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In a New Year letter to staff in January, Warner Music Group CEO Robert Kyncl said the company needed to offer better services to the “middle class of artists,” an area being feverishly pursued by his major-label competitors, as well as a handful of independent distribution companies.  
This week, WMG revealed it is interested in acquiring French company Believe, which owns a large label services business, digital distributor TuneCore, publishing administration service Sentric and a stable of record labels including Naïve, Nuclear Blast and Groove Attack. WMG said it is willing to pay “at least” 17 euros ($18.60) per share, a premium to the 15 euros ($16.41) per share offered by a consortium led by Believe CEO Denis Ladegaillerie and investment funds EQT and TCV. WMG’s bid values Believe at roughly 1.65 billion euros ($1.8 billion). 

WMG’s interest in Believe doesn’t come as a surprise. The middle class of artists Kyncl referenced wants alternatives to traditional recording and publishing deals — and WMG needs the tools to give those artists what they want. 

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While WMG can likely bring greater value to Believe’s assets as well, a Believe deal “solves a real stack problem for [WMG],” says Matt Pincus, founder and CEO of MUSIC, a venture with investment bank Liontree. A full “stack” — a tech term that refers to all the technologies and skills required for a project — would allow WMG to serve a more complete range of artists. Presently, WMG’s product offering is missing a distributor for self-published artists, says Pincus, that provides a level of artist services between a do-it-yourself distribution deal and a record label contract. That would augment WMG’s ADA, which distributes indie labels, and create a funnel to bring rising artists into WMG’s system.  

Kyncl need only look at how his competitors are serving middle-class artists. Following the rise of iTunes, some independent distributors were eventually acquired by other major labels that wanted to distribute music on a greater scale. Sony Music has The Orchard, a digital distributor acquired in 2015, and AWAL, an artist-development company acquired from Kobalt in 2022. Universal Music Group acquired digital distributor Ingrooves in 2019 and folded it into its artist- and label-services division, Virgin Music Group in 2022. TuneCore, founded in 2006 to allow artists to access a new era of digital stores and services, was acquired by Believe in 2015.  

The majors’ emphasis on label services is an acknowledgement that today’s marketplace is a mix of traditional artist deals, do-it-yourself independent artists and everything in-between — distribution deals, joint ventures, licensing deals, profit-sharing arrangements and releases from independent artists backed by a major’s label services provider. Budding superstars often want independence but need the majors’ global infrastructure and expertise. “What really makes a difference in this world is to do what [CEO] Brad [Navin] and the Orchard did with the Bad Bunny record [Un Verano Sin Ti],” says Pincus. “They really helped break that record worldwide.” 

Believe would also provide WMG a publishing solution for those same independent artists. “When you consider that Believe also acquired Sentric publishing, this brings together master and publishing for many of these indie artists,” says Vickie Nauman of advisory firm CrossBorderWorks. “That also opens up opportunities for new synch licensing models that otherwise fragmented rights do not allow.” 

Geography is another aspect of Believe’s business that could be attractive to WMG. Although the majority of Believe’s revenue comes from Europe, it has employees in more than 50 countries and has a presence in fast-growing markets such as Indian — where it invested in two record labels, Venus and Think Music — and Indonesia. Approximately 27% of Believe’s total revenue in the first nine months of 2023 came from Asia-Pacific and Africa, a 17.4% increase from the prior-year period.  

Developing markets have great potential for a couple reasons, Kyncl explained Wednesday at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media and Telecom 2024 conference. In the Middle East, for example, markets that have young populations, an underdeveloped subscription market and lack collection societies “will see quite a lot of value appreciation.” Developing markets are increasingly becoming music exporters, and Kyncl believes that provides WMG with an arbitrage opportunity. “Let’s say if you have Indonesian content that’s traveling to America,” he said. “It’s a smart place to put money because it’s [going] from a low ARPU country to high ARPU streams [in a developed market].” 

