finance
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The U.S. recorded music business posted its seventh consecutive year of growth in 2022 as the industry continues to benefit from streaming services such as Spotify, Apple Music and YouTube. After spending most of the last two decades in a painful freefall — piracy devastated CD sales and the download-driven unbundling of the album didn’t make up for it — the recorded music business has enjoyed a great run. Last year, paid subscription revenues surpassed $10 billion for the first time, according to the RIAA, and overall revenues reached $15.9 billion.
Here’s the bad news: Last year’s growth, in terms of both dollar and percentage increases, was the lowest since 2016, when the recorded music business started to recover from a 15-year downturn. Happy days may be here again, but they’re not getting happier like they were.
Total recorded music revenues grew 6.1%, but that’s about a quarter of 2021’s 23.2% gain. Paid streaming revenues improved 7.2% in 2022, a third of the 22.2% growth in 2021. It was the first time that this segment’s growth rate fell into the single digits since 2010. That year paid streaming revenues rose just 2.9% to $212 million. Over the next decade, as annual paid streaming grew to 57.8% of total recorded music revenue in 2022, the segment’s annual growth often exceeded 50% and fell below 20% only twice.
Ad-supported streaming’s revenue growth rate also fell into the single digits, also for the first time in more than a decade. Slowed by an advertising malaise that has also affected companies ranging from Alphabet to iHeartMedia, streaming services’ advertising royalties to record labels grew 5.6% compared to 44.4% in 2021 and 16.8% in 2020. In dollar terms, last year’s revenue growth was the lowest since 2015.
The slowdown shouldn’t catch anybody by surprise given the industry’s reliance on streaming, subscription services’ unwillingness — until recently — to raise prices and a finite number of potential customers. The problem comes down to basic math: Fees from subscription services accounted for 57.9% of recorded music revenues in 2022. At just 2.4% of total revenues, a high-growth segment like synchronization barely moves the needle despite rising 24.8% in 2022. Vinyl sales were strong once again — up 17.2% — but accounted for just 7.7% of total recorded music revenues.
Up-and-coming revenue streams such as TikTok, Facebook and Instagram are just that — not yet ready to deliver meaningful royalties despite their popularity. Their revenues are included in the ad-supported streaming bucket that increased just 5.5% in 2022. TikTok faces high expectations but large uncertainty, too, as it faces pressure from politicians at the state and federal level that could reduce its importance. In addition, the company has installed parental controls that are likely to reduce engagement and further reduce its potential value to artists and labels.
A positive trend is subscription services’ decisions to raise prices on individual and family plan tiers. In 2022, Apple Music, Amazon Music and Deezer raised prices in the U.S. Spotify has not yet announced a price hike for standard subscription plans but has hinted it will follow suit in 2023. Labels are eagerly awaiting Spotify’s move. “We are the lowest (cost) form of entertainment,” Warner Music Group CEO Robert Kyncl said Thursday. “We have the highest …engagement, highest form of affinity and lowest per-hour price. That doesn’t seem right.”
Globally, the situation looks better. The industry in China, the world’s most populous country, is flourishing thanks to streaming companies such as Tencent Music Entertainment and Cloud Music. In Japan, the world’s second-largest recorded music market, streaming revenues increased 125% in 2022, according to the RIAJ. At Spotify, which operates in 184 markets, revenue increased 21.3% in 2022 to 11.7 billion euros ($12.4 billion), with about equal growth rates from paid and ad-supported streaming. Annual revenues of two smaller streaming companies, Europe-focused Deezer and MENA-focused Anghami, grew 13% and 36%, respectively.
In the U.S., a maturing streaming business alone cannot maintain the breakneck pace of the last seven years. Labels will need more than the status quo to return to double-digit growth.
There are twin $10 billion milestones served up in the RIAA’s 2022 year-end report on U.S. recorded music revenues: paid subscription streaming revenue reached $10.2 billion over the course of the year; and industry revenues at wholesale reached $10.3 billion, the first time either of those markers have been crossed, the trade body reports.
Those are two headline numbers of the annual report, wherein U.S. recorded music revenues grew 6.1% at retail, from $15.0 billion in 2021 to $15.9 billion in 2022. That marks the seventh straight year of growth for the business, though the percentage of that bump is the lowest since 2015 (+0.9%), the first year that retail revenues began to rise from the industry’s 2014 nadir. (The growth that year was so small, around $65 million, that it was essentially flat for all intents and purposes.) In fact, 2022 is the only year during that time period when growth has not exceeded double digits other than 2020, when a first COVID-impacted year of uncertainty still saw a 9.2% rise in revenue.
