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It’s been a nerve-wracking week for Universal Music Group employees — many did not know when they went to the office on Wednesday morning if they’d have a job on Friday. Layoffs hit department heads first and then started to impact the rank and file.
Over the past year, more than a dozen companies across the music business have undergone layoffs, eliminating thousands of jobs and leaving those who remain in a state of uncertainty. In the past twelve months alone, Warner Music Group, Atlantic Music Group, SiriusXM, Amazon Music, TikTok Music, CAA, Discord, BMG, TIDAL and Spotify have all cut staff.

This week, Universal Music Group followed suit, instituting layoffs in search of around $270 million in annual savings. The process started Wednesday and continued through Friday (March 1), impacting publicity departments, radio teams, A&R, marketing and more.

Trending on Billboard

The cuts are part of a restructure of UMG’s label operations that chairman/CEO Lucian Grainge announced in an internal memo on Feb. 1. The shift reorganized the company loosely into an East Coast-West Coast orientation, with Republic Records CEO Monte Lipman overseeing Republic, Def Jam, Island and Mercury, and Interscope Geffen A&M chairman/CEO John Janick responsible for Interscope, Geffen, Capitol, Motown, Priority, Verve and Blue Note.

For UMG employees, the long runway leading into the layoffs — which were first hinted at back in October — combined with the fact that the company announced on Wednesday morning that it had earned more than $12 billion in revenue and $1.3 billion in net profit in 2023, has caused frustration, anger and anxiety, even for those who kept their jobs. That the layoffs came immediately following the annual earnings report, sources say, has led to greater frustration.

Though the scenes employees describe are typical for any company undergoing large-scale layoffs — the slow drip of news about who’s been let go, and colleagues crying as they pack up their desks, for example — UMG’s layoffs have had an outsized impact on industry morale because of the label’s position as the dominant market leader, its strong financial results and the extended period for which employees have known the cuts were coming.

In an email to staff, Grange said that “by reimagining our global structure, we are creating a blueprint for a future where our labels are empowered with new capabilities and additional agility, ensuring they can sign and support artists with enhanced access to UMG’s highest-performing internal teams and resources.” He added, “This organizational redesign represents a new paradigm for artist support and fan engagement.”

UMG first signaled its cuts during an earnings call with financial analysts at the end of October. “[We] are currently conducting a careful review of our cost base, which we will complete over the coming months, and we will update you when appropriate about an anticipated cost savings program to commence in 2024,” said Boyd Muir, the company’s executive vp and CFO. Grainge added that the company planned to “cut overheads in order to grow elsewhere.”

Earnings calls are, by nature, full of statistics and jargon like “adjusted EBITDA.” In January, the human cost of “cutting overhead” started to become clear: That would mean laying off hundreds of employees. In a statement at the time, UMG said “we are creating efficiencies in other areas of the business so we can remain nimble and responsive to the dynamic market, while realizing the benefits of our scale.”

The October earnings call did not make big headlines at the time. But many employees saw the January reports that layoffs were looming. “Every day I wake up thinking, is this the day I lose my job?” a UMG employee said in February.

“It is a particular kind of torture to leave people guessing for an extended period of time,” adds a music lawyer who has artist clients signed to UMG labels. “Your job is your No. 1 source of security. You add on top of already stressed individuals’ psyche the uncertainty of whether or not they’re gonna have a job tomorrow and draw that out for months.”

A UMG spokesperson declined to disclose any headcount for the cuts. In the meantime, sources say executives and department heads have received some generous exit packages on their way out the door.

For others outside the labels who work with them on behalf of clients, the layoffs — at UMG, at Warner, where dozens were recently let go at Atlantic Records, and amid rumors that other labels will be following suit — have also made life difficult. With UMG specifically, one manager with an artist signed to a UMG label says that the stress permeating the labels has made it hard to plan a rollout for his act. And a second music attorney notes that it’s been hard to do record deals within the UMG system knowing that the teams his artist speaks with may not be around by the time the deal is done.

Artist teams are also trying to understand how the cuts impact them. “The more I hear, the more stressed I am,” says another manager. There are “lots of firings across different positions. Some people are getting moved into jobs they aren’t in any way prepared for. And some people are now being asked to do what was previously three different jobs at once.”

There are more cuts to come in a “phase two” of the “strategic organizational redesign” next year, according to UMG’s investor presentation this week, which stated that “a combination of further ex-U.S. headcount reduction and other operational efficiencies” was set to begin in 2025. But not a single financial analyst asked questions about the extent of the layoffs on Wednesday. Instead, they asked about UMG’s battle with TikTok.

Universal Music Group (UMG) shares rose 4.9% on Thursday (Feb. 29), the day after its fourth-quarter earnings revealed record revenue of 11.1 billion euros ($12 billion) in 2023 and strong subscription-related growth in the fourth quarter. The music giant’s stock finished the week up 2.3% to 27.87 euros ($30.25), bringing its year-to-date gain to 6.8%.
Investors also received details about the financial impacts of UMG’s company-wide layoffs. A reduction in global headcount is expected to save 75 million euros ($81.3 million) in 2024, 125 million euros ($135.5 million) in 2025 and 250 million euros ($271 million) annually by 2026. UMG has not specified the number of employees being laid off, but Billboard had identified nearly 50 across the company by Friday afternoon (Mar. 1). A second phase of layoffs and “other operational efficiencies” is scheduled to begin in 2025 and run through 2026, according to UMG’s latest investor presentation. 

