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Spotify shares gained 4.7% to $214.13 this week, helping the Billboard Global Music Index improve 2.3% to a record 1,595.11. Spotify’s fourth consecutive weekly increase came two weeks ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings on Feb. 6, which will show the full impact of its recent price increases in the United States and other major markets.
If a rising tide lifts all boats, Netflix’s superlative fourth-quarter earnings report explains why Spotify shares posted yet another positive week. Netflix shares rose 18.1% to $570.42 this week — including a 10.7% gain on Wednesday alone — after the company said it added 13.1 million subscribers in the fourth quarter, the most since 2020, with revenue up 12.5% to $8.8 billion. Not only was the quarter encouraging for streaming in general, the video streaming giant offered the music business some insights about finding growth in a maturing market: Netflix’s growth hasn’t been hurt by either the company’s constant price increases or its recent efforts to limit password sharing. In fact, pricing played an important part in that growth.
“As we invest in and improve Netflix, we’ll occasionally ask our members to pay a little extra to reflect those improvements, which in turn helps drive the positive flywheel of additional investment to further improve and grow our service,” the company stated in a letter to shareholders. Cutting down on password sharing has made an impact, too. Netflix said “millions” of subscribers are using features such as Transfer Profile (a user transfers a profile from a shared account to a new account) and Extra Member (adding a user to an account for $7.99 per month in the United States), and that paid sharing “is now a normal course of business.”
Because of its large market capitalization, Spotify’s gain was a major factor in the Billboard Global Music Index’s 2.3% gain this week. The top-performing music stock of the week was iHeartMedia, which gained 26.7% to $2.85, putting it 68% below its 52-week high of $9.01. Music streaming company LiveOne was another high performer, gaining 13.5% to $1.51. The company announced on Thursday that Podcast One — LiveOne spun off the podcast company and remains a majority owner — reached new agreements with two of its most popular podcasts, The Adam Carolla Podcast and The Adam and Dr. Drew Show. Elsewhere, Sphere Entertainment Co. shares rose 8.7% to $34.45 following the company’s recent hire of Jennifer Koester, a former Google executive, as president of Sphere Business Operations, effective Feb. 5. One of Koester’s duties will be to develop a corporate conference business for product launches and other events.
Eight of the index’s 20 stocks fell this week — although none dropped more than 3%. SiriusXM shares fell 1.5% to $5.34; the company announced Wednesday that it would maintain its quarterly cash dividend at $0.02666 per share. Hipgnosis Songs Fund fell 2.1% to 0.7057 pounds per share amidst multiple regulatory filings that hinted at tension between the company’s new board and its investment advisor, Hipgnosis Song Management. Hipgnosis shareholders will vote on Feb. 7 on a proposal that would result in paying a fee to bidders on its catalog.
Stocks were broadly up in the United States this week as positive economic news made an impact on markets. The tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 0.9% to 15,455.36 and the S&P 500 rose 1.1% to 4,890.97. Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta reached new highs this week, though Tesla shares fell 13.6% after the company warned vehicle unit sales in 2024 “may be notably lower” than last year. On Friday, Intel shares fell 11.9% after the company offered investors a disappointing outlook for the current quarter during its Thursday earnings release.
On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis released data that showed gross domestic product grew at a better-than-expected annualized rate of 3.3% in the fourth quarter of 2023. Then on Friday, the Department of Commerce released data that showed personal incomes ended the year on a high note by increasing 0.3% in December. What’s more, a measure of how much people are spending showed that price increases have slowed. Personal consumption expenditures in December were 2.6% higher year over year (and 2.9% higher excluding food and energy). Last week, new consumer sentiment data showed an improvement in Americans’ feelings about the economy and their expectations for future inflation.
Stocks also improved outside of the United States. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 rose 2.3% to 7,635.09. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index improved 0.2% to 2,478.56. And China’s SSE Composite Index jumped 2.8% to 2,910.22.
Universal Music Group (UMG) shares almost hit an all-time high on Friday, reaching 27.47 euros ($29.98) before closing at 27.22 euros ($29.21), a 1% increase for the week. That was close to the peak of 27.96 euros ($30.52) reached on Nov. 12, 2021, less than two months after the company was spun off from Vivendi, and marked a new 52-week high. The 1% gain followed a 6.9% improvement last week as investors reacted to news that the company expects to lay off staff in the first quarter.