Streaming, unsurprisingly, made up the bulk of the industry’s revenues — 84%, up a tick from 83% in 2021, adding up to $13.3 billion in 2022, up 7% from $12.4 billion the year before. Within that, the aforementioned paid streaming chunk was the largest, accounting for 77% of that total for 8% year-over-year growth, and in and of itself making up just shy of 2/3s of the industry’s overall revenues; of the overall paid streaming number, so-called “limited-tier” subscription streaming — including the likes of Amazon Prime, Pandora Plus, Peloton and other fitness or restricted streaming options — grew 18% to surpass $1 billion, coming in at $1.1 billion overall. And ad-supported streaming — like YouTube, Spotify’s free tier or revenues from TikTok — moved up 6% to $1.8 billion, making up 11% of all revenues for the year.
The average number of paid subscriptions in the U.S., meanwhile, reached 92 million, up 9.6% from the 84 million that existed in 2021. (The RIAA notes that this does not include limited-tier subscriptions, and counts “multi-user plans” as one subscription. The overall paid streaming figure of $10.2 billion includes limited-tier.) That growth, while significant given that it is higher than overall revenue growth, is down in both actual numbers and percentage growth for 2021, as was the revenue growth gleaned from paid subs, suggesting that while there’s still room to go higher and records continue to get broken, there may be a slowdown in subscriptions in the future.
Outside of those streaming figures, digital and customized radio revenue — paid out by services such as SiriusXM — inched up 2% YoY, even as SoundExchange payouts declined 3% to $959 million; those other ad-supported platforms such as SiriusXM and other internet radio services grew 28% in revenue during the year, contributing $261 million to the overall pie. That ends a few straight years of growth from SoundExchange distributions, though the overall figure of $1.2 billion from digital and customized radio in general has remained relatively flat for the past several years.
Also within the digital realm, downloads continued their stumble down the proverbial cliff, dropping 20% across the board — both for tracks and for digital albums — to total $495 million in revenue ($242 million for tracks, $214 million for albums). The RIAA notes that in 2012, digital downloads made up 43% of the overall industry’s revenue; in 2022, that number was just 3%. Factoring other formats, total digital revenue was $13.8 billion, up 6.0% from 2021, or 87% of the total business.
For the first time since 1987, vinyl LP units outsold the number of CDs, 41.3 million to 33.4 million (vinyl overtook CDs in revenue in 2020), as its year-over-year growth streak stretches to 16 years — old enough to drive. Total physical revenue was up 4% in 2022 to $1.7 billion, of which $1.2 billion came from vinyl — up 17% YoY, making up 71% of physical revenues. CD revenue, meanwhile, continued to decline despite the one-time pandemic boost of a few years ago, down 18% to $483 million in 2022. Synch revenue also grew, up 24.8% to $382.5 million.
“2022 was an impressive year of sustained ‘growth-over-growth’ more than a decade after streaming’s explosion onto the music scene,” RIAA chairman/CEO Mitch Glazier said in a statement accompanying the report. “Continuing that long run, subscription streaming revenues now make up two-thirds of the market with a robust record high $13.3 billion. This long and ongoing arc of success has only been possible thanks to the determined and creative work of record companies fighting to build a healthy streaming economy where artists and rightsholders get paid wherever and whenever their work is used.”
Universal Music Group’s revenues surged 21.6% to 10.34 billion euros ($10.96 billion) for all of 2022, boosted by strong returns from recorded music subscriptions and streaming.
The world’s biggest music company reported the revenue its recorded music division gets from subscriptions and streaming rose by nearly 19% to over 5.3 billion euros ($5.6 billion), while digital revenues in its music publishing division rose by nearly 50% to over 1 billion euros ($1.05 billion) in 2022, all helping it achieve a nearly 15% uptick in operating profit.
UMG chairman and chief executive Lucian Grainge said the earnings were evidence the company’s diversified revenue streams has made it an example of the music business’ steady strength amid a darkening economic outlook.
“We continue to successfully manage the company for long term growth while driving strong results in our core business — developing great artists and introducing their music to fans around the world,” said Grainge. “Our roster … achieved enormous commercial and creative success in markets around the world. We also worked to evolve and expand relationships with our existing DSP partners as well as establish new ones in fitness, health, gaming and the metaverse, driving the industry forward though leadership, creativity, innovation and collaboration.”