In reducing its headcount and eliminating some positions, UMG is “redesigning our organization to enhance our capabilities in the areas most critical to our future growth and success,” CFO Boyd Muir said during the earnings call Wednesday (Feb. 28). “These changes will strengthen our leadership team, foster innovation and create significant efficiencies across our business.”

Trending on Billboard

Also enjoying gains this week were some of the other largest companies in the 20-member Billboard Global Music Index. Spotify rose 3.0% to $263.75, Warner Music Group improved 3.2% to $35.48 and Live Nation increased 1.9% to $97.15. The index itself rose 1.9% to a record 1,715.81, with 11 stocks in positive territory.

Stocks had another strong week in the United States overall. On Friday, the Nasdaq composite surpassed its previous high from 2021 and finished the week up 1.7% to 16,274.94. Chipmaker Nvidia rose another 4.4% to $822.79 this week after gaining 8.5% the previous week. Meta shares were up 3.8% to $502.30 following its announcement on Thursday that it will “deprecate” (i.e. remove) its Facebook News tab in the United States and Australia. The S&P 500 gained 0.9% to 5,137.08 — its first close over 5,100. 

In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 fell 0.3% to 7,682.50. South Korea’s KOSPI Composite index fell 0.9% to 2,642.36, mirroring the declines of K-pop companies HYBE (down 7.6%), SM Entertainment (down 2.5%), JYP Entertainment (down 3.4%) and YG Entertainment (down 3.9%). China’s Shangai Composite Index gained 0.7% to 3,027.02.

Sphere Entertainment Co. was music’s greatest gainer of the week after its share price rose 8.4% to $44.29. The price jumped 6.2% on Thursday after an SEC filing revealed chairman/CEO James Dolan acquired an additional 59,000 shares, ranging from $40.48 to $41.46 per share. Less impactful to the share price was TMZ‘s news that the Eagles are in talks for a fall residency at the $2.3 billion Sphere in Las Vegas. After U2’s residency ends this weekend, Sphere will host Phish for four dates in April and Dead & Company for 24 dates spanning from May 16 to July 13. Sphere shares have gained 30.3% year to date.

French music streamer Deezer was the next-best performer of the week after gaining 5.1% to 2.25 euros ($2.44). The company reported fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday that showed improvements in subscriber court and average revenue per user. Revenue of 130.7 million euros ($141 million) was up 12.1% from the prior-year period. The same day, Deezer also announced the departure of CEO Jeronimo Folgueira. “Deezer is back on a growth trajectory and can now build from a solid foundation,” said chairwoman Iris Knobloch. 

Believe shares rose 4.2% to 15.50 euros ($16.82) after the French music company announced that it received interest from a third party; a consortium consisting of founder Denis Ladegaillerie and two major shareholders launched a bid in February to take the company private at 15.00 euros per share. On Friday, Believe revealed it received “a confidential exploratory non-binding approach” from another party that valued the company at “at least” 17.00 euros ($18.45) per share. Believe was careful to note the third party’s approach did not constitute an obligation to make an offer. Still, the appearance of another possible bidder was enough to push Believe’s share price above the consortium’s earlier 15.00 euros-per-share bid.

Shares of Chinese music streamer Cloud Music dropped 0.5% to 90.45 HKD ($11.55). The company announced Thursday that music subscribers grew 8.7% to 205.9 million in the fourth quarter, with subscription growth helping revenue from online music services increase 17.6% to 4.4 billion RMB ($611 million) — although total revenue fell 12.5% to 7.78 billion RMB ($1.09 billion). Gross profit improved 63% to 2.1 billion RMB ($292 million) and net profit improved to 818.5 million RMB ($114 million) from a net loss of 114.6 million RMB ($16 million) in 2022.

iHeartMedia shares fell 2.6% to $2.26 after a seesaw week for the country’s leading radio broadcaster. The stock rose 22.0% to $2.77 on Thursday after the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report suggested the fog might be lifting from an advertising slowdown that has hurt broadcast radio revenues. After fourth-quarter revenue fell about 5%, iHeartMedia’s first-quarter revenue is expected to be down 2% to flat. Podcasts were a bright spot, growing 16.6% in the fourth quarter and 13.8% for the full year. Nearly all of Thursday’s gain was erased on Friday, however, when iHeartMedia shares fell 18.4%.  

Cumulus Media suffered the largest loss amongst music stocks after falling 20.4% to $3.74. On Tuesday (Feb. 27), the radio broadcaster said its 2023 revenues fell 11.4% to $844.5 million and announced a debt exchange offer that would allow lenders to swap 6.750% notes due 2026 for 8.750% notes due 2029. The company is also offering to exchange term loans under a 2019 credit facility for new term loans.

The breakdown in licensing talks between Universal Music Group (UMG) and TikTok affects far more than Universal recording artists and songwriters.  
Every now and then, a music company pulls its recorded music catalog, publishing catalog or both from a digital service provider after licensing talks break down — Warner Music Group did this with YouTube in 2008, for example. It happened again starting Feb. 1 when UMG started pulling its recordings from TikTok after the two companies couldn’t come to an agreement on a new licensing deal.  

