such as former Warner Music Group CEO Stephen Cooper — who are no longer employed at the company and no longer required to disclose stock transactions.
BERLIN — After introducing himself in German — a daring act for a foreigner — Warner Music Group CEO Robert Kyncl said a few words about why he was so excited to be at the opening of the company’s new Berlin office. “The world is noisier than ever,” he said, just as the roar of nearby S-Bahn made it so, but there was considerable excitement about the music coming out of Germany. He shared one example: “Komet,” a recent hit by veteran rock artist Udo Lindenberg and rapper Apache 207 that has broken chart records.
While the German music business has historically been divided among its major cities, Berlin is emerging as the country’s music capital, and although Warner’s German headquarters will remain in Hamburg, it celebrated the opening of its new Berlin office with a big party. (The new office is for both Warner Music Central Europe and Warner Chappell Music Germany.) Next week, during the Reeperbahn Festival, the company will have a second “hauswarming” party at its remodeled Hamburg offices.
“We see this new space, alongside our revitalised Hamburg headquarters, as a sign of our commitment to local players in the creative and cultural scene,” said Doreen Schimk, co-president of Warner Music Central Europe, who spoke in German. “It shows the importance of Berlin as a European metropolis and a location for the music industry.”
Fabian Drebes, also co-president of Warner Music Central Europe, spoke about how the new building would serve as a “new creative hub with possibilities for events, concerts and more to support our national and international artists.”
Lars Karlsson, Managing Director Warner Chappell Music GSA & Nordics, Doreen Schimk, Co-President Warner Music Central Europe, Natascha Augustin, Vice President Warner Chappell Music Germany, Fabian Drebes, Co-President Warner Music Central Europe
Doering Agency
Warner occupies the top floor of the Schicklerhaus, a late-19th-century building near the Jannowitzbrücke S-Bahn stop, a block from the River Spree, not far from where the Berlin Wall once divided the city. These days, it’s about a mile from AEG’s Mercedes-Benz Arena. It’s a sleek, modern office, with prime roof space that overlooks the river. As about 500 partygoers mingled on the roof and a terrace, a drone hovered overhead taking photos. German artists attending included Peter Schilling, Katja Krasavice, and Shirin David.
“The music industry is of increasing importance for Berlin,” said Franziska Giffey, a deputy mayor for business, energy and labor. Speaking in what she called “Berlinish” — a mix of German and English that’s increasingly popular in a city filled with newcomers from all over the world – she said that music business jobs increased by 700 to about 6,800 this year, and that Warner would add another 150.
“Without the scene of such a vibrant city, we wouldn’t be the No. 1 publisher,” said Natascha Augustin, vp of Warner Chappell Music Germany. Warner Chappell leads the German music publishing business partly because of Augustin and her signings in German hip-hop. She told a story about starting out with a small Berlin office, moving to a slightly bigger one, and ending up here.
“Berlin,” said Lars Karlsson, managing director of Warner Chappell Music Germany, Switzerland and Austria, and Scandinavia, “is one of the most important cultural cities in the world.”
As the world continues to adjust to different types of “new normal” following the generational disruption of the COVID-19 pandemic of the past few years, Warner Music Group CEO Robert Kyncl outlined a new policy for the major label requiring employees to return to the office four times a week, while expanding free lunches and […]
Warner Music Group reported quarterly revenue was up 9% as of mid-year, as the third-largest U.S.-based music company beat Wall Street estimates for revenue and profit on big album releases by Ed Sheeran, Melanie Martinez others.
WMG reported revenue for its fiscal third quarter ending June 30 rose to $1.56 billion — analysts had expected $1.47 billion — driven by strong releases and a 15.5% uptick in music publishing revenue of $283 million. Streaming revenue rose by 9.5% overall and digital revenue was up 8.8% to $1.03 billion compared to the year ago quarter. Net profit edged slightly lower to $124 million from $125 million a year ago but still beat analysts’ expectations.