UMG was home to seven of the top 10 albums on the Billboard 200, 15 of the International Federation of the Phonographic Industry’s (IFPI) top 20 global artists and four of Spotify’s top five global artists in 2022.
UMG reported adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization rose 19.4% to 2.14 million euros ($2.26 billion) for 2022 from a year ago. Adjusted EBIDTA margin fell by 0.4 percentage points to 20.6%.
The company’s free cash flow increased by a whopping 70.2% to 638 million euros ($675 million) largely from the growth in adjusted EBITDA, according to the company’s filings.
UMG’s Earnings Highlights:
Revenue rose 21.6%, or 13.6% in constant currency, to 10.34 billion euros ($10.96 billion) for 2022 from 8.5 billion euros ($9 billion) in 2021
EBIDTA rose 20.3%, or 12.5% in constant currency, to 2.03 billion euros ($2.15 billion) in 2022 from 1.69 billion euros ($1.78 billion) in 2021
EBITDA margin fell to 19.6% in 2022 from 19.8% in 2021
Adjusted EBITDA rose 19.4%, or 11.7% in constant currency, to 2.14 billion euros ($2.26 billion) in 2022 from 1.79 billion euros ($1.93 billion) in 2021
Operating profit rose 14.8%, or 7.9% in constant currency, to 1.6 billion euros ($1.69 billion) in 2022 from 1.39 billion euros ($1.48 billion) in 2021
Net debt fell 10% to 1.8 billion euros ($1.9 billion) in 2022 from 2 billion euros ($2.1 billion) in 2021
Free cash flow rose 70.2% to 1.09 billion euros ($1.15 billion) in 2022 from 638 million euros ($675 million) in 2021
Recorded Music Division Highlights:
Recorded music revenue overall rose 16.3%, or 8.8% in constant currency, to 7.9 billion euros in 2022 from 6.8 billion in 2021
Subscriptions and streaming revenue rose 18.7%, or 9.8% in constant currency, to 5.3 billion euros in 2022 from 4.5 billion euros in 2021
Physical revenues rose 7.7%, or 4.1% in constant currency, to 1.2 billion euros in 2022 from 1.12 billion in 2021
License and other revenue rose 19.6%, or 13.4% in constant currency, to 1 billion euros in 2022 from 896 million in 2021
Downloads and other digital revenue rose 4%, or fell 2.9% in constant currency, to 337 million euros in 2022 compared to 324 million in 2021
Music Publishing Highlights:
Music publishing revenues overall rose 34.8%, 26.3% in constant currency, to 1.8 billion euros in 2022 from 1.3 billion euros in 2021
Performance revenues rose 24.9%, or 18.2% in constant currency, to 371 million euros in 2022 from 297 million euros in 2021
Synchronization revenues rose 18.6%, or 10.3% in constant currency, to 236 million euros in 2022 from 199 million euros in 2021
Digital revenues rose 49%, or 38.7% in constant currency, to 1.04 billion euros in 2022 from 698 million euros in 2021
French music streaming company Deezer reported on Tuesday that its 2022 revenues rose 13% to 451 million euros ($478 million), as the company reduced its losses by 18 million euros ($19.1 million) through a combination of growth through partnerships and eliminating marketing spend.
The company reported its adjusted gross profit rose 16% to 98 million ($104 million) euros in 2022 versus 2021 on greater margin improvement. The 18 million euros ($19.1 million) the company reported in savings came partly from growth — Deezer grew its top line by 51 million euros ($54 million) and improved gross margins by 30 million euros ($32 million) — and partly from reducing its marketing spends in certain emerging markets.
For years since its 2007 launch, the Paris-based company angled to gain customers by partnering with telecommunications companies. But under new chief executive Jeronimo Folgueira, Deezer has focused on a business-to-business (B2B) approach, aiming to gain more streaming users in major markets through partnerships with companies that already have established customer bases.
That piggy back approach — which is already in place with Sonos in the United States, RTL in Germany and DAZN in Italy — allows Deezer to reach prospective customers in major markets without investing to build a brand first. Folgueira, who joined Deezer in June 2021, says 2022’s earnings show the strategy has legs, and he expects his company to generate revenue growth of more than 10% in 2023 as they work toward achieving profitability by 2025.
“All of the ground work on B2B that we’ve been doing is starting to pay off,” Folgueira tells Billboard. “Those deals are just the beginning. We want to enter markets through partners, and we are targeting the United Kingdom and other major European markets like Spain.”