The licensing breakdown first affected artists signed to UMG record labels. Take the Q4 Hot 100, a list of the top 100 tracks in the fourth quarter. UMG’s various record labels — including Republic Records and Interscope Records — released 41 of the 100 tracks, among them Taylor Swift’s “Cruel Summer,” Doja Cat’s “Paint the Town Red” and Brenda Lee’s “Rockin’ Around the Christmas Tree.”  

Trending on Billboard

On Tuesday (Feb. 27), TikTok began removing compositions part-owned by Universal Music Publishing Group (UMPG). On the publishing side, UMG has an interest in 40 of the Q4 2023 Hot 100 tracks, such as SZA’s “Snooze” (a track released by Sony’s RCA Records), Jack Harlow’s “Lovin on Me” (a track released by Warner Music Group’s Atlantic Records) and Usher’s “Good Good” (a track released by gamma, an indie newcomer).  

Since every recording involves two copyrights — one for the master recording, one for the composition — the damage of UMG’s decision to pull its repertoire from TikTok is larger yet. Counting both recorded music and music publishing, UMG has an ownership interest in 61 of the Q4 2023 Hot 100 tracks. Twenty of those 61 tracks have a UMG publishing interest but were not released by a UMG-owned record label. Another 20 of those tracks have a UMG publishing interest and were released by a UMG record label. UMG does not have a publishing interest in the remaining 21 of those tracks that were released by a UMG record label.  

That’s far larger than UMG’s market share in either recorded music or publishing. UMG had a 39.4% share of U.S. recorded music by distribution in 2023 (a 29.4% share by ownership) and a 15.8% publisher’s market share of the Hot 100 in the fourth quarter of 2023.

Ownership interest, not market share, gets to the true impact of the UMG-TikTok impasse. Today’s popular songs have multiple co-writers, each of whom might have a different music publisher. When a track includes a sample or interpolation of another composition, those works’ songwriters get credits on the new work, too. The 41 tracks on the Hot 100 in which UMG has a publishing interest have an average of 5.5 songwriters. Eight of those 41 tracks had 8 or more co-writers; four of them had 10 or more co-writers. Of the 41 tracks with UMG ownership interest, only Irving Berlin’s 83-year-old “White Christmas” was written by one person. 

The more songwriters who are on a single track, the higher the odds that any one music publisher can remove a track during a licensing dispute. An example of this complexity is “What It Is (Block Boy)” by Doechii featuring Kodak Black, released by UMG-owned Capitol Records (the track entered the Hot 100 in May thanks to success on TikTok). The recording includes a sample of TLC’s 1999 hit “No Scrubs” and interpolates a hook from “Some Cut” by Lil Scrappy and Trillville, which reached No. 15 on the Hot 100 in 2005. “What It Is (Block Boy)” has 16 co-writers, including the 4 co-writers of “No Scrubs” and 6 co-writers of “Some Cut.”  

A wide swatch of the music publishing business is represented in “What It Is (Block Boy).” The Music Licensing Collective’s public database lists 7 different publishers attached to the composition: UMPG, Sony/ATV, Warner Chappell Music, Disney, BMG, Concord and Reservoir Media. UMPG’s 3% collection share is the smallest of the seven publishers.  

To be sure, the Hot 100 from the fourth quarter of 2023 isn’t a perfect reflection of what is currently most popular — or would be popular if not for the licensing impasse — at TikTok. The TikTok Billboard 50 shows the platform’s most popular music is a mix of Hot 100 staples (“Lovin On Me”) and indie music that otherwise wouldn’t be seen on a Billboard chart (Aphex Twin’s “QKThr”).  

This headline-grabbing development isn’t a story of one music company against one tech company; labels and publishers that renewed their licensing deals with TikTok have unwillingly joined UMG’s battle with the platform. UMG’s inability to reach a deal with TikTok impacts every major label group and likely touches every music publisher of note.

Just days after the Universal Music Group‘s publishing catalog began coming down from TikTok, Universal Music Publishing Group (UMPG) released a new statement stressing its concerns about artificial intelligence and online safety on the short-form video app. The company stated these are “equally” important issues to TikTok lack of “fair compensation” to songwriters.

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UMPG also acknowledged in its new statement that “the disruption is difficult for some of [its songwriters]” but says leaving the TikTok app is “critical for the sustained future value, safety and health of the entire music ecosystem.”

At the end of January, UMG announced in a letter to its artists and songwriters that it would be allowing its license with TikTok to expire, saying that TikTok refused to pay the “fair value” of music and no deal could be reached. (Tiktok fired back with its own statement, hours later, saying UMG’s decision was motivated by “greed”.) Within days, UMG tracks were removed from Tiktok en masse, including the catalogs of superstars Taylor Swift, The Weeknd, Drake, BTS and more who are signed to UMG record labels. In the letter, the company noted that these takedowns would also include its publishing arm, UMPG, but the publishing-related removals did not begin until Tuesday, Feb. 26.

Trending on Billboard

Now, any song, even if it was released by a non-UMG record label, is subject to takedown on TikTok if even one UMPG-signed songwriter was involved in its creation. Because UMPG is the second largest publisher in the world, these publishing takedowns were wide reaching, impacting almost every record label in one way or another.

In response to the publishing takedowns, TikTok said in a statement on Wednesday, “[UMG’s] actions not only affect the songwriters and artists that they represent, but now also impact many artists and songwriters not signed to Universal. We remain committed to reaching an equitable agreement with Universal Music Group.”