An acquisition is hardly a done deal, though. To date, WMG has only expressed an interest in Believe. WMG is playing catch-up, too: The consortium attempting to take Believe private has lined up blocks representing nearly 72% of share capital — enough to “prevent a competing bidder from acquiring control,” according to Believe’s ad-hoc committee — although WMG’s higher bid could change that. An acquisition would require regulatory approval, too, and there is likely to be pushback from music companies and trade associations such as the UK-based Association of Independent Music against further industry consolidation.  

But, setting aside the potential roadblocks, WMG would be a good fit for Believe. Sony Music and UMG are both larger than WMG, already have Believe-like companies and would thus face more regulatory scrutiny. The 1.65 billion-euros ($1.8 billion) price tag is in what astronomers call the “Goldilocks zone” for habitable planets’ distance to their suns: It’s too expensive for many independent companies but affordable enough for WMG.

The minds behind acts like BTS and BLACKPINK know a thing or two about minting global stars — and Western companies are starting to take note.

One day after the debut of the newly-reconfigured Interscope Capitol Labels Group (ICLG) under chairman/CEO John Janick, the Universal Music Group’s top West Coast label exec announced more additions to his executive leadership team.
Gary Kelly, who has served as general manager/executive vp/chief revenue officer for Interscope Geffen A&M, will take on the role of GM/chief revenue officer for the new ICLG, continuing largely in the same role in the new structure. And IGA’s executive vp/head of business & legal affairs Jason Kawejsza will retain the same title in the new configuration.

Kelly and Kawejsza join ICLG vice chairman Steve Berman, COO Annie Lee and CFO Geoff Harris in the C-Suite, alongside Janick. All are longtime Interscope execs except Harris, who was previously at Capitol Music Group.

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“Gary and Jason have each been making invaluable contributions to our company for nearly 15 years, and both combine strong business acumen with an entrepreneurial mindset that will continue to be crucial to my leadership team and to ICLG’s success in the years to come,” Janick said in a statement. “I know that everyone in the company joins me in congratulating Gary and Jason on these well-earned promotions.”

The newly-formed Interscope Capitol Labels Group is the result of the major overhaul of the Universal Music Group label structure that UMG chairman/CEO Lucian Grainge first announced on Feb. 1. Under the new structure, UMG’s West Coast labels — Interscope, Geffen, A&M, Capitol, Blue Note, Priority, Verve and Motown — now fall under Janick’s purview at ICLG, while its East Coast labels — consisting mostly of Republic, Def Jam, Island and Mercury — will be overseen by Republic co-founder and CEO Monte Lipman. News of the new East Coast structure is also expected as soon as next week.

”The creation of ICLG is a milestone moment for our company,” Kelly said in a statement. “I’m thrilled to be part of John’s leadership team that will oversee our growth and evolution as we set the standard for what a modern-day music company should be. I look forward to working with everyone in the company who will utilize their best-in-class skill sets, relationships and expertise to deliver on our mission of providing artists with a home to create great music and build their global brands to reach the widest possible audience.”

Under the ICLG umbrella is a new leadership team for Capitol Music Group, with former Geffen boss Tom March as chairman/CEO and UMPG veteran Lilia Parsa as president, following the departures of prior CMG chair/CEO Michelle Jubelirer and president Arjun Pulijal. The company has been going through extensive layoffs in the past week, as IGA and Capitol formally merge together.

“I am so excited to work with John and our entire leadership team at Interscope Capitol Labels Group as we move forward and redesign the company to most effectively support our amazing artists and label partners,” Kawejsza said in a statement.

Elefant Traks, the award-winning independent Australian label and artist management company, is calling time.
Established by Kenny Sabir and a group of multicultural friends back in 1998, Elefant Traks is the “champion of the underdogs,” forged out of “activism” and a DIY mentality, explains Tim Levinson (aka Urthboy), managing director and artist manager at the Sydney hip-hop specialist.