Last year, Deezer partnered with German broadcast giant RTL Deutschland to deliver music and video content over the app RTL+ Musik, putting Deezer in a position to compete in the crowded streaming space in the world’s fourth-biggest recorded-music market, and it teamed up with the Italian sport subscription streaming platform DZAN.
This year, Deezer struck a long-term agreement with the U.S. speaker and hardware company Sonos to power its Sonos Radio and subscription service Sonos Radio HD, a deal that will extend Deezer’s reach to 16 countries, including the United States, Canada, the United Kingdom, France and Germany.
Deezer remains strongest in France, where it is bundled with telecom company Orange and has 4.4 million subscribers, and in Brazil, where it partnered with TIM Celular in 2016 and has 2.7 million subscribers, according to company filings. Worldwide, Deezer has 9.4 million subscribers compared with Spotify’s 195 million subscribers and 273 million free (ad-supported) users, while TME has 82.7 million paying subscribers, according to the companies’ latest earnings reports.
The company was among the first DSPs to raise prices last year when it upped the price for an individual plan to 10.99 euros ($11.66) per month from 9.99 euros ($10.60) and family plans to 17.99 euros ($19.09) per month from 14.99 ($15.91).
Those hikes helped deliver a 14.3% increase in the company’s average revenue per user (ARPU) in 2022. Deezer had 9.4 million subscribers as of Dec. 31, 2022, down 2.2% from a year earlier.
“On the year as a whole, there was basically no impact on churn despite a roughly 10% price increase,” Folgueira says. “People are willing to pay more for proper quality music.”
The Lyric Capital Group says it raised over $800 million in new financing, closing its second fund that will be deployed in music asset investments through its publishing arm, the Spirit Music Group. The company further said that the new funding breaks out about 50/50 between equity and debt, with $410 million in equity commitments coming from existing and new institutional investors.
Overall, the company said the funding exceeded its target.
“I couldn’t be more excited about completing our latest fundraise with the participation of existing and new investors which validates our unique and collaborative approach to acquiring high-quality assets from recording artists and songwriters,” Lyric Capital co-founder/managing partner and Spirit Music Group chairman Jon Singer said in a statement. “Thanks to our relationships and proven reputation as good stewards of legendary song catalogs and recordings, we have a robust pipeline of proprietary opportunities and the capital to pursue them.”
Lyric Capital Group was formed in late 2018/early 2019 when Singer and then-Spirit vp of acquisitions and business development Ross Cameron led a buyout and recapitalization of Spirit Music.
“Since inception, Lyric Capital has transacted on over $800 million to develop outstanding catalogs of music, in partnership with artists and songwriters,” said Cameron, a Lyric Capital partner and co-founder. “Our disciplined investment approach is informed by our ownership of Spirit Music Group and supported by 25 years of proprietary music royalty data providing us with an unmatched insight when acquiring and managing copyrights. We are very pleased to close our second fund and thank our investors for their continued support of our unique platform.”
The company said it now owns and manages over 100,000 copyrights with both publishing and master recordings a part of the mix. Its catalog includes hits by The Who, Ed Sheeran, John Legend, Chicago, the Go-Go’s, Faith Hill, Tim McGraw, Camilla Cabello, Jay-Z, Ricky Martin, Brad Paisley, Toto, Madonna, Jason Aldean, Graham Nash, T.Rex, Charles Mingus, Carrie Underwood, Taylor Swift, Billy Squier, Chaka Khan, Whitney Houston, Eminem, Elvis, Frank Sinatra, Eminem, Salt-N-Pepa, Electric Light Orchestra, Tom Petty, The Traveling Wilburys and Lou Christie.
Eaton Partners served as the exclusive placement agent on the equity while Truist and Pinnacle led the debt consortium; and Ropes & Gray LLP served as legal counsel.
Live Nation’s 2022 was record-breaking across basically all key metrics — revenue, concert attendance, gross transaction value and sponsorships were all at all-time highs — and the company expects 2023 to top that.
As the company reported Thursday (Feb) with its fourth quarter earnings, total revenue reached a record $16.7 billion in 2022 — up 44% from the pre-pandemic era of 2019. That growth was spread across a number of factors: more fans, more concerts, more spending per fan, higher average ticket prices and a greater number of large sponsors.