“We had a great release slate with lots of momentum and success, but at the same time our catalog has also delivered,” WMG Chief Executive Robert Kyncl said on a call with analysts. “We are firing on both engines.”
WMG’s stock was up 8% by mid-day trading in New York.
Executives said the current quarter is off to a good start with major releases from Lil Uzi Vert, Dua Lipa and the Barbie movie soundtrack, and upcoming releases from Zach Bryan and Charlie Puth.
“Our results show we’re gaining real traction,” Kyncl said, adding that as price increases from Spotify, YouTube and others filter in to WMG’s financials this quarter, the company can expect continued strength.
“We see these initial price increases as an encouraging start,” Kyncl said. “There’s no evidence that the services are experiencing elevated levels of customer churn. We believe the market will bear further price increases in the future, and we’re expecting that they’ll arrive on a more regular cadence than in the past. “
The growth in music publishing revenues was driven by a 26.4% uptick in digital revenue and 27.1% increase in streaming revenue, reflecting the impact of digital deal renewals and a revenue true-up of $9 million from the CRB. Mechanical revenue spike about 45% primarily due to a higher share of physical sales in the quarter.
Recorded revenue rose 7.8%, bolstered by a 5.6% increase in digital revenue and a 6.3% increase in streaming revenue on the stronger release schedule and growth in ad-supported revenue.
WMG prefers to use operating income before depreciation and amortization (OIBDA) as a metric to assess its overal business health, and OIBDA increased 18% to $275 million in the quarter compaired to $233 million a year ago. Adjusted OIBDA rose 16% to $297 million from $255 million a year ago.
Key WMG financial highlights:
Total revenue rose 9% to $1.56 billion for the second quarter 2023, from $1.43 billion in the same quarter 2022.
Net profit, or net income, was flat at $124 million this quarter compared to $125 million in the year ago quarter.
Digital revenue rose 8.8% to $1.03 billion from $944 million in in the year ago quarter.
Streaming revenue rose 9.5%
Recorded music revenue rose 8% to $1.28 billion from $1.19 billion in the year ago quarter.
Music publishing revenue rose 16% to $283 million from $245 million in the year ago quarter.
Operating income was up 29% to $189 million from $146 million in the year ago quarter.
OIBDA was up 18% to $275 million compared to $233 million in the year ago quarter, with OIBIDA margin of 17.6%, up from 16.3%.
In the two years that Cat Kreidich has served as president of Warner Music Group’s distribution company ADA Worldwide, she has focused on one overarching theme: reinvention.
The music industry veteran has spent the majority of her career in the distribution business. She first worked first at Caroline, then ADA, then at Sony’s The Orchard — where she spent eight years — before shifting to Sony’s catalog division for a little over a year in 2019. But when she returned to ADA as executive vp at the end of 2020, “It was invigorating,” she says, sitting in her office at WMG’s Manhattan headquarters. “I hadn’t expected to come back to ADA, but it makes perfect sense because the culture at Warner is very entrepreneurial. So coming back, to me, was an opportunity to make an impact on a company that I truly cared about.”
At the time, the distribution space was exploding. Consolidation, streaming and new players coming into the space were upending the status quo, and the business was moving faster, and with more volume, than ever before. ADA had a few specific challenges facing it in this new environment: a third-party company that handled its tech; a blurred line between ADA and Warner Music Group that made it sometimes unclear how services were handled; and the implosion of Direct Shot Distributing after Warner and ADA had shifted its physical business to the company — leading to supply-chain issues for vinyl and CDs even before the pandemic made that a larger issue.
Kreidich had spent eight years at The Orchard building its commercial insights team, integrating tech into how the company was expanding and parsing data to help optimize commercialization for the company’s label partners. So when it came to the issues that faced ADA upon her return, she had experience in addressing the problems. But just a few months into her tenure came another change: ADA’s then-president, Eliah Seton — whom she calls “a great advocate for me” — announced he was leaving the company. Just five months after coming in as executive vp, Kreidich became president of ADA.