If French music company Believe is taken private, as has been reported, shareholders would expect a premium over the recent share price. That would explain why the company’s share price rose 13.5% to 10.18 euros ($11.11) this week — more than offsetting the 10.5% decline Believe shares experienced last week after news broke of the potential takeover. According to a Reuters report, Believe co-founder/CEO Denis Ladegaillerie and U.S. investment firm TCV have floated the idea to private equity firms.
The S&P 500 rose 1.2% to close at a record high of 4,839.81 on Friday, surpassing the previous peak set two years ago. The Nasdaq didn’t set a record but fared even better, climbing 2.3% to 15,310.97. Stocks in other countries didn’t match the gains in U.S. markets. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 dropped 2.1% to 7,461.93. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index fell 2.1% to 2,472.74. China’s Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index sank 1.7% to 2,832.28.
Music stocks were slightly off last week’s record high despite Believe’s double-digit gain and the majority of music stocks finishing the week in positive territory. The 20-company Billboard Global Music Index fell 0.4% to 1,559.48 this week, down slightly from last week’s all-time high of 1,566.45. Twelve of the 20 stocks had gains this week. Other than Believe’s takeover-related jump, the best-performing music stocks had only low, single-digit gains. MSG Entertainment rose 4.1% to 33.48 and SiriusXM improved 4% to $5.42.
The index’s most valuable companies improved slightly: In addition to UMG’s 1% gain, Spotify improved 0.8% to $204.71 and Live Nation climbed 0.6% to $91.18. Those gains were overshadowed by losses by radio giant iHeartMedia, which fell 1.7% to $2.25, and three Asian companies: HYBE, SM Entertainment and Tencent Music Entertainment.
The index’s biggest losers were K-pop companies HYBE and SM Entertainment, which fell 10.9% and 10.3%, respectively. HYBE has been on a roller coaster in January, jumping 9.6% from Dec. 28 to Jan. 11 before falling 14.1% over the next six trading days. SM Entertainment jumped 20.5% from the end of December to Jan. 11 but has only dropped 3.4% from its high point. Another big mover this week was Chinese music streamer Tencent Music Entertainment, which dropped 9.5% to $8.51.
There was good news for all companies on Friday when the closely watched University of Michigan’s Index of Consumer Sentiment jumped 13% in January, its highest level since July 2021. Over the last two months, consumer sentiment has risen 29% and Americans’ expectations for future inflation dropped to 2.9%. Consumer sentiment is now 60% above the all-time low from June 2022 but remains 7% below the historical average.
Music companies will soon announce earnings results for the quarter ended Dec. 31. The first companies out of the gate are SiriusXM on Feb. 1 and Spotify on Feb. 6.
Universal Music Group (UMG) shares rose 3% on Friday — the same day news broke that the company will lay off hundreds of staffers — and finished the week up 6.9% to 26.95 euros ($29.54). The prospect of cost savings made UMG the top-performing music stock of the week, beating French music streaming company Deezer’s 6.5% gain and 6% improvements by both Chinese music streamer Tencent Music Entertainment and live entertainment company MSG Entertainment.
UMG first let investors know it was planning layoffs in its October earnings call. On Friday, a report by Bloomberg said UMG is planning layoffs as early as this quarter, primarily in its recorded music division. A company spokesperson declined to comment on the scope and timetable of the layoffs but told Billboard UMG is “creating efficiencies” in certain areas of the business “so we can remain nimble and responsive to the dynamic market, while realizing the benefits of our scale.” UMG’s stock gained 14.7% in 2023.
Despite no stocks finishing the week with double-digit gains, the 20-company Billboard Global Music Index rose 3.6% to a record 1,566.45 as 12 companies posted gains and eight companies’ share prices declined. Streaming companies led the way with an average gain of 3.9%. Live music companies averaged a 0.7% improvement. Record labels and publishers dropped an average of 1.5%. Radio companies lost an average of 4%.