Adjusted operating income improved 49% to $1.4 billion over the year, and operating free cash flow rose nearly four-fold to $1.8 billion.
Concert revenue in 2022 was $13.49 billion, up 43.1% from 2019 and 185.8% more than 2021. Concert attendance reached 121 million fans in 2022, up 24% from 2019 and a 246% increase from 2021, a year Live Nation began to recover from the pandemic but was not yet at full strength. The concerts division put on 43,600 events in 2022, up 153.2% from 2021 and up 8.4% from 2019. Attendance for Venue Nation, the venues operated by Live Nation, reached almost 50 million.
Ticketing revenues of $2.24 billion was up 44.9% from 2019 and up 97.4% from 2021. Fee-bearing ticket volume rose 28% from 2019 to 280 million. Fee-bearing gross transaction value grew to $28 billion, up more than 50% from 2019.
The average ticket costs were higher in 2022, too. With more tickets priced dynamically to true market value, Live Nation estimates $700 million was shifted to artists (and, presumably, away from the secondary market). That said, the average entry price for tickets remained below $35 in the U.S.
Even though consumers felt the pinch of high inflation throughout 2022, music fans didn’t shy away from spending money at Live Nation concerts. Ancillary per-fan spending rose at least 20% across all venue types from 2019 levels.
Sponsorship revenue reached $968 million, up 64% from 2019 and 135% greater than 2021. Live Nation had 120 large sponsors globally, up 32% from 2019. Last year, the company added PayPal, GoPuff, Hulu and Snap as sponsors. They and other new, large sponsors accounted for 80% of sponsorship’s revenue growth in 2022.
Live Nation points to a number of leading indicators that suggest 2023 will be even stronger than 2022. As of mid-February, event-related deferred revenue — tickets sales for concerts that have not yet occurred — was up $400 million to $2.7 billion. Also through mid-February, ticket sales are up 20% and fee-bearing gross transaction value of tickets sold is up 33%.
SM Entertainment’s revenue in 2022 grew 18.7% to 848.3 billion won ($657 million at the average 2022 exchange rate) in 2022, the Korean music company announced Monday. Gross profits rose 15.4% to 297.5 billion won ($230 million), operating profit fell 3.7% to 93.9 billion won ($73 million) and operating margin dropped from 13.6% to 11.1%.
The K-pop company’s roster includes NCT Dream, NCT 127, Aespa and Red Velvet. NCT Dream had the fourth most album sales of any artist in Korea in 2022 with 4.1 million units. Red Velvet was the No. 9 artist with 2.4 million units, NCT 127 was No. 11 with 2.2 million units and Aespa was No. 13 with 1.8 million units.
In the U.S., NCT Dream reached No. 39 on Billboard’s Artist 100 chart in April 2022, while the group’s album Glitch Mode peaked at No. 50 on the Billboard 200 album chart. NCT 127’s latest album, 2 Baddies, peaked at No. 3 on the Billboard 200 in October.
Although SM Entertainment’s largest source of revenue, recorded music, declined 3.7% in 2022, gains in other parts of the business made up for the loss: Concerts jumped tenfold from a pandemic-led slowdown, licensing climbed 62.2% and appearances jumped 48.1%.
In the fourth quarter, SM Entertainment’s revenue rose 7.7% to 256.4 billion won ($188.6 million at the quarter’s average exchange rate). Operating profit rose 70.3% to 25.2 billion won ($18.5 million) and operating margin improved 9.8% from 6.8% in the prior-year period. Net profit fell 72.7% due in part to the sale of real estate in the fourth quarter of 2021 for 19.7 billion won ($14.5 million). The company also experience 7.5 billion won ($5.5 million) of foreign-currency-related loss in the quarter.
SM Entertainment’s earnings release arrived amidst a brewing controversy over an investment in the company by its largest competitor, HYBE. In a deal finalized on Feb. 22, SM Entertainment founder Lee Soo Man sold a majority of his shares to HYBE in what SM Entertainment CFO Jang Cheol-hkuk called a “hostile takeover” that will “undermin[e] the diversity of the K-pop market.”
SM Entertainment’s vision for the company includes Korean entertainment and tech company Kakao, which announced on Feb. 9 it would acquire a 9.1% stake in SM Entertainment. As SM Entertainment laid out in a presentation released Feb. 22, Kakao’s technological capabilities could help SM Entertainment build a stronger line-up and upgrade online fan platforms. Kakao owns the music streaming service Melon.