Following that, Kreidich embarked on an overhaul of the company’s executive structure, bringing in a team she calls “the Avengers of Distribution.” That included Samantha Moore, who heads business operations and development; Adriana Sein, who oversees artist and market development globally; Cathy Bauer, who runs physical sales and marketing; Andrea Slobodien, ADA’s first-ever head of product and integration; and MaryLynne Drexler, who oversees business and legal affairs, among several others.
“We were really specific on how we were thinking about the kind of expertise that we wanted to be in the building,” Kreidich says. “And a lot of us are here because we believe that we can do it better [than the competition], and that opportunity to have that voice feels good.”
Now, after two years of reinvention, Kreidich has the team in place to continue to fine-tune ADA as a leader in the global distribution business, which is expanding by the day. The company has launched offices in Canada, Latin America, Japan and across Europe, among others, while WMG has acquired distributors Qanawat in the Middle East and Africori in Africa to further expand their distribution offerings there, too. “At Warner, we want to have an environment where creatives, entrepreneurs and artists at every stage in their career can thrive — where there are as many different avenues as possible into the WMG ecosystem,” says Warner Recorded Music CEO Max Lousada. “What Cat and the team at ADA are doing is an essential part of our ability to partner with the full spectrum of talent. She’s relentless in her passion for the indie community and her mission to empower ADA-supported artists and labels.”
Now, as ADA celebrates its 30th anniversary this month, Kreidich speaks to Billboard about the company’s reinvention over the past two years, what a distributor can offer in the current music business and ADA’s new brand. “I’m really proud of that and the work we’ve done because I think it really nails who we are now,” she says. “I believe in the culture and I have a real soft spot in my heart for it. So I’m happy to celebrate it.”
You’ve worked at Universal, EMI, Warner, Sony and now Warner again. What were some of the things you picked up at each of those places along the way?
I started my career at Universal Motown and then went on to Virgin, and the reason why I ended up at Caroline was because of the passion for the music and the labels. My passion was always to work with the music that I loved and identified with, so I think a big part of being at each of those places was really understanding culture and the culture of representing music from a lot of different backgrounds and styles. And I think the meaning that that has — when people come together to unite for independence and music that they actually care about in a very personal way, not just a professional way — is one of the biggest things I learned and I wanted to be around and create wherever I continued my career.
I certainly thought many times of diversifying, but I always came back to the landscape of independent labels and artists. And I think that landscape has changed dramatically over the years, and the needs have changed. So the other thing I learned was really that value for a client or a label or a partner doesn’t always look the same in distribution, and many times labels are so busy running their businesses that they don’t necessarily have time to stop and ask you what your value is. So it’s being able to creatively come up with different ways to look at the business, or different ways that a label might have not considered.
You came back to ADA at the end of 2020. What were those first couple months back like?
The first thing I did was come in and interview over 40 people in the organization, mostly at ADA, some at Warner, and asked them the same 10 questions. They were generally, “How do you feel about the business? What would labels say about us?” And then I gathered all of those answers and created a presentation for Eliah. Because I knew how I felt about the business, but I also really wanted to understand how people felt about the business, because I didn’t want to make assumptions. And I think that was a really powerful thing to do, and I think it also helped me to come back to ADA authentically and genuinely; I wasn’t just trying to come here and make it The Orchard, I was truly wanting to listen and hear what were the things that we needed to solve for.
What were the conclusions from that?
There was obviously a need for process and empowerment by technology. Our technology was a third-party company that was facilitating the relationship within Warner, so that sometimes [we] just didn’t talk to each other, as third-party companies do. There was also a need for us to differentiate what it is what we do as ADA and what it is Warner does. Having run commercial teams for most of my career, it was always something that people would talk about — “ADA uses Warner to pitch” — and that wasn’t necessarily the truth. But there were things that we needed to do better together and things that we needed to do on our own, and during that time what came out of those talks was, “We need to figure out where the lines were, and then reorient those lines to make the relationships better and more clear.”