Music stocks topped the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite, which gained 3.1% to 14,972.76 and easily bested the S&P 500’s 1.8% increase to 4,783.83. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 fell 0.8% to 7,624.93. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index dropped 2.1% to 2,525.05.
The index got a big lift from Spotify’s 4.9% gain to $203.03 this week. Spotify has surged 12.4% since it announced layoffs on December 4 and pledged to operate more efficiently. On Thursday, Spotify closed above $200 for the first time since Feb. 1, 2022. At Friday’s closing price, the stock is up 120.5% in the last 52 weeks.
Live Nation finished the week up 1.6% to $90.66 after Roth analyst Eric Handler upgraded the stock to “buy” and increased the price target from $92 to $114. The $114 price target implies a nearly 26% upside from Friday’s closing price.
Shares of French music company Believe fell 10.5% to 8.97 euros ($9.83) on Friday’s news that the company’s investors were pursuing taking the company private. According to a Reuters report, Believe’s largest shareholders, which includes founder Denis Ladegaillerie and U.S. investment firm TCV, have been working with advisors to gauge the interest of private equity firms. In the first nine months of 2023, Believe, the owner of digital distributor TuneCore and record labels such as PlayTwo and Jo&Co, had revenue of 630.4 million euros ($691 million), up 14.8% year over year.
While other companies in recorded music and publishing posted gains this week, K-pop stocks were down across the board. HYBE’s 2% decline to 247,000 won ($188.05) was the best of the four South Korean music companies. JYP Entertainment fell 8.3% to 96,600 won ($73.54). Two others each dropped 5.9%: SM Entertainment closed at 88,200 won ($67.15) and YG Entertainment finished the week at 43,100 won ($32.81).
Music stocks mirrored the poor start to 2024 seen in markets around the world, but K-pop giant HYBE bucked the trend with a 7.9% gain to 252,000 won ($191.67) this week. HYBE made the news multiple times during a relatively slow, holiday-shortened week — though none of it was the type of financial news that […]
The Billboard Global Music Index — a diverse collection of 20 publicly traded music companies — finished 2023 up 31.3% as Spotify’s share price alone climbed 138% thanks to cost-cutting and focus on margins. Spotify is the single-largest component of the float-adjusted index and has one of the largest market capitalizations of any music company.
The music index was outperformed by the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite, which gained 43.4% with the help of triple-digit gains from chipmaker Nvidia Corp (+239%) and Meta Platforms (+194%). But the Billboard Global Music Index exceeded some other major indexes: the S&P 500 gained 24.2%, South Korea’s KOSPI composite index grew 18.7% and the FTSE 100 improved 3.8%.
Other than Spotify, a handful of major companies had double-digit gains in 2023 that drove the index’s improvement. Universal Music Group finished the year up 14.7%. Concert promoter Live Nation rode a string of record-setting quarters to a 34.2% gain. HYBE, the increasingly diversified K-pop company, rose 34.6%. SM Entertainment, in which HYBE acquired a minority stake in March, gained 20.1%.
A handful of smaller companies also finished the year with big gains. LiveOne gained 117.4%. Reservoir Media improved 19.4%. Chinese music streamer Cloud Music improved 15.8%.
The biggest loser on the Billboard Global Music Index in 2023 was radio broadcaster iHeartMedia, which fell 56.4%. Abu Dhabi-based music streamer Anghami finished 2023 down 34.8%. After a series of large fluctuations in recent months, Anghami ended the year 69% below its high mark for 2023. Hipgnosis Songs Fund, currently undergoing a strategic review after shareholders voted against continuation in October, finished the year down 16.6%.
Sphere Entertainment Co., which split from MSG Entertainment’s live entertainment business back in April, ended 2023 down 24.4%. Most of that decline came before the company opened its flagship venue, Sphere, in Las Vegas on September 29, however. Since U2 opened the venue to widespread acclaim and earned Sphere global media coverage, the stock dropped only 8.5%.
For the week, the index rose 1.1% to 1,534.07. Fourteen of the index’s 20 stocks posted gains this week, four dropped in price and one was unchanged.
LiveOne shares rose 15.7% to $1.40 after the company announced on Friday (Dec. 29) it added 63,000 new paid memberships in December and surpassed 3.5 million total memberships, an increase of 29% year over year. iHeartMedia shares climbed 14.6% to $2.67. Anghami continued its ping-pong trajectory by finishing the week up 16.9%.