As the music firm hit its straps, so too did its roster which has included Australian Music Prize 2013 winners Hermitude, L-Fresh The Lion, The Herd, Joelistics, Horrorshow and others.

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The independent music community took notice, announcing Elefant Traks as best independent label at the 2012 AIR Awards.

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“Just as we celebrate 26 years of independent music, we are also officially calling it a day,” comments Levinson, who has led the business since 2002, taking the helm along with members of the Herd including Kaho Cheung, Richard Tamplenizza and Dale Harrison.

“It’s sad but it’s also a cause for celebration as we look back on all the accomplishments of our artists,” Levinson continues. “So many friendships were made and relationships developed and songs were written. So many cultural stories were told.”

Elefant Traks’ ethos was then as it is now: its artists and team “didn’t want to hang around or wait for any corporation to give us permission, to do the things that we love on our own terms,” he explains.

Today, “the challenges that face artists and the businesses that revolve around them are greater than ever before,” he explains. But while the “adversities that face artists might seem insurmountable, the future will be written by those who innovate and come up with new ideas in much the same way that Elefant Traks did back in 1998.”

Staff at the indie music business include Dale Harrison (production manager), Jannah Beth (A&R, project manager), Carolina De La Piedra (A&R, artist manager) and Sofia Nicotra (communications coordinator).

Before the doors close sometime later in 2024, Elefant Traks will host a round of finale parties, details of which will be announced shortly.

Interscope Geffen A&M chairman/CEO John Janick unveiled the newly restructured ‘West Coast’ label operation for the Universal Music Group today (March 7), under the banner Interscope Capitol Labels Group, with himself retaining the title atop the new configuration. As part of the announcement, longtime IGA vice chairman Steve Berman retains his title atop the new company, overseeing things for Interscope, Geffen, A&M, Capitol, Blue Note, Priority, Verve and Motown; and IGA CFO and longtime finance veteran Annie Lee takes on the title of chief operating officer at the new ICLG.

Under the new configuration, Capitol Music Group chief financial officer Geoff Harris will become the CFO of the new company, which is the result of the major overhaul of the Universal Music Group label structure that UMG chairman/CEO Lucian Grainge first announced on Feb. 1. Under the new structure, UMG’s West Coast labels now fall under Janick’s purview, under the banner of ICLG, while its East Coast labels — consisting mostly of Republic, Def Jam, Island and Mercury — will be overseen by Republic co-founder and CEO Monte Lipman. News of the new East Coast structure is also expected soon.

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More details of the ICLG configuration are still to come, but Capitol Music Group’s new executive structure has come into focus this past month, with former Geffen boss Tom March as chairman/CEO and UMPG veteran Lilia Parsa as president, following the departures of prior CMG chair/CEO Michelle Jubelirer and president Arjun Pulijal. The company has been going through extensive layoffs in the past week, as IGA and Capitol formally merge together.

In a press release, Janick said that, in addition to Berman’s continued role overseeing the labels and the ICLG brand, Lee will work with Harris to “integrat[e] finance, operations and culture” and make sure that “ICLG runs efficiently and sustains a positive experience for its artists and teams.”

“Steve and Annie are both highly accomplished executives who have been critical to our company’s growth and success for more than two decades,” Janick said in a statement. “They have worked closely with me in redesigning ICLG to benefit and enhance each individual label under our umbrella and foster an entrepreneurial spirit that will set the standard for what a modern music company should be. I congratulate Steve and Annie on their well-deserved promotions, and look forward to sharing enormous success with them in the coming years.”

Berman is an Interscope legend, having joined the company in 1991 just after its founding and risen through the marketing and sales ranks to president by 2005, then vice chairman of the expanded IGA in 2010 alongside label co-founder and CEO Jimmy Iovine. Berman retained the title after Janick took over in 2014, and now takes on additional oversight of the Capitol labels under ICGL.