Read UMPG’s new statement to its songwriters below in full:

TikTok is removing UMPG songs because there is no license in place. As you may have heard, to-date, they have not agreed to recognize the fair value of your songs, which so many other digital partners around the world have done.

As we previously addressed in our open letter, in addition to fair compensation for your songs, the negotiations have also focused on two other critical and equally important issues: protecting you, human artists and songwriters, from the harmful effects of AI; and online safety for TikTok’s users, including your fans which include young children.

TikTok’s intentions with respect to AI are increasingly apparent. While refusing to respond to our concerns about AI depriving songwriters from fair compensation, or provide assurances that they will not train their AI models on your songs, recent media reports reveal “TikTok and ByteDance leaders have long wanted to move the app beyond music.” Reflecting on our open letter, other commentators have noted where this distancing from the music industry could lead, fueled by AI: “TikTok has an incentive to push the use of these AI recordings rather than the copyrighted and licensed recordings.”

Every indication is that they simply do not value your music.

We understand the disruption is difficult for some of you and your careers, and we are sensitive to how this may affect you around the world. We recognize that this might be uncomfortable at the moment. But it is critical for the sustained future value, safety and health of the entire music ecosystem, including all music fans.

As always, UMPG will only support partners that value songwriters, artists and your songs.  We have a long history of successfully fighting for our songwriters and will continue to do so. You should expect nothing less from us.

The layoffs and restructuring at the Universal Music Group have begun to take place, multiple sources tell Billboard.
As part of the new structure, several top executives have been laid off, Billboard can confirm. Interscope Geffen A&M president of promotion Brenda Romano is among those to have been let go, as well as Interscope’s executive vp/head of media strategy and communications Cara Donatto and Def Jam executive vp of media and brand strategy Gabe Tesoriero.

So far, Billboard has confirmed over two dozen layoffs across UMG labels, including Interscope, Republic, Capitol, Def Jam and Island.

The layoffs began shortly after Universal wrapped up its fourth quarter earnings call Wednesday, during which chairman/CEO Lucian Grainge confirmed a long-rumored “strategic organizational redesign” that would result in “reduced headcount” and “efficiencies.” A UMG spokesperson declined to say how many staffers would be affected by the cuts, but the company told investors that it expected to realize 250 million euros ($271 million) in annual savings by 2026 through the move. Universal saw 11.11 billion euros ($12 billion) in revenue in 2023, and reaped a net profit of 1.26 billion euros ($1.37 billion).

Trending on Billboard

The layoffs had been in the offing since last October, when Grainge mentioned that UMG would need to “cut to grow” in a Q3 earnings call, then said in a January New Year’s memo to staff that despite UMG being the “most successful company in the history of the music industry,” the company would “further evolve our organizational structure to create efficiencies in other areas of the business, so we can remain nimble and responsive to opportunities as they arise, while also taking advantage of the benefits of our scale.” A spokesperson then confirmed cuts were coming in a statement Jan. 12, after Bloomberg reported the company planned to cut “hundreds” of jobs in the first quarter of the year.

Layoffs continued Thursday (Feb. 29), and some staffers speculated to Billboard that they may continue into Friday. There is no word on how many people were affected, nor any specifics in what departments they were, though in addition to promotions, publicity and A&R, at least some people in logistics, synch, international and commercial marketing were among the layoffs. Staff members from Republic, Interscope, Capitol, Island and Def Jam were among those laid off.

On Feb. 1, Grainge announced in an internal memo that Universal would be restructuring its label operations, adopting a loose East Coast-West Coast operation wherein Republic Records co-founder/CEO Monte Lipman would begin to oversee Republic, Def Jam, Island and Mercury, and Interscope Geffen A&M chairman/CEO John Janick would take responsibility for Interscope, Geffen, Capitol, Motown, Priority, Verve and Blue Note. Days later, Capitol Music Group chair/CEO Michelle Jubelirer announced she was stepping down from her post and was replaced by Geffen president Tom March as chairman/CEO of Capitol and Universal Music Publishing Group executive Lillia Parsa joining as co-president alongside Arjun Pulijal.

As part of the new alignment, and with Donatto and Tesoriero out at Interscope and Def Jam, respectively, it appears that Capitol Music Group executive vp/head of media strategy and relations Ambrosia Healy will now run corporate communications for the West Coast labels, and Republic Records executive vp of media and artist relations Joe Carozza will oversee corporate communications for the East Coast labels.

Reps for UMG did not respond to multiple requests for comment. Additionally, reps for several individual labels either declined to comment or could not be reached for comment.

This story is developing.

In January 1999, Universal Music Group laid off hundreds of employees during a wave of consolidation with PolyGram. “The biggest staff cuts were at Geffen and A&M, two Los Angeles-based labels that have been folded into Interscope Records … and at Island Records, which has been merged with Mercury,” Billboard reported at the time, predicting that the cuts would affect label rosters, with “baby bands … expected to suffer the most casualties in the shake-ups.” In an interview with The New York Times, one artist manager described the impact of the merger on his band as if “a car [got] shut off in midgear.”
Roughly 25 years later, UMG is expected to cut hundreds of jobs to create “efficiencies in other areas of the business so we can remain nimble and responsive to the dynamic market,” according to a January statement from the company. Warner Music Group has announced layoffs of more than 800 people in two rounds over the last 12 months; on Monday, WMG label Atlantic Records announced additional cuts of about two dozen employees, primarily in the radio and video departments. (Sony Music is also expected to trim staff, according to sources; a rep for Sony declined to comment.)