Deezer shares fell 6.4% this week after France’s National Assembly approved a 1.2% tax on streaming revenue on Tuesday (Dec. 19). The new tax, which is meant to support local cultural programs, taxes effect in January and will be owed on top of existing tax obligations.
Deezer CEO Jeronimo Folgueira called the tax “the worst possible outcome of all the different scenarios” the company faced from the French government. “Adding taxes is the worst way of trying to support the industry,” he told Billboard. France is Deezer’s home and largest market, accounting for roughly 60% of its revenue in the first nine months of 2023, according to the company’s latest earnings report.
Spotify immediately pulled sponsorship support for two local music festivals to help offset the additional tax burden. France is not as important to Spotify as to Deezer, however, and the new tax was probably not a factor in the 1.3% decline in Spotify’s share price this week. Spotify would be far more affected if other countries followed France’s lead — a possibility raised by Deezer’s Folgueira. “It sets a very dangerous precedent for other markets,” he warned.
SiriusXM investors were unfazed by the news that the New York attorney general’s office had sued the company for allegedly making customers go through a “burdensome” cancellation process. The satellite radio company’s stock finished the week up 1.3% to $5.47 despite a lawsuit that alleges SiriusXM “deliberately wastes its subscribers’ time even though it has the ability to process cancellations with the click of a button.” The company said it will “vigorously defend against these baseless allegations” that “grossly mischaracterize” its practices.
The Billboard Global Music Index fell 0.3% to 1,517.98, lowering its year-to-date gain to 30.0%. Nine of the index’s 20 stocks posted gains this week; 11 stocks ended the week in negative territory.
Shares of streaming company LiveOne gained 10% to $2.21 after the company on Tuesday (Dec. 19) raised its guidance for revenue for its fiscal year ended March 31, 2024, to a range of $118 million to $120 million, up from $105 million to $110 million. The company also said that it’s finalizing a restructuring of its merchandising business, first announced on Dec. 14, that will reduce headcount by 75 to 100 staffers and result in $5 million to $10 million of cost savings.
Three other companies in the Billboard Global Music Index posted gains of 5% or more this week. Sphere Entertainment Co. rose 5.4% to $34.32. Warner Music Group improved 5.1% to $35.29. And K-pop company SM Entertainment gained 5% to 90,100 won ($69.32).
Major indexes fared better than music stocks as investors reacted positively to Friday’s announcement by the Federal Reserve that U.S. prices rose less than expected in November. In the United States, the Nasdaq composite gained 1.2% to 14,992.97 and the S&P 500 improved 0.8% to 4,754.63. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 rose 1.6% to 7,697.51, while South Korea’s KOSPI composite index climbed 1.4% to 2,599.51.
SiriusXM’s announcement that it planned to merge its stock with Liberty SiriusXM Group, a tracking stock of Liberty Media, helped the SiriusXM share price climb 16.4% to $5.40 this week after it lagged for much of 2023. Friday’s high mark of $5.78 nearly brought the stock back to where it ended 2022, at $5.84 per share.
The deal, which requires regulatory approval and is expected to be completed in the third quarter of 2024, “will create value for all stockholders by eliminating the tracking stock structure, enhancing liquidity and allowing former LSXM stockholders to participate directly in the ongoing performance of SiriusXM,” said Greg Maffei, Liberty Media president/CEO, in a statement released Tuesday (Dec. 12).
Elsewhere, Live Nation climbed 9.2% to $93.00 this week thanks in part to an investor note by Morgan Stanley analysts that raised the price target to $110 from $100. Analysts pointed to a “secular shift” in consumer spending on experiences, the company’s increased disclosure about its Venue Nation business and a “highly unlikely” chance the Department of Justice will break up the company following its antitrust probe. Morgan Stanley’s $110 price target implies the stock, which is up 33.4% year to date, has 18% upside after Friday’s close.
Those big gains from SiriusXM and Live Nation, as well as a 4.1% gain from Universal Music Group, one of the index’s most valuable components, helped the Billboard Global Music Index increase 2.2% this week to a record 1,522.78. Nine of the index’s 20 stocks finished the week in positive territory, 10 stocks lost ground and one was unchanged.