“Every aspect of our redesign will enable us to provide optimal support for our artists and their creativity, while securing the best and most innovative opportunities that will help expand their global brands,” Berman said in a statement. “I’ve devoted nearly my entire career to this company and its artists, and I am excited to continue working with John, Annie and the entire ICLG team on this next phase of our journey.”

Lee joined Universal in a finance role in 2005, and moved to Interscope the following year, rising through the finance ranks at the company to become CFO in 2019. In her new role, she takes on operational responsibilities for the broader label group.

“I am looking forward to working with John, Berm and our entire team as we continue to build ICLG into a modern music company that is both a powerful partner to artists and their teams and a fulfilling and creative environment in which to work,” Lee said in a statement. “We are well positioned for the future and I’m excited for what’s to come.”

Warner Music issued a formal notice on Thursday disclosing its interest in acquiring the French digital music company Believe, a surprise move that would entail outbidding an earlier effort by a consortium led by the firm’s founder and CEO. The announcement, made before the opening of the Euronext Paris stock exchange, where Believe is listed, […]

At the end of February, TikTok took down every song in which Universal Music Publishing Group owns a share, a complicated step in the escalating showdown between the two companies that started a month earlier during the week before the Grammy Awards. 
We are now in uncharted territory: Never before has a major label used the “nuclear option” to withdraw both recorded music and publishing rights from a platform — an especially dramatic step because it includes any song in which UMG owns even a small share. (By Billboard‘s estimates, it affects over 60% of the most popular TikTok songs in the U.S.) What most people don’t know is that these negotiations might perhaps also be affected by a Feb. 9 decision from the Munich Regional Court about the German implementation of the 2019 European Union Directive on Copyright in the Digital Single Market — the Urheberrechts-Diensteanbieter-Gesetz (UrhDaG). It will certainly shape future negotiations like this.  

The case involved the Berlin-based film distributor Nikita Ventures, which operates YouTube channels and, coincidentally, TikTok. And although it wasn’t covered much by English-language press, it shows that negotiating leverage is gradually shifting from platforms to rights holders. “This verdict,” Matthias Lausen, a founding partner of the Lausen law firm, who represented Nikita told me, “shows that there is no safe harbor in Europe anymore for platforms.”

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In the case, Nikita said that it offered to license its content to TikTok in early 2022, at a cost of three euros per thousand views, an amount based on a published rate from GEMA, the German collecting society. (Licensees often seem to pay less than this.) By summer, TikTok had not responded with a counteroffer, and Nikita said that the content it had asked TikTok to block was available until August. TikTok said in court that it was still negotiating, that its filtering system is compliant with the law and that it responded to takedown notices. The court essentially ruled that TikTok didn’t make a best effort to negotiate, though, and held the company liable for infringement, with damages to be determined, plus required it to provide information about how many times the content in question was accessed, as well as its resulting revenue and profit. 

Why does this matter? Until now, the U.S. Digital Millennium Copyright Act and laws like it have limited the leverage of rights holders in negotiations. Platforms that make available content uploaded by users have been free to build audiences, and businesses, as long as they have no direct knowledge of infringement and respond promptly to takedown notices filed by copyright holders. This has given platforms what some might call a “Free Ride,” and on a Feb. 28 UMG earnings call chairman and CEO Lucian Grainge said “there must not be free rides for massive global platforms such as TikTok.”  

The 2019 European Copyright Directive was intended to address this, and it requires online platforms to make their “best efforts” to license content, as well as block content they haven’t licensed once rights holders have given them the necessary information. But this is the first court decision based on it.  

Nothing will change overnight. The scope of this decision is limited, platforms could potentially get around it by better documenting their negotiations with rights holders, and it’s hard to imagine it will have a substantial effect on UMG’s negotiations with TikTok. But it shows that Europe is serious about forcing online platforms to negotiate on an even playing field, which should result in more favorable deals. (Since European countries do not have class-action lawsuits or high statutory damages for copyright infringement, though, this will not lead to a gold rush of litigation.) 