Trending on Billboard

These cuts herald a leaner approach to the major-label business, and some talent and their representatives are worried about how this impacts their future.

Artists “are going to be upset,” says Mike Biggane, who was head of curation for Spotify, then worked at UMG as global executive vp of music strategy and tactics until last year. “The teams that artists signed up for and have been going to battle with will all be gone. That is going to impact the managers and the remaining label staff, who are already spread too thin.”

“If you’re not a multi-platinum artist, good luck,” says Allen Kovac, a longtime manager who had several acts in the UMG system during the 1999 consolidation.

A rep for UMG declined to comment. Speaking to financial analysts on Wednesday, UMG CEO Lucian Grainge said that “when it comes to supporting their rosters, [labels] will have access to our highest performing internal teams and resources to bring the new artists to even higher levels of success.”

And some executives were more sanguine about the impact of the upcoming staff cuts. Chris Anokute manages Taela, who was signed by Michelle Jubelirer before she recently left Capitol Music Group. “I’m very grateful to Michelle for signing her,” Anokute says. “Now there’s new management, and I’m excited to work with the new team to keep on developing her. I’m not worried for one second.”

Major labels have been consolidating internally for more than two decades. In 2004, Atlantic Records and Elektra Records merged as part of a Warner Music Group shake-up that included 1,000 layoffs. “Warner began cutting money-losing and under-performing artists from its merged Atlantic-Elektra label’s roster, and is preparing to let go as many as half of the label’s 170 acts,” The Washington Post reported.

Later the same year, BMG and Sony Music merged. “In each market tough decisions will have to be made about the senior executive lineup, overall staffing and artist rosters,” Billboard wrote. 

While layoffs were typically followed by roster trimming in the past, history can serve only as a limited guide when assessing the latest round of cuts. “The environment today seems quite different to that of the late 1970s and early 1980s — the first time the industry experienced serious contraction — or the early 2000s,” says Adam White, a former Billboard editor-in-chief who later served as UMG vp of international communications. “During both of those time periods, industry sales slumped significantly and staff cutbacks were widespread. Isn’t that in contrast to the current environment, with revenue admittedly not growing at previous, double-digit rates — but still growing?”

Nonetheless, with leaner staffs, “you either need to spread your remaining staff more thinly or serve a smaller roster,” says Peter Sinclair, who worked at UMG for five years before founding beatBread, an artist-funding platform, in 2020.

Some major-label executives contend the staffing changes their companies are making will let them offer more resources to artists, not less. WMG CEO Robert Kyncl, for example, told staff that the cost savings from recent cuts would free up money that can be put towards “increasing funding behind artists and songwriters,” while Atlantic Music Group chairman/CEO Julie Greenwald said the company would be “bringing on new and additional skill sets in social media [and] content creation” to “help artists tell their stories.” In a memo to staff on Wednesday (Feb. 28), Grainge wrote that “our long-term growth strategy, including this organizational redesign, represents a new paradigm for artist support.”

However, many acts believe major-label staffs are already stretched perilously thin, and that layoffs will only exacerbate artists’ feelings of being underserved. “Way too many of my ­clients complain about what the labels aren’t doing for them,” says Todd Rubenstein, an entertainment attorney. “Even if there is a whole plan they come in with, it’s still not getting serviced.”

“I’m not anti-label; I think every single artist we have is on a major label,” adds Crush Management founder Jonathan Daniel. But “the reason I set up my company the way I did” — Crush has its own marketing and radio promotion staff — “is because labels always have too many artists for how many ­people work there.”

Labels are already more willing to trim their rosters than they were in the past, and A&R executives say this may have intensified independent of the recent layoff announcements, after a period of excessive signing driven by pressure to maintain market share and an abundance of viral hits on social media. “Would [layoffs] speed up the process of trimming the roster?” asks entertainment attorney ­Michael Sukin. “Sure, but labels don’t need an excuse.”

That said, when employees are laid off or leave to take another job, some artists will lose their internal advocates. Executives believe it’s likely that there are acts in the UMG system who won’t have their options picked up after the layoffs because no one inside the buildings will fight to keep them.

“Any artist that’s more singles-based is more of a risk on your balance sheet,” says one A&R executive-turned-manager. “They want artists that have sticky fan bases that will be there and support them when they don’t have a hit.”

This all sounds nerve wracking for artists, who are, after all, the lifeblood of record companies. In reality, though, an artist who was a label’s 40th most important act may not have been getting a ton of help anyway — as a UMG executive told The New York Times around the time of the Polygram merger, “for the [artists] we let go, they’ve probably already been dragged over the coals by a record label that can’t do the best job for them.” Nick Stern, another longtime artist manager, is fond of saying “there’s nothing better than being a top five priority at a major label, and nothing worse than being 20 to 50.”

And while artists who got dropped by a major label in 1999 didn’t have many ways to get their music heard around the world, that’s not the case in today’s digital industry. Song creation, distribution and marketing are now all far more affordable. “As the majors’ gatekeeping role shrinks, artists have more options, more leverage, more control and more creative freedom,” Sinclair says. “If you’re an artist and you get dropped by the majors, I’d recommend you take it for what it is: an opportunity.”