You’ve spoken a few times that once you took over as president, you embarked on a “reinvention” of ADA. Why did it need one and how did you implement it?
Warner had not made the same tech investments or acquisitions that the other majors did. They had been growing their [distribution] business as it was in this very shared service mentality that had worked for a while, and I think there was an opportunity clearly to take advantage of more and more music in small corners of the world as more and more DSPs were saturating markets with subscriptions. So it was really about three things for me. It was about being an indie advocate — that education, that understanding and helping to define what it is we do and what it is Warner does with us. It was also bringing in a skill set that was different from what I had seen at other distribution companies.
And one thing I noticed throughout my career was always, labels, managers and artists want to have expertise, and more and more artists want to own their own rights and be in control of their businesses. And that expertise to understand how other people are doing things, especially around audience development, actionable commercial insights, whether it’s growing an artist or helping with travel or breaking an artist in other countries and bringing them back — that skillset of marketing and artist development doesn’t necessarily exist in full force at tech companies, because it’s just the nature of the game.
So we were really specific about the kinds of talent we were bringing in that was going to differentiate us as we built our tech. And that was really the third thing that was most important, not only for just the idea of getting a piece of content from here to the DSP and back but also just tools and tech that would help us communicate over time zones better, help us to ignite priorities without having to email something. So I think that advocacy and audience development and marketing from a global perspective and the tech piece were the three big things we were changing.
You had gone to work at Sony’s catalog division — then a pandemic happened, and you then came back to distribution. A lot of things changed in a very short amount of time. What did you feel like had to change here because of how many things in the industry had shifted?
The great thing is that ADA is a music company. But ADA needs to be empowered by those tools and technologies that allow communication to happen easily. You can do your business with a carrier pigeon, a rotary telephone and a Yahoo email address — you could get it done — but the truth is, if you don’t have to think about those things, there’s so much more you can do. And let’s face it: we are at a point in the evolution of music formats where there’s so much volume, [thousands of] new tracks are being uploaded, social media is ubiquitous. You don’t want to have to worry about whether something got there or came back or how it worked. So I think the tools, like delivery technology that works; a self-serve platform where you can find out the basic information so that when you’re getting on the phone with somebody you’re talking about things that matter; having the strengths and the ability to talk about artist development and commercial insights and data and how things are flowing — if you have those, then you have a really competitive organization.
You also focused a lot on global expansion and having representation in both emerging and new markets, but also places like Latin America. How did you prioritize all these things?
I’ll give credit to Alfonso [Perez-Soto], who is the emerging markets leader and is a tremendous business development person inside of Warner. That track was already full-blown and a part of Warner’s larger strategy. But the truth is that in places like the Middle East and Africa, those established businesses don’t exist from a record label standpoint, so investing in distribution companies that could develop over time was really a part of that strategy. For us, first and foremost, credit to Eliah — he was able to garner a budget way before I got here and really broke the ice and started bringing people in, and Latin America was obviously really relevant in the sector, and that was a territory he really doubled down in. So we have a significant amount of people in Latin America that are ADA and distribution-focused.
But then I would say what was most important with Alfonso was we acquired Qanawat, we acquired Africori, and there’s many more to come that have not been announced yet that we’re currently working on. Once you’re looking at acquiring companies, then you’re looking at prioritizing what’s going to be most important and most impactful when it comes to market share, what are the feature sets we have to build to make sure we’re giving these labels an equal if not better level of service than they’re already receiving, because it’s distribution deals — they can walk away. So for us, the experience we brought in, it was about understanding what we could ingest the quickest, and what was going to make the most impact. But as far as the acquisitions, they were really part of the larger Warner strategy, though they are the ADA teams.
As you guys continue to expand, what are the challenges and potential pitfalls?