In an open letter posted on social media on Tuesday, HYBE CEO Park Jiwon argued that together the companies have an opportunity to reach more fans and “stand shoulder-to-shoulder with the world’s major record labels.” HYBE believes it can help SM Entertainment artists in North America and prizes SM Entertainment’s infrastructure in China and Southeast Asia, regions where HYBE currently does little business.
Jangwon Lee‘s life in music began in typical Korean fashion. “All the kids in my generation grew up with the piano at some point in their lives,” Lee says over the phone from Seoul. His love of the instrument continued beyond childhood with a piano duo, The Serendipity, but has taken a back seat to serial entrepreneurism.
While studying business administration at Seoul National University, Lee co-founded Campusdal, a food delivery app. Then, after two years in the Korean air force, he founded Mapiacompany, a technology firm that operates three online platforms for independent musicians to sell digital sheet music. The experience set the stage for Lee’s remaking of Korea’s music intellectual property (IP) business.
“It gave me the legal knowledge that was necessary to start my new business — the publishing, the copyright laws, how to monetize, how to distribute the royalties,” Lee says.
Now, Lee is the CEO of two-year-old Beyond Music, a music investment firm with 26,000 copyrights and about $250 million under management. In 2021, Beyond Music created Asia’s first song fund with support from institutional investors including KB Securities, Base Investment and Maven Growth Partners. Last year, it added funding from the electronics and entertainment company Dreamus.
In 2022, Lee doubled down on Korean content by launching an exchange-traded fund focused on Korean entertainment companies, the KPOP and Korean Entertainment ETF. Prominent Korean music companies HYBE, SM Entertainment and JYP Entertainment are in its portfolio, but it also includes Studio Dragon, a TV studio; Naver, owner of messaging app Line; and Kakao, owner of Korea’s largest music subscription service, Melon.
In the West, investment money has been flowing heavily into music IP for more than a decade, especially in the last five years. It seems like the practice took root in Korea much later. Why do you think that is?
In 2017-18, when Hipgnosis started, there were very few precedents for Korean capital markets. You’ve got to understand the market, the nomenclature, the industry network. You have to know the nooks and crannies of the IP business. And also, you need to have a financial grasp, the understanding of capital markets, how to raise capital, how to structure the company, how to build, how to do tax-efficient modeling, IRR [internal rate of return] predictions, quantitative valuations. This is very much a quantitative business, whereas the understanding of the IP business is a relatively qualitative business. So, these are polar opposites in terms of business characteristics. In the past, I don’t think in Korea there was a team that really embodied these polar opposites.
We have people from PwC, KPMG, KKR and Morgan Stanley on our team. We have producers and someone who used to be a top-level executive of the largest music value chain company in Korea. I think that was why we were first to scale, to be able to build and raise funds from the very conservative institutional capital of Korean or Asian private equity and limited partner network.
Streaming is driving growth in global recorded music and publishing revenue, and that growth has helped attract new investors and more investment in general. Is streaming also the main factor behind increased investor interest in music IP in Korea?
Yes. I think it’s twofold. No. 1: streaming in the domestic market. Korea ranked [at] No. 6 in terms of market size for music globally. Japan is No. 2. Add Japan and Korea together, it almost equals the European Union. So it is a big market on its own, and local growth here is definitely driving part of it. Another part is Korean content’s market share in the global music industry. In the past, Korean music rights’ primary source of revenue was domestic usage, and therefore domestic growth was the only tailwind. But now we see the market share of Korean music growing exponentially year over year in other parts of Asia and moreover in Latin America, the Middle East and North Africa regions, Europe, North America. Not just BTS and BLACKPINK, but more midtier artists. You become fans of Korean music through those more hallmark artists, but you end up trickling down to other more long-tail or indie artists as well. And all the markets have been benefiting.
You have a large catalog. Do some of your less popular songs have commercial potential outside of Korea?
We have a mix of more global, more well-received catalogs and older, Korean-focused catalogs. The former obviously is a direct beneficiary of such a market growth trend. The latter, to a lesser degree, is also benefiting. It’s surprising that songs on Spotify that are not as famous as BTS at all are getting relative hype from other parts of Asia, and we see it for some of our older catalog as well. I don’t know how they were discovered, but on YouTube playlists, on YouTube comments, we see Spanish, we see French, we see it with Southeast Asian languages for songs we own that are 10 to 15 years old.
Multiples and valuations have risen a lot over the last few years. What’s the Korean market like right now? Is it as heated as other markets?