When Biggane left UMG last year, he started Big Effect, a company developing technology designed for smaller artist teams to release products and manage catalog effectively. He predicts an “exodus of talent on both sides — people working in the industry trying to provide services and artists looking for services.”

“They’re all going to come out in the independent market,” Biggane says, “and try to find each other.”

Additional reporting by Kristin Robinson

Universal Music Group chairman/CEO Lucian Grainge addressed the company’s ongoing licensing dispute with TikTok in its latest earnings call on Wednesday (Feb. 28), saying: “there must not be free rides for massive global platforms such as TikTok that refuse to meaningfully address issues around AI platform safety or pay their fair share for our artists’ and songwriters’ work.”
Boyd Muir, UMG’s CFO and executive vp, also revealed during the earnings call that UMG would “focus on accelerating [its] partnerships” with Meta, Snap, YouTube and more competing social platforms and that it would make more announcements about this “in the coming weeks.”

At the end of January, UMG, the world’s largest music company, opted to let its licensing agreement with TikTok expire, citing that the short-form video app refused to pay the “fair value” for music. It also cited other concerns around artificial intelligence. “TikTok proposed paying our artists and songwriters at a rate that is a fraction of the rate that similarly situated major social platforms pay,” UMG wrote in a letter to its artists. Within hours, TikTok fired back at UMG in reply, saying that the major music company “has put their own greed above the interests of their artists and songwriters.”

Trending on Billboard

Since then, the companies’ negotiations have been seemingly stuck at a standstill and millions of UMG-controlled recordings have been removed from the platform. Starting Tuesday (Feb. 27), the takedowns went even further, including the removal of any recording that features one or more Universal Music Publishing Group-signed songwriters for the first time. This impacts such major recording artists as Beyoncé, Harry Styles and Bad Bunny, even though they don’t record for UMG.

In response to the publishing takedowns, TikTok said in a statement on Wednesday, “[UMG’s] actions not only affect the songwriters and artists that they represent, but now also impact many artists and songwriters not signed to Universal. We remain committed to reaching an equitable agreement with Universal Music Group.”

UMG’s earnings call on Wednesday focused largely on TikTok during the the question and answer portion, as well as other core development for the company like its new deal with Chord Music Partners.

While UMG has previously said TikTok only makes up about 1% of the company’s total revenue, chief digital officer and executive vp Michael Nash said he believes that’s not necessarily all a loss amid the negotiation standoff. “In general, if consumption shifts from TikTok to other short video platforms like Reels or YouTube Shorts, we believe we can, in fact, recapture some lost revenue,” he said during the call. “Keep in mind, over half of TikTok monthly active users already also use other short video services. In some markets, that percentage is as high as 70%. These are services that monetize engagement at a much higher rate, so revenue positive consumer migration is easily foreseeable.”

Nash also said that UMG has been “providing notices to effectuate the muting of million of videos every day for the last two weeks” on TikTok to aid in the takedown process, which started earlier this month. “And that’s the recorded music content. Keep in mind that our publishing copyrights are just now starting to be enforced on the platform.” He noted that the company has seen “no discernible negative impact” on its “broader digital business’ by leaving TikTok to date but added that “that’s qualified by the fact that we’re very early on in the process… In fact, we’ve seen a slight uptick in terms of frontline consumption and catalog consumption over this short period of time.”

In response to one question about TikTok, Grainge responded, “I’m also not prepared to compromise the future of social category by doing something that completely undermines the economics for us and for everybody else.” One of UMG’s key concerns among the licensing discussions has been that if it were to accept a diminished royalty from TikTok, then other social media platforms could request the same.

But Grainge vowed that UMG likes “to be friendly.” He said, “We are friendly. My phone is open, unfortunately, 24 hours a day. We hope that we can find a solution… we like win-win situations. We’ve laid out what’s important to us, and I believe important to our industry.”

When an investor asked if this remark indicated that UMG was waiting for TikTok to call them and reengage on a deal structure [UMG has] previously presented,” Nash said “we’re not going to comment on the status of discussions with TikTok for obvious reasons.”

At the end of the call, Grainge downplayed TikTok’s impact on music marketing: “I mean, let’s put this into perspective,” he said. “Apple, Amazon, Spotify, YouTube, all the social categories, the fitness categories, digital radio, Sirius, Pandora, iHeart… [TikTok is] one, it’s not a material part of the multidisciplinary jigsaw, where we promote and market our music globally”

As part of its fourth-quarter earnings call, Universal Music Group (UMG) said that a “strategic organizational redesign” it announced Wednesday (Feb. 28) would result in 250 million euros ($271 million) in annual savings by 2026, with a first phase of 75 million euros ($81.3 million) in 2024 and 125 million euros ($135.5 million) in 2025. The redesign is expected to include the long-awaited layoffs that have been signaled by the company for months, though the specifics of how many employees would be affected and what percentage of the overall workforce it would amount to was not disclosed.

The “plan is designed to achieve efficiencies in targeted cost areas while strengthening labels’ capabilities to deepen artist and fan connections,” according to a press release. The first phase will involve a general headcount reduction, while the second phase, which is scheduled to begin next year, will be “a combination of further ex-U.S. headcount reduction and other operational efficiencies,” according to the company’s investor presentation.

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A representative for UMG declined to comment on the specifics of the reductions.