Other indexes soared this week after the U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates unchanged on Wednesday (Dec. 13) and indicated it would cut interest rates three times in 2024. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite set a record closing price of 14,813.92 on Friday, marking a 2.8% gain for the week. The S&P 500 is still 2% away from its high mark after finishing the week up 2.5% to 4,719.19. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 rose 0.3% to 7,576.36. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index gained 1.8% to 2,563.56.
The Billboard Global Music Index’s second-largest increase came from Reservoir Media, which gained 15% to $6.82. The stock’s $6.89 closing price on Thursday was its highest since $7.06 on Feb. 16 and is 31.4% above its 52-week low of $5.19 set on Aug. 10. Chinese music streamer Tencent Music Entertainment gained 8.0% to $8.88.
Hipgnosis Songs Fund gained 4.9% to 0.701 pounds ($0.89) after the company announced on Monday (Dec. 11) the sale of 20,000 non-core music assets for $23.1 million. The proceeds will be used to pay down its revolving credit facility. On Friday, the company also announced the appointment of Christopher Mills as an independent non-executive director effective immediately. Mills, who has a reputation as an activist investor, is CEO/investment manager of North Atlantic Smaller Companies Investment Trust and founded Harwood Capital Management in 2011. Following the news, Hipgnosis Songs Fund shares rose 2.3% on Friday.
Music streaming company Anghami dropped 30.4% to $0.94, bringing its three-week decline to 66.5%. Other than Anghami, however, no other stock finished the week with a loss greater than 5%. iHeartMedia fell 4.9% to $2.52 and MSG Entertainment dropped 3.2% to $31.16.
SiriusXM will merge its publicly traded stock with a Liberty Media tracking stock to create a single, streamlined public stock, the company announced Tuesday (Dec. 12). The deal — a piece of financial engineering rather than an overhaul of the companies’ organizations — will create a new public company that continues to use the SiriusXM brand.
SiriusXM and Liberty Media laid out numerous benefits of the transaction: a simplified equity structure; enhanced trading liquidity; a larger float (a larger percentage of outstanding shares on the market); the elimination of a multi-class stock structure; greater strategic flexibility; and greater potential for inclusion in stock indexes.
Investors have had two ways of investing in SiriusXM: the SiriusXM stock that trades on the Nasdaq and Liberty SiriusXM Group (LXSM), a “tracking stock” created by majority shareholder Liberty Media. (A tracking stock is a stock that depends on the financial performance of a specific business unit or division.) LXSM accounts for 84% of SiriusXM’s 3.84 billion outstanding shares; SiriusXM’s public shareholders own the remaining 16%.
On Sept. 26, with SiriusXM’s typically stable stock price down 26% year to date, Liberty Media announced a proposal to merge the two stocks. As detailed Tuesday, Liberty will separate Liberty SiriusXM Group by creating “SplitCo,” which will holds all LXSM assets and liabilities. SplitCo will immediately acquire SiriusXM in an all-stock transaction to form “New SiriusXM” with one class of common stock. New SiriusXM is expected to continue to be traded on the Nasdaq under the familiar stock ticker SIRI.
Former LXSM shareholders will get 8.4 shares in New SiriusXM for each share of LXSM and will own 81% of the post-merger company’s outstanding shares. Former SiriusXM shareholders will own the remaining 19%.
The new company will have a leverage ratio of 3.9 at close and a target leverage ratio of 3.0 (net debt to earnings before taxes, interest, depreciation and amortization). New SiriusXM has secured financing commitments up to $1.1 billion to fund the refinancing of a LXSM loan and an exchangeable bond. The companies told investors share buybacks will take less priority until that target leverage is reached.
“This combination will create value for all stockholders by eliminating the tracking stock structure, enhancing liquidity and allowing former LSXM stockholders to participate directly in the ongoing performance of SiriusXM,” said Greg Maffei, Liberty president/CEO, in a statement. “SiriusXM commands the largest paid share-of-ear in the car and has proven itself as an incredibly successful and profitable business. We are confident SiriusXM will continue to create value by building on its resilient business model to execute its strategic initiatives.”