I think the biggest challenge is that there is a lot of competition out there, and it’s hard to compete with rates and advances. There’s a lot of money being thrown around in the distribution market, because there’s venture capital companies, there’s a lot of tourists. So I think that the challenge of growing our business, being a successful distribution company globally and also in the U.S., is making sure that we’re doing smart deals and building our business and delivering value.
I also think ADA is back and revitalized and has a new perspective, especially in the U.S. business, and I think that’s new to people. And reintroducing ourselves and letting people know what we’re doing is best done through our successes. In places around the world we’ve hired some really amazing teams, and it feels different and cool and new because ADA didn’t always really exist in all these territories. And in the U.S., it’s more of an education process because there’s so much competition and because, you know, distribution — it’s the hot new thing. For me, I guess, I’m here because I’ve always loved it.
It’s interesting you brought it up in that way, because I feel like you hear that a lot in the catalog acquisition space — there’s outside money coming in, there are companies coming in that don’t have track records in the music business — I hadn’t thought about the parallels here, too.
And all of that is about to become independent. All of these companies buying music catalogs, they have to put them somewhere, and a lot of them are buying rights that haven’t reverted yet. So those catalogs are now moving around. There’s going to be even more infusion, and I think that there’s a real opportunity. I’m very happy for my experience at Sony catalog, because working catalog is not easy, and I’m hoping that there’s an opportunity for us to continue thinking about tools and tech that can optimize catalogs. Because catalog is more important than it ever was before, and you never know when it’s coming; you have to be proactively reactive. And it’s going to be an opportunity.
What do you look for in bringing on new label partners?
I think the most important thing that we look for is the ability to partner both ways. When we first started, it was really the idea of, “How can we use each other as strengths?” Because when it’s a one-way relationship, okay, it’s transactional and we’re a distributor and you’re a label. Value comes differently for every partner. But I think one of the biggest things is a label wants to know that you’re paying attention and are able to think of opportunity either before or maybe in a different place than they would think about opportunity. We try to be very strategic yet tactical when we do business reviews, and we leave it up to three to five key things that we have to do and be able to measure those things. So of course there’s planning and proactiveness that you can do. But there’s nothing better than getting a call from your distributor and them saying, “Oh my god, I just saw a spike, let’s do this.”
You’ve been president for two years now. When you look back, what are you most proud of in that time?
First of all my team. Bringing in the executives I have is probably the biggest highlight, and empowering them. Also launching Co-Op, which is our proprietary product for third-party labels and artists, which we launched in October. No small feat. And overall I would say the successes that we’ve been able to generate with Quevedo and Central Cee. We just had a No. 1 in India with the Sean Paul–Shaggy–Spice track [“Go Down Deh,”] that literally came from us seeing a spark and starting to work it locally. We just had a No. 1 with Ayliva in Germany that beat out Miley Cyrus. So we definitely have these big wins and I hope to have many more to talk about in the future, but it honestly couldn’t happen without the team that I brought in and the relationships that we created with the ADA folks that have been here before and the new folks that have come in. And I’m really looking forward to holding a global conference and getting everybody together. Being able to be together and appreciate that is what I hope to do for the entire organization.
Warner Music Group executive Ernst Trapp is stepping down from his dual role of president of global e-commerce, retail and licensing at the label group, and as CEO of specialty online retailer EMP at the end of the month. “Now is the right time for me to move on and pursue new opportunities,” Trapp said. […]
Warner Music Group executive vp/CFO Eric Levin reiterated the label’s call for streaming services to raise their prices while speaking at a conference hosted by JP Morgan Chase & Co on Monday (May 22).
Levin, who worked at HBO between 1988 and 2002, told the group of investors and Wall Street analysts that, unlike streaming services, the cable network almost annually raised prices during that period because the company knew customers wanted its content enough to pay a premium.
“I think and I am hopeful now that much of the [streaming] industry has done a round of rate increases successfully…that they start to understand that the industry can bear it,” Levin said.