“To put it simply, we’re creating the blueprint to the music company and the labels of the future,” chairman/CEO Lucian Grainge said on the earnings call, adding that labels will have “even greater flexibility and speed” in supporting artists, as well as “access to our highest performing internal teams and resources to bring artists to even higher levels of success.” The redesign “carefully preserves what we’re best at: creative A&R, marketing independence, unique label brand identities” and an entrepreneurial and competitive spirit, Grainge continued. The efficiencies, he said, will “generate more impactful support for promotion, distribution, audience monetization, D2C, e-commerce and other areas.”

In its fiscal year 2023, UMG earned a net profit of 1.26 billion euros ($1.37 billion) on revenues of 11.11 billion euros ($12 billion), the company said.

Layoffs at UMG have been telegraphed for months, ever since Grainge said in a third-quarter earnings call last October that UMG would need to “cut to grow.” Rumors further began to circulate in early January, when Grainge noted in his New Year’s memo to staff that despite UMG being the “most successful company in the history of the music industry,” the company would “further evolve our organizational structure to create efficiencies in other areas of the business, so we can remain nimble and responsive to opportunities as they arise, while also taking advantage of the benefits of our scale.”

The impending layoffs were more explicitly acknowledged on Jan. 12, after Bloomberg reported that UMG would be cutting hundreds of jobs sometime in the quarter. In response, a UMG spokesperson released a statement that echoed Grainge’s note, including that the company would “maintain our industry-leading investments in A&R and artist development,” while also promising to continue “investing in future growth — building our e-commerce and D2C operations, expanding geographically, and leveraging new technologies.”

Things then came into clearer focus on Feb. 1, when Grainge announced in an internal memo that Universal would be restructuring its label operations, adopting a loose East Coast-West Coast operation wherein Republic Records co-founder/CEO Monte Lipman would begin to oversee Republic, Def Jam, Island and Mercury, and Interscope Geffen A&M chairman/CEO John Janick would take responsibility for Interscope, Geffen, Capitol, Motown, Priority, Verve and Blue Note. Days later, Capitol Music Group chair/CEO Michelle Jubelirer announced she was stepping down from her post and was replaced by Geffen president Tom March as chairman/CEO of Capitol and Universal Music Publishing Group veteran Lillia Parsa joining as co-president alongside Arjun Pulijal.

Still, the threat of layoffs continued to loom, with many staffers unsure of their positions and unclear as to when the cuts would arrive. The first phase of the redesign announced today will be “execute[d] on immediately,” according to a press release, though the scale in terms of people remains unclear.

UMG is not alone in instituting layoffs in recent months. On Feb. 7, Warner Music Group (WMG) announced simultaneously that it had just recorded its best quarter in its history and would also be laying off 10% of its staff, or some 600 people, and offloading its owned and operated media properties in an effort to save around $200 million that it said it would reinvest in the company. That itself came less than a year after then-new WMG CEO Robert Kyncl announced a 4% staff reduction, affecting some 270 people, “in order to set us up for long-term success.” Cuts at other large record companies are also expected, sources say.

The broader music and media industry is also in the midst of a brutal run of layoffs: Atlantic Music Group, SiriusXM, Amazon Music, TikTok Music, CAA, Discord, Meta, Downtown, YouTube, TIDAL and Spotify have all undergone layoffs in just the last year alone, to name just a few, some of them more than once.

Universal Music Group’s revenue reached 3.21 billion euros ($3.45 billion) in the final period of 2023, up 9% year-over-year (up 15.6% in constant currency) as the company’s non-subscription streaming growth slowed again and its record labels got a boost from strong physical sales and licensing.

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Spotify’s price increase helped drive the recorded music division’s subscription revenue up 8.9% (up 15% at constant currency, which removes the effects of foreign exchange rates) to 1.14 billion euros ($1.22 billion). As a percent of recorded music revenue, subscription revenue increased to 47% from 46.7% in the prior-year quarter.

Non-subscription streaming revenue declined 1.3% as reported (increased 5.6% at constant currency) in the quarter, however. That followed a 1.4% decline (a 5% gain at constant currency) in ad-supported streaming revenue in the third quarter. Ad-supported streaming “remains strong” but the ad market recovery “has not been uniform” and UMG is “cautious” about near-term growth, CFO Boyd Muir said during Wednesday’s earnings call. The soft streaming revenue was not affected by UMG’s decision in early February to pull its catalog from TikTok, which accounts for 1% of UMG’s annual revenue. 

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Sales were strong elsewhere in the recorded music division, though. Physical revenue of 447 million euros ($481 million) was up 10.6% (up 17.0% at constant currency). Licensing and other revenue of 410 million euros ($441 million) was up 26.5% (up 34.0% at constant currency). Downloads and other digital revenue declined by 49.2% (45.8% at constant currency), but at 32 million euros ($34) accounted for just 1.3% of recorded music revenue in the quarter. 

Universal Music Publishing Group’s fourth-quarter revenue of 576 million euros ($620 million) was up 8.7% (up 15.4% at constant currency). Digital revenue of 339 million euros ($365 million) was up 26.0% (36.1% at constant currency). Sync revenue of 70 million euros ($75 million) was up 18.6% (up 25.0% at constant currency). Mechanical revenue of 31 million euros ($33 million) was up 24.0% (up 29.2%). Performance revenue fell 19.1% (15.8%) to 123 million euros ($132 million). 

Top sellers in the quarter were Taylor Swift, The Rolling Stones, Drake, Jung Kook and Stray Kids.