Much of that is in the future, and some of these deals will involve platforms that don’t even exist yet. To get a sense of how this might play out, though, imagine a video-based nano-blogging platform that allows schoolchildren to record minute-long covers of pop songs. (I’m making this up, of course, but it’s not the dumbest idea I’ve heard this year.) That platform would have to approach rightsholders about deals early and often, then take serious steps to block the content they ask it to. That means it would have to license content before it got big — not once it’s already too big to fail. 

Even now, TikTok needs to make a “best effort” to take down UMG’s publishing catalog. The company took prompt action, so it’s likely to be in the clear there, although it will be interesting to see what happens with recordings that are sped up and slowed down. At a time when songs are sliced and diced by influencers, how elaborate does a best effort have to be? Could we find out in a case that involves this dispute? The odds are against it, but stranger things have happened.  

For the past quarter century, rights holders have had a hard time negotiating on an even playing field, which has arguably pushed down the price of content for both online businesses and, through them, for users. That dynamic is changing — slower than rights holders want and faster than platforms prefer — but steadily all the same. It will be hard to measure this, because these big licensing deals by their nature are complicated and intransparent. Finally, though – for good or ill depending on what side you’re

Capitol Music Group co-president Arjun Pulijal has stepped down from his role after 11 years at the company, he announced in an internal memo obtained by Billboard.
The move comes amid a broader executive shakeup atop the company, as former CMG chair/CEO Michelle Jubelirer stepped down from her role on Feb. 6, with Geffen president Tom March coming in to replace her and UMPG veteran Lilia Parsa named co-president the following day.

Pulijal was named CMG president by Jubelirer in January 2022, shortly after she ascended to the top role. Prior to that, Pulijal had run the marketing department at Capitol Records; he initially joined Capitol in 2013 after a seven-year stint at Epic Records.

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“Today marks my 11 year anniversary at Capitol Music Group,” Pulijal wrote in the memo. “[Eleven] years of aspiring to help artists of all types in whatever way I could. [Eleven] years of a commitment to honor an iconic music company’s legacy and embrace disruption to modernize it in equal measure. [Eleven] years of working with incredible people and building relationships that transcend the word ‘colleague.’ … It is surreal and difficult to say goodbye to a company I’ve called home for over a decade. I’ve had the unique experience of growing my career at Capitol. From campaign builder to artist confidant to leader, I’ve seen this company through many lenses.”

Pulijal’s departure comes days after Capitol’s parent company Universal Music Group began the process of laying off dozens of people at Capitol and other labels as part of a broader restructuring of the company’s label divisions, which UMG chairman/CEO Lucian Grainge first announced Feb. 1 and which was confirmed Feb. 28.  As part of that overhaul, Interscope Geffen A&M chairman/CEO John Janick received oversight of Interscope, Geffen, Capitol, Motown, Priority, Verve and Blue Note, while Republic Records CEO Monte Lipman will oversee Republic, Def Jam, Island and Mercury.

“I feel for all of those people exiting the company this past week, many of whom didn’t have the luxury of choice like I did,” Pulijal wrote, nodding to the layoffs at Capitol. “Know that you and I are leaving on a high note. You were all a vital part of the success we had over the last few years in particular. We built a company based on a shared love of music, artistry, creativity, diversity, transparency, empathy, and efficiency in a complex and unforgiving marketplace… and we had historic success doing it. I will carry those values forward into the future, to wherever my journey goes from here. When I figure it out, you all will be the first to know.”

Read Pulijal’s full memo below.

Today marks my 11 year anniversary at Capitol Music Group. 

11 years of aspiring to help artists of all types in whatever way I could.

11 years of a commitment to honor an iconic music company’s legacy and embrace disruption to modernize it in equal measure. 

11 years of working with incredible people and building relationships that transcend the word ‘colleague’. 