It is more heated than before, but to my knowledge, the blended multiple acquisition average used to be between 20 and 30 times. Now with the higher interest rate, multiples are still within the high teens, like 17, 18, 19, or at least like 15. But in Korea, or at least for us, our acquisition multiple, the blended average, is still below 10. So, we have been able to acquire very good assets. We think they are not lesser than their U.S. or U.K. counterparts at all. So, from a quantitative viewpoint, these don’t necessarily have to be valued at such a discrepancy. But I think it’s a newer market here, and therefore there’s less competition.
Is it safe to assume that you’ll encounter more competition in the coming years?
I’m hoping not. But from a reasonable standpoint, I do see that may be unavoidable. But it’s a good thing for us, because it will also help with our existing catalog valuing up.
What do you do to create additional value for the IP you purchase? Do you actively manage, market and promote the catalog — what Hipgnosis calls “song management”?
Whatever Hipgnosis is doing, we’re doing it essentially, whether it be synch, remixes, copyright, better revenue collection techniques. We put our methodologies into two main categories: active management and passive management. We define passive as collecting what was already ours but was somehow being lost due to Content ID not being perfectly managed by YouTube itself. So we employ additional music-pattern recognition — tech companies around the world — to do better collection for our existing catalog, which I know Hipgnosis is also doing. We try to find and mix a better lineup of distribution companies — intermediary publishers, etc. — to maximize our revenue while minimizing the middleman fee. For active, we’re doing remakes. We’ve already done a dozen remakes of our songs. I think two are now in the top 100 charts for Korean music. These are songs that were published 16 years ago, so after acquisition, we made remakes of the songs with new, up-and-rising artists in Korea. By remaking the songs, we hold the new assets as well as our existing assets. We’ve also worked with media channels in Korea to do music-related shows.
You recently purchased your first major U.S. acquisition: the catalog of producer-songwriter Greg Wells. To do this, you set up a U.S. subsidiary. Do you plan on creating subsidiaries in other countries to pursue acquisitions elsewhere?
Yes, for sure. The U.S. was a symbolic move for us. Our targets, however, lie toward lower-multiple opportunities. So, basically, Asia. We might set up subsidiaries. We might get direct acquisition from our Korean entity. But positioning ourselves as a more Asia-focused, Asia-Pacific music aggregator is our next step.
What might surprise people about the Korean music market?
The market size. For starters, it’s larger than most European countries — larger than Canada, Mexico or most Latin American countries, or even countries with more population like Indonesia. I think it’s bigger than Italy. Korea is really an advanced country. I can say that with more certainty now than I would have been able to seven or eight years ago.
How much of South Korea’s music market depends on the ability of K-pop to keep growing as much as it has in recent years?
That is a topic of interest for Korean media and Korean industry specialists as well — whether this is a one-hit wonder, a short-lived irregularity or a trend. People have been internally questioning, or doubting, the longevity of the trend. This issue has been raised for five, six years. Every year, there’s someone who says, “OK, you know, this cannot sustain. Maybe this is the peak. The next year, it might be difficult.” But the last five or six years have seen more growth every year, surpassing everyone’s expectation. This does have a kind of faith component, and I do have faith. I’m biased. But I think my bias stands with multiple consecutive years of a proven record. There’s no other country, outside of the U.S., that spends and reinvests as much money for better-quality music production as Korea. I’m very, very optimistic that this is not a one-time thing, but is a trend that will stick around at least for the next 10 years.
ValueAct Capital Management, a hedge fund with a history of being an activist investor, now holds a stake in Spotify. Mason Morfit, the San Francisco-based company’s chief executive officer and chief investment officer, revealed the firm’s ownership in Spotify shares at an event at Columbia University on Friday (Feb. 10), according to reports.
Spotify shares rose 3.6% to $125.16 on Friday following the news.
ValueAct, which did not reveal the timing of the investment, enters the picture as Spotify appears determined to improve its margins and reign in costs. Two weeks ago, Spotify announced a reorganization and layoff of 6% of its staff. Chief content officer Dawn Ostroff, who used lucrative licensing and original content deals to build Spotify’s podcast business, departed the company. The New York-based executive’s duties were absorbed by chief business officer Alex Norström out of Spotify’s Swedish headquarters. In the fourth quarter, Spotify showed a willingness to pare costs by laying off staff in its original podcasts and some of its live programming.