For the full year, UMG’s revenue of 11.1 billion euros ($12 billion at the average exchange rate for the year), up 7.4% as reported and a 11.1% increase at constant currency that removes the effects of foreign exchange rates. That’s similar to the 13.6% revenue growth at constant currency reported in 2022, but well below the as-reported growth of 21.6% that includes foreign currency exchange. 

Adjusted EBITDA of 2.37 billion euros ($2.6 billion) was up 11% (up 14.6% at constant currency). Unadjusted EBITDA of 1.81 billion euros ($2 billion) was down 10.8% (down 7.8% at constant currency.) Unadjusted EBITDA eliminates the effects of the Copyright Royalty Board’s Phonorecords III ruling and a 15-million euro ($16 million) legal provision. 

In the recorded music division, full-year revenue of 5.7 billion euros ($6.2 billion) was up 6.6% (up 10.2% at constant currency) and physical revenue of 1.38 billion euros ($1.49 billion) was up 14.3% (up 19.4% at constant currency). Licensing revenue of 1.17 billion euros ($1.27 billion) was up 9.5% (up 13.6% at constant currency). 

Full-year publishing revenue of 1.96 billion euros ($2.12 billion) was up 8.7% (up 12.3% at constant currency). Digital revenue of 1.13 billion euros ($1.22 billion) was up 8.5% (up 12.5% at constant currency). Mechanical revenue of 108 million euros ($117 million) was up 11.3% (up 14.9% at constant currency). Performance revenue of 416 million euros ($450 million) was up 12.1% (up 15.9% at constant currency). 

At constant currency, UMG’s fourth quarter improvement was similar to the other two major music groups. Warner Music Group was up 17.5% to $1.75 billion and Sony Music was up 16% to 358.2 billion yen ($2.5 billion). Smaller companies have also posted similar growth rates. 

When Uber Eats used mazie‘s “Dumb Dumb” in a commercial that played during the last Super Bowl, she ordinarily would have used the sought-after synch to promote the 2021 song relentlessly to her 375,000 TikTok followers. But her label, Goodbye Records, is distributed through Universal’s Virgin Music Group, which pulled its music from the social media platform at the beginning of February after negotiations for a new licensing deal fell apart. “It’s insane,” mazie says. “My song was just in a Super Bowl commercial, and I have to repromote it [by] using other people’s ripped versions of my song on the platform.”
The singer-songwriter, whose track went viral last year and says it “changed my life in every single way,” is one of many frustrated developing artists signed to or distributed by the world’s largest music company. They all have similar complaints: Their label contacts have spent years instructing them to focus the bulk of their marketing efforts on TikTok and its 1 billion-plus monthly active users. With their music no longer on the platform, they are scrambling for alternate ways to be heard.

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“A lot of us are left at the drawing board again, especially when we’ve gotten an artist over the anxiety of putting themselves out there on TikTok,” says Sabrina Finkelstein, manager of Los Angeles singer Kristiane. “Now that that’s gone, it brings you almost to square one.”

Kristiane is signed to Fader, a label distributed by UMG’s Virgin Music Group, so she’s building buzz for her upcoming Stray Dog EP by deemphasizing TikTok and talking to fans on Instagram Broadcast Channels and other platforms. “We’re putting up lost-dog posters all over New York and other cities,” says Finkelstein, who is also A&R director for the Sony Music-owned RECORDS label. “Small things you can do to bring it off TikTok and into the real world.”

Springfield, Mo., folk-country band Pawns or Kings can no longer post its 2022 track “Anymore” on TikTok, because Universal bought its distributor, Ingrooves, and merged it with Virgin Music Group — even after singer Edward Stengel spent $7,000 of his own money on a video. “That song was always our spearhead song,” says Stengel, who is still promoting the track on YouTube, Facebook and Instagram while posting older material released through independent label ONErpm on TikTok. But Pawns or Kings’ early music is darker than its current work, Stengel says, which makes the stopgap strategy “an abrupt pivot” for the band’s image.

Canadian rapper bbno$ says his 2021 track “Edamame,” which has nearly 426 million Spotify plays, was “having a moment” on TikTok when the UMG ban took effect. The artist had licensed the song to mTheory’s distribution division for a five-year period — the same mTheory that UMG acquired in 2022 (putting its top executives in charge of Virgin). “I’m actually fully independent. It was just this one deal that looped all the songs together, and I got fucked,” says bbno$, who is considering altering the song with pitch-correction and wild sound effects — such as the voice of SpongeBob SquarePants repeating, “I’m ready!” — to avoid detection from digital sweeps.

L.A. rock band Dead Posey, which released its single “Zombies” just days before the ban, sped up its songs on TikTok by 5% — an effective solution, although artists can’t link unofficial songs to official Spotify streams. “It has not been taken down,” says singer Danyell Souza, whose label, Position Music, has a Virgin distribution deal. Adds guitarist Tony Fagenson: “We’re hopeful this resolves soon in a favorable way to artists. In the meantime, we have to play some tricks to keep using this platform.”

UMG-signed and -distributed artists are also turning to their most potent asset on TikTok: fans. One of Kristiane’s followers recently posted a lip-sync video to a concert track, declaring, “At least UMG can’t take away my live audios.” Finkelstein is supportive of this approach. “No matter what, the fans are going to find a way to share their artists’ music and support them,” she says. “There are ways around it.”

This story will appear in the March 2, 2024, issue of Billboard.