In a bittersweet & appropriately full-circle turn of events, today I am announcing that I have made the decision to leave my position as President of Capitol Music Group.  

It is surreal and difficult to say goodbye to a company I’ve called home for over a decade. I’ve had the unique experience of growing my career at Capitol. From campaign builder to artist confidant to leader, I’ve seen this company through many lenses. We’ve always valued storytelling to help artists connect with audiences, so I of course couldn’t depart without telling a story:

When I assumed the position of President, I received many notes of congratulations from past Capitol employees that I’d never met, many of whom worked for the company decades ago and had long since departed. It was evident that this iconic company continues to hold such an important place in people’s lives and music history. One such note pointed out that I was named President exactly 50 years after the legendary late Bhaskar Menon held the same position. As a person of Indian descent and one of the (sadly) few AAPI leaders in music, knowing that someone with my same cultural background succeeded in this role was beyond inspiring. I read everything I could about his intrepid life and career, including speaking with colleagues and his family. While he achieved monumental success with artists and records, it was clear the most enduring part of his legacy was how he treated people. He embraced constructive confrontation, leading with honesty and grace. These were virtues I always aimed to honor. 

It’s about people first. 

When artists ask me why they need a label, I always say “it’s about the people.” 

I feel for all of those people exiting the company this past week, many of whom didn’t have the luxury of choice like I did. Know that you and I are leaving on a high note. You were all a vital part of the success we had over the last few years in particular. We built a company based on a shared love of music, artistry, creativity, diversity, transparency, empathy, and efficiency in a complex and unforgiving marketplace….and we had historic success doing it. I will carry those values forward into the future, to wherever my journey goes from here. When I figure it out, you all will be the first to know.  

I leave with an overwhelming sense of gratitude for the artists and staff, & wish the new leadership – John Janick, Steve Berman, Tom March, & Lillia Parsa – nothing but the best moving forward. I will be available to help in the background with transition over the coming weeks before officially departing later this month.

Thank You. 

The layoffs and restructuring at the Universal Music Group have begun to take place, multiple sources tell Billboard.
As part of the new structure, several top executives have been laid off, Billboard can confirm. Interscope Geffen A&M president of promotion Brenda Romano is among those to have been let go, as well as Interscope’s executive vp/head of media strategy and communications Cara Donatto and Def Jam executive vp of media and brand strategy Gabe Tesoriero.

So far, Billboard has confirmed over two dozen layoffs across UMG labels, including Interscope, Republic, Capitol, Def Jam and Island.

The layoffs began shortly after Universal wrapped up its fourth quarter earnings call Wednesday, during which chairman/CEO Lucian Grainge confirmed a long-rumored “strategic organizational redesign” that would result in “reduced headcount” and “efficiencies.” A UMG spokesperson declined to say how many staffers would be affected by the cuts, but the company told investors that it expected to realize 250 million euros ($271 million) in annual savings by 2026 through the move. Universal saw 11.11 billion euros ($12 billion) in revenue in 2023, and reaped a net profit of 1.26 billion euros ($1.37 billion).

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The layoffs had been in the offing since last October, when Grainge mentioned that UMG would need to “cut to grow” in a Q3 earnings call, then said in a January New Year’s memo to staff that despite UMG being the “most successful company in the history of the music industry,” the company would “further evolve our organizational structure to create efficiencies in other areas of the business, so we can remain nimble and responsive to opportunities as they arise, while also taking advantage of the benefits of our scale.” A spokesperson then confirmed cuts were coming in a statement Jan. 12, after Bloomberg reported the company planned to cut “hundreds” of jobs in the first quarter of the year.

Layoffs continued Thursday (Feb. 29), and some staffers speculated to Billboard that they may continue into Friday. There is no word on how many people were affected, nor any specifics in what departments they were, though in addition to promotions, publicity and A&R, at least some people in logistics, synch, international and commercial marketing were among the layoffs. Staff members from Republic, Interscope, Capitol, Island and Def Jam were among those laid off.