“During the boom, it applied these powers to new markets like podcasts, audiobooks and live chat rooms,” ValueAct’s Morfit said according to The Financial Times. “Its operating expenses and funding for content exploded. It is now sorting out what was built to last and what was built for the bubble.”
ValueAct owns shares in dozens of companies including Twenty-First Century Fox, Nintendo, The New York Times Company, Microsoft and Adobe Systems.
Exactly what this means for Spotify’s decision-making isn’t immediately clear. Like Meta, Alphabet and some other prominent tech companies, Spotify has a dual-class share system that grants its founders with enough voting power to control corporate governance. In a single-class structure, shareholders’ voting power is proportional to the number of shares they own. In a dual-class system, ordinary shares have far less voting power than a second type of shares.
Spotify’s co-founders own only 38% of outstanding common shares but own 100% of the company’s “beneficiary certificates,” each of which has 10 times the voting power of an ordinary share but no economic rights. The arrangement gives CEO Daniel Ek and co-founder Martin Lorentzon 74.3% of voting power, according to Spotify’s 2022 annual report, and ensures the duo can choose the board of directors despite owning a minority of the company’s economic interest.
As of Dec. 31, 2022, Ek has 16.5% of outstanding common shares and 31.7% of total voting power while Lorentzon owns 11.1% of ordinary shares and 42.6% of total voting power. The next-largest shareholder, Baille Gifford & Co, owns 14.5% of ordinary shares and 5.1% of voting power. Chinese tech giant Tencent Holdings owns 8.6% of ordinary shares, but Ek exercises those shares’ voting rights.
Revenues for Madison Square Garden Entertainment (MSGE) rose 24% to $642.2 million in the second quarter, bolstered by strong consumer and corporate demand for events plus a raft of cost cuts, the company reported Thursday (Feb. 9).
Speaking for the first time since publicly announcing the company is exploring a sale of its stake in Tao Group Hospitality, MSGE CFO Dave Byrnes said that revenue growth came from broad-based demand for events, hospitality, suites, sponsorship and merchandise.
The company is also undergoing a complex restructuring to spin off its live entertainment business — which houses its namesake venue and the Rockette’s Christmas Spectacular production — from its business focused on MSG Sphere, the state-of-the-art Las Vegas venue currently under construction. The latter business would also house MSG Networks and (at least for now) Tao Group.
“We are moving swiftly and anticipate completing the spin-off by the end of March,” Byrnes said on a call to discuss the financial results.
Byrnes also said that the MSG Sphere, with its 580,000 square-foot LED exosphere (the world’s largest LED screen), is expected to open in September with an as-yet-announced artist residency and potentially an “original attraction” from a leading Hollywood director. Byrnes said they expect to announce both in the coming weeks.
It is those two types of events — artist performances and films — plus advertising, sponsorship and hospitality, that MSGE hopes will help pay for the $2.175 billion price tag of building the Sphere.
MSGE had roughly $2.01 billion in debt as of the quarter ending on Dec. 31, and about $554 million in cash on hand and restricted cash.
The company announced last quarter that it was exploring areas within the company to cut costs, including letting go of staff in areas including the MSG Networks division. The severance pay and other elements related to those job reductions led to a $13.7 million charge in the quarter.
The MSG Networks segment generated $158.9 million in revenue, 1% lower than a year ago, due to higher rights fees partially offset by increasing advertising revenues.
The company’s entertainment segment generated $356.5 million, up significantly over last year on mostly sold-out events at The Garden and a full run of the Christmas Spectacular — its first in three years due to the pandemic.
Byrnes also elaborated on the company’s decision to shop around its stake in the Tao Group, saying it was time for the company to explore the opportunity to provide a significant return to its shareholders.
MSG paid $181 million for a 62.5% interest in the hospitality group in 2017 and now owns 67% of the company.
“The bidding process is extremely robust with significant interest from multiple bidders,” Byrnes said. “We’re moving forward through the process and we’ll keep you updated as we have additional news.”
The Tao Group generated $136 million in revenue, up 16% from last year when the Omicron variant of COVID-19 dampened demand for corporate holiday parties and dining out.
Additionally, MSGE filed a request on Thursday with the New York City Department of Planning to lift the time limit on Madison Square Garden’s special operating permit, which is currently set to expire on July 24. The Garden deserves to remain where it is in perpetuity, the company said in a statement, because moving it could cost $8.5 billion in public funding and improvements to the portion of Penn Station located beneath The Garden are already proceeding without the venue needing to move.