“We are pleased that the Special Committee of our Board of Directors has reached this agreement with Liberty Media, which will allow SiriusXM to enter its next phase of value creation,” added Jennifer Witz, CEO of SiriusXM. “In a highly fragmented audio entertainment industry, SiriusXM has differentiated itself as the leading audio entertainment provider by creating an experience centered on our high-quality, premium, human curated radio that is more relevant than ever. In doing so, we have built a profitable business that is poised for continued success.”
The deal is expected to close in the third quarter of 2024 and is subject to regulatory approvals and a majority vote of Liberty SiriusXM Group shareholders. The transaction has been approved by Liberty Media’s board, a SiriusXM special committee and SiriusXM’s board of directors. The deal will be tax-free to Liberty SiriusXM Group and SiriusXM shareholders, except for cash received instead of fractional shares.
SiriusXM’s stock price has dramatically improved since September thanks to news of the merger plan as well as a 10% increase in its dividend in October. Shares of SiriusXM rose 5.6% to $5.30 following Tuesday’s announcement, reducing its year-to-date deficit to 9.2%.
If YG Entertainment’s re-signing of all four BLACKPINK members is any indication, investors can worry less about K-pop companies’ ability to retain their artists.
YG Entertainment gained 17.2% this week to 59,300 won ($45.00) as investors reacted to news that the four members of BLACKPINK signed to new, exclusive contracts with the agency. (The share price rose 29% the morning the announcement was made.) Uncertainty about contract renewals had caused the company’s share price to decline 16% in the week ended Sept. 22, as news reports out of South Korea said three BLACKPINK members would leave YG and spend just six months out of the year with the group. At the time, the company denied the news and insisted that the deals were still being discussed.
The BLACKPINK renewal appeared to have a positive impact on the stocks of other K-pop companies. Shares of HYBE gained 12.3% to 237,500 won ($180.24), while SM Entertainment shares rose 3.6% to 88,200 won ($66.94). Those improvements far exceeded the 0.5% gain posted by South Korea’s KOSPI composite index.
The Billboard Global Music Index gained 2.2% to a record 1,481.56, surpassing the previous high of 1,426.49 set four weeks earlier. That brought the index’s year-to-date gain to 26.9%. Half of the index’s 20 stocks finished the week in positive territory.
This week’s 2.2% gain outpaced major indexes around the world. In the United States, the Nasdaq improved 0.7% to 14,403.97 while the S&P 500 rose 0.2% to 4,604.37, reaching an all-time high of 4,609.23 on Friday (Dec. 8). In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 gained 0.3% to 7,554.47.
Spotify was the biggest contributor to the Billboard Global Music Index’s gain this week. The streaming company — the largest component of the 20-company, float-adjusted index — enjoyed a double-digit increase this week, gaining 9.6% to $198.05 after Monday’s news the company will lay off 17% of its workers. Following Thursday’s news that CFO Paul Vogel will leave the company in March 2024, Spotify shares rose 1.1% on Friday.
Another stock to react to financial news was Sphere Entertainment Co., which announced the sale of $225 million in convertible senior notes that mature in 2028. That sent the company’s shares down 15.5%, but the stock recovered most of its losses and finished the week down only 5.3% to $32.66. Following the debt announcement, Sphere Entertainment was upgraded by Seaport to a “buy” with a $38 price target, representing a 16.4% upside over Friday’s closing price. U2 concerts were doing $500,000 more per show than expected and the $99 average ticket price to the Darren Aronofsky film Postcard From Earth was above analysts’ $84 estimate.
The smallest stock on the index, Abu Dhabi-based music streamer Anghami, dropped 41.3% to $1.35 without any regulatory filings or other news. The stock was trading below $1.00 per share as recently as Nov. 15 but jumped to $3.49 on Nov. 21 on trading volume of 57.7 million shares, or about 50 times the daily average.
YG Entertainment has renewed its exclusive contract with all four members of BLACKPINK, the company announced Wednesday (Dec. 6), sending stock in the K-pop giant soaring on news that its most successful act would remain with the agency. At the market’s open, YG’s share price skyrocketed from 48,000 KRW ($36.57) — its lowest since January […]