On Feb. 1, Grainge announced in an internal memo that Universal would be restructuring its label operations, adopting a loose East Coast-West Coast operation wherein Republic Records co-founder/CEO Monte Lipman would begin to oversee Republic, Def Jam, Island and Mercury, and Interscope Geffen A&M chairman/CEO John Janick would take responsibility for Interscope, Geffen, Capitol, Motown, Priority, Verve and Blue Note. Days later, Capitol Music Group chair/CEO Michelle Jubelirer announced she was stepping down from her post and was replaced by Geffen president Tom March as chairman/CEO of Capitol and Universal Music Publishing Group executive Lillia Parsa joining as co-president alongside Arjun Pulijal.

As part of the new alignment, and with Donatto and Tesoriero out at Interscope and Def Jam, respectively, it appears that Capitol Music Group executive vp/head of media strategy and relations Ambrosia Healy will now run corporate communications for the West Coast labels, and Republic Records executive vp of media and artist relations Joe Carozza will oversee corporate communications for the East Coast labels.

Reps for UMG did not respond to multiple requests for comment. Additionally, reps for several individual labels either declined to comment or could not be reached for comment.

This story is developing.

In January 1999, Universal Music Group laid off hundreds of employees during a wave of consolidation with PolyGram. “The biggest staff cuts were at Geffen and A&M, two Los Angeles-based labels that have been folded into Interscope Records … and at Island Records, which has been merged with Mercury,” Billboard reported at the time, predicting that the cuts would affect label rosters, with “baby bands … expected to suffer the most casualties in the shake-ups.” In an interview with The New York Times, one artist manager described the impact of the merger on his band as if “a car [got] shut off in midgear.”
Roughly 25 years later, UMG is expected to cut hundreds of jobs to create “efficiencies in other areas of the business so we can remain nimble and responsive to the dynamic market,” according to a January statement from the company. Warner Music Group has announced layoffs of more than 800 people in two rounds over the last 12 months; on Monday, WMG label Atlantic Records announced additional cuts of about two dozen employees, primarily in the radio and video departments. (Sony Music is also expected to trim staff, according to sources; a rep for Sony declined to comment.)

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These cuts herald a leaner approach to the major-label business, and some talent and their representatives are worried about how this impacts their future.

Artists “are going to be upset,” says Mike Biggane, who was head of curation for Spotify, then worked at UMG as global executive vp of music strategy and tactics until last year. “The teams that artists signed up for and have been going to battle with will all be gone. That is going to impact the managers and the remaining label staff, who are already spread too thin.”

“If you’re not a multi-platinum artist, good luck,” says Allen Kovac, a longtime manager who had several acts in the UMG system during the 1999 consolidation.

A rep for UMG declined to comment. Speaking to financial analysts on Wednesday, UMG CEO Lucian Grainge said that “when it comes to supporting their rosters, [labels] will have access to our highest performing internal teams and resources to bring the new artists to even higher levels of success.”

And some executives were more sanguine about the impact of the upcoming staff cuts. Chris Anokute manages Taela, who was signed by Michelle Jubelirer before she recently left Capitol Music Group. “I’m very grateful to Michelle for signing her,” Anokute says. “Now there’s new management, and I’m excited to work with the new team to keep on developing her. I’m not worried for one second.”

Major labels have been consolidating internally for more than two decades. In 2004, Atlantic Records and Elektra Records merged as part of a Warner Music Group shake-up that included 1,000 layoffs. “Warner began cutting money-losing and under-performing artists from its merged Atlantic-Elektra label’s roster, and is preparing to let go as many as half of the label’s 170 acts,” The Washington Post reported.

Later the same year, BMG and Sony Music merged. “In each market tough decisions will have to be made about the senior executive lineup, overall staffing and artist rosters,” Billboard wrote. 