Levin’s comments echo WMG CEO Robert Kyncl‘s previous call to streaming company hold-outs to raise prices, delivered during a wide-ranging presentation in March that touched on WMG’s growth strategy if streaming growth slows as well as its light release schedule in the first two quarters.
An increase in music streaming revenue, the main driver behind WMG and other major music companies’ double-digit growth in recent years, is expected to decline from 10% growth in 2024 to 3% growth in 2029, according to a recent presentation by MIDiA Research. That projection, which is far gloomier than Goldman’s forecast for a 12% compound annual growth rate for streaming revenue until 2030, prompted several questions to Levin about WMG’s streaming revenue expectations and how it may grow even if the streaming engine slows.
“We still have a lot of conviction that streaming has a lot of growth,” Levin said while noting that growth may come from a series of drivers.
“When we went public three-ish years ago, our growth story really revolved around subscription streaming,” he said. “Now … it includes ad-supported streaming [and] emerging [sources] of streaming, social, fitness, gaming, etc. So the facets of growth have really diversified.”
The industry has seen steady growth in subscription streaming since roughly 2015, and growth in that area remains present in all economic forecasts, Levin added.
Other revenue drivers like ad-supported streaming, he continued, are more impacted by “cyclicality based on slowdowns when the economy slows and rapid recovery when the economy is solid.”
Emerging sources of streaming revenue, such as from social media and short-form video apps, have significant growth potential, Levin said, because “you have potential for multiple products per person in a home — people have multiple social media accounts in one home.”
This month, WMG reported its second straight quarter of basically flat recorded music revenue, driven by a slower first half of the year for music releases. Recorded music streaming revenue declined nearly half a percent from the prior year due to the light release schedule.
Pressed to provide greater detail around why the company is experiencing a modest release slate this year, Levin said the May 5 release of Ed Sheeran‘s – (pronounced Subtract) is expected to be the first in a slate of upcoming releases by prominent artists — and indeed, the company is already showing signs of a second-half rebound. Still, he acknowledged WMG has lost ground to its competitors.
“We lost a little bit of momentum, but we fully expect to get it back,” Levin said.
Warner Music Group’s share price fell nearly 10% on Tuesday (May 9) following the release of the company’s second quarter earnings report, which showed that revenue from the recorded music division was effectively flat over last year ($1.143 billion vs. $1.147 billion in the year-ago quarter).
On Tuesday, Warner’s stock fell from $28.50 at the start of the day to $25.76 at the market’s close — a 9.58% drop.
This marks the second straight quarter of disappointing results in recorded music for Warner, the world’s third-largest label. Last quarter, revenue in the division fell 10.6%, or 5.6% in constant currency, on lower digital, physical and artist services and expanded rights revenue.
In the current quarter, streaming revenue was down 0.4% (or, in constant currency 2.2% higher) on fewer releases and a slowdown in ad-supported revenue due to macroeconomic uncertainty. By contrast, music publishing revenue grew 12% to $257 million, up from $230 million a year ago.
“While our publishing was best in class, we underperformed in recorded music,” said CEO Robert Kyncl on an earnings call Tuesday.
In attempts to bolster confidence, WMG executives on the call stressed that the company is already seeing improvement with the late-April releases of Jack Harlow’s Jackman., Tïesto’s Drive and Ed Sheeran’s Subtract, which was released earlier this month. CFO Eric Levin noted that the label’s release slate “was a little lighter in the first two quarters of the year and will be weighted to (the third quarter) and (the fourth quarter),” with upcoming releases expected from Dua Lipa‘s Barbie soundtrack, among others.
“We absolutely expect this to improve our results in recorded music streaming in the second half of the year,” Levin added.
Nonetheless, investors appear to be growing skittish over the lackluster performance. Tuesday’s closing price marked a sharp drop of nearly 20% of Warner’s stock over the past month, with the share price falling from $32.12 on April 10.