While layoffs were typically followed by roster trimming in the past, history can serve only as a limited guide when assessing the latest round of cuts. “The environment today seems quite different to that of the late 1970s and early 1980s — the first time the industry experienced serious contraction — or the early 2000s,” says Adam White, a former Billboard editor-in-chief who later served as UMG vp of international communications. “During both of those time periods, industry sales slumped significantly and staff cutbacks were widespread. Isn’t that in contrast to the current environment, with revenue admittedly not growing at previous, double-digit rates — but still growing?”

Nonetheless, with leaner staffs, “you either need to spread your remaining staff more thinly or serve a smaller roster,” says Peter Sinclair, who worked at UMG for five years before founding beatBread, an artist-funding platform, in 2020.

Some major-label executives contend the staffing changes their companies are making will let them offer more resources to artists, not less. WMG CEO Robert Kyncl, for example, told staff that the cost savings from recent cuts would free up money that can be put towards “increasing funding behind artists and songwriters,” while Atlantic Music Group chairman/CEO Julie Greenwald said the company would be “bringing on new and additional skill sets in social media [and] content creation” to “help artists tell their stories.” In a memo to staff on Wednesday (Feb. 28), Grainge wrote that “our long-term growth strategy, including this organizational redesign, represents a new paradigm for artist support.”

However, many acts believe major-label staffs are already stretched perilously thin, and that layoffs will only exacerbate artists’ feelings of being underserved. “Way too many of my ­clients complain about what the labels aren’t doing for them,” says Todd Rubenstein, an entertainment attorney. “Even if there is a whole plan they come in with, it’s still not getting serviced.”

“I’m not anti-label; I think every single artist we have is on a major label,” adds Crush Management founder Jonathan Daniel. But “the reason I set up my company the way I did” — Crush has its own marketing and radio promotion staff — “is because labels always have too many artists for how many ­people work there.”

Labels are already more willing to trim their rosters than they were in the past, and A&R executives say this may have intensified independent of the recent layoff announcements, after a period of excessive signing driven by pressure to maintain market share and an abundance of viral hits on social media. “Would [layoffs] speed up the process of trimming the roster?” asks entertainment attorney ­Michael Sukin. “Sure, but labels don’t need an excuse.”

That said, when employees are laid off or leave to take another job, some artists will lose their internal advocates. Executives believe it’s likely that there are acts in the UMG system who won’t have their options picked up after the layoffs because no one inside the buildings will fight to keep them.

“Any artist that’s more singles-based is more of a risk on your balance sheet,” says one A&R executive-turned-manager. “They want artists that have sticky fan bases that will be there and support them when they don’t have a hit.”

This all sounds nerve wracking for artists, who are, after all, the lifeblood of record companies. In reality, though, an artist who was a label’s 40th most important act may not have been getting a ton of help anyway — as a UMG executive told The New York Times around the time of the Polygram merger, “for the [artists] we let go, they’ve probably already been dragged over the coals by a record label that can’t do the best job for them.” Nick Stern, another longtime artist manager, is fond of saying “there’s nothing better than being a top five priority at a major label, and nothing worse than being 20 to 50.”

And while artists who got dropped by a major label in 1999 didn’t have many ways to get their music heard around the world, that’s not the case in today’s digital industry. Song creation, distribution and marketing are now all far more affordable. “As the majors’ gatekeeping role shrinks, artists have more options, more leverage, more control and more creative freedom,” Sinclair says. “If you’re an artist and you get dropped by the majors, I’d recommend you take it for what it is: an opportunity.”

When Biggane left UMG last year, he started Big Effect, a company developing technology designed for smaller artist teams to release products and manage catalog effectively. He predicts an “exodus of talent on both sides — people working in the industry trying to provide services and artists looking for services.”

“They’re all going to come out in the independent market,” Biggane says, “and try to find each other.”

Additional reporting by Kristin Robinson