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Universal Music Group (UMG) shares rose 4.9% on Thursday (Feb. 29), the day after its fourth-quarter earnings revealed record revenue of 11.1 billion euros ($12 billion) in 2023 and strong subscription-related growth in the fourth quarter. The music giant’s stock finished the week up 2.3% to 27.87 euros ($30.25), bringing its year-to-date gain to 6.8%.
Investors also received details about the financial impacts of UMG’s company-wide layoffs. A reduction in global headcount is expected to save 75 million euros ($81.3 million) in 2024, 125 million euros ($135.5 million) in 2025 and 250 million euros ($271 million) annually by 2026. UMG has not specified the number of employees being laid off, but Billboard had identified nearly 50 across the company by Friday afternoon (Mar. 1). A second phase of layoffs and “other operational efficiencies” is scheduled to begin in 2025 and run through 2026, according to UMG’s latest investor presentation.
In reducing its headcount and eliminating some positions, UMG is “redesigning our organization to enhance our capabilities in the areas most critical to our future growth and success,” CFO Boyd Muir said during the earnings call Wednesday (Feb. 28). “These changes will strengthen our leadership team, foster innovation and create significant efficiencies across our business.”
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Also enjoying gains this week were some of the other largest companies in the 20-member Billboard Global Music Index. Spotify rose 3.0% to $263.75, Warner Music Group improved 3.2% to $35.48 and Live Nation increased 1.9% to $97.15. The index itself rose 1.9% to a record 1,715.81, with 11 stocks in positive territory.
Stocks had another strong week in the United States overall. On Friday, the Nasdaq composite surpassed its previous high from 2021 and finished the week up 1.7% to 16,274.94. Chipmaker Nvidia rose another 4.4% to $822.79 this week after gaining 8.5% the previous week. Meta shares were up 3.8% to $502.30 following its announcement on Thursday that it will “deprecate” (i.e. remove) its Facebook News tab in the United States and Australia. The S&P 500 gained 0.9% to 5,137.08 — its first close over 5,100.
In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 fell 0.3% to 7,682.50. South Korea’s KOSPI Composite index fell 0.9% to 2,642.36, mirroring the declines of K-pop companies HYBE (down 7.6%), SM Entertainment (down 2.5%), JYP Entertainment (down 3.4%) and YG Entertainment (down 3.9%). China’s Shangai Composite Index gained 0.7% to 3,027.02.
Sphere Entertainment Co. was music’s greatest gainer of the week after its share price rose 8.4% to $44.29. The price jumped 6.2% on Thursday after an SEC filing revealed chairman/CEO James Dolan acquired an additional 59,000 shares, ranging from $40.48 to $41.46 per share. Less impactful to the share price was TMZ‘s news that the Eagles are in talks for a fall residency at the $2.3 billion Sphere in Las Vegas. After U2’s residency ends this weekend, Sphere will host Phish for four dates in April and Dead & Company for 24 dates spanning from May 16 to July 13. Sphere shares have gained 30.3% year to date.
French music streamer Deezer was the next-best performer of the week after gaining 5.1% to 2.25 euros ($2.44). The company reported fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday that showed improvements in subscriber court and average revenue per user. Revenue of 130.7 million euros ($141 million) was up 12.1% from the prior-year period. The same day, Deezer also announced the departure of CEO Jeronimo Folgueira. “Deezer is back on a growth trajectory and can now build from a solid foundation,” said chairwoman Iris Knobloch.
Believe shares rose 4.2% to 15.50 euros ($16.82) after the French music company announced that it received interest from a third party; a consortium consisting of founder Denis Ladegaillerie and two major shareholders launched a bid in February to take the company private at 15.00 euros per share. On Friday, Believe revealed it received “a confidential exploratory non-binding approach” from another party that valued the company at “at least” 17.00 euros ($18.45) per share. Believe was careful to note the third party’s approach did not constitute an obligation to make an offer. Still, the appearance of another possible bidder was enough to push Believe’s share price above the consortium’s earlier 15.00 euros-per-share bid.
Shares of Chinese music streamer Cloud Music dropped 0.5% to 90.45 HKD ($11.55). The company announced Thursday that music subscribers grew 8.7% to 205.9 million in the fourth quarter, with subscription growth helping revenue from online music services increase 17.6% to 4.4 billion RMB ($611 million) — although total revenue fell 12.5% to 7.78 billion RMB ($1.09 billion). Gross profit improved 63% to 2.1 billion RMB ($292 million) and net profit improved to 818.5 million RMB ($114 million) from a net loss of 114.6 million RMB ($16 million) in 2022.
iHeartMedia shares fell 2.6% to $2.26 after a seesaw week for the country’s leading radio broadcaster. The stock rose 22.0% to $2.77 on Thursday after the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report suggested the fog might be lifting from an advertising slowdown that has hurt broadcast radio revenues. After fourth-quarter revenue fell about 5%, iHeartMedia’s first-quarter revenue is expected to be down 2% to flat. Podcasts were a bright spot, growing 16.6% in the fourth quarter and 13.8% for the full year. Nearly all of Thursday’s gain was erased on Friday, however, when iHeartMedia shares fell 18.4%.
Cumulus Media suffered the largest loss amongst music stocks after falling 20.4% to $3.74. On Tuesday (Feb. 27), the radio broadcaster said its 2023 revenues fell 11.4% to $844.5 million and announced a debt exchange offer that would allow lenders to swap 6.750% notes due 2026 for 8.750% notes due 2029. The company is also offering to exchange term loans under a 2019 credit facility for new term loans.
Cumulus Media led all music stocks this week by gaining 20.2% to $4.70 after the radio broadcaster announced it had employed a “poison pill” to ward off a Singapore-based investor.
In January, Renew Group Private Ltd increased its stake in Cumulus Media from 5.2% to 10.01%. To protect the best interests of all Cumulus shareholders, the board of directors explained, the company chose to enact a “limited-duration shareholder rights plan” that would dilute Renew Group’s equity if it exceeds a 15% stake. In justifying the move, Cumulus said Renew Group has investments in other media companies, including a direct competitor to Cumulus.
Music stocks were broadly up this week as the Billboard Global Music Index improved 1.5% to a new high of 1,684.49. The index is up 9.8% in the young year and has gained 38.4% over the past 52 weeks. Of the index’s 20 stocks, 13 finished the week in positive territory, six lost value and one was unchanged.
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Stock markets around the world reached new highs this week, too. In the United States, the Dow reached a new closing high of 5,088.80 on Friday (Feb. 23) after surpassing 5,100 for the first time earlier in the day. The Nasdaq composite also reached a new high on Friday and finished the week up 1.4% to 15,996.82. The S&P 500 improved 1.7% to a new closing high of 5,088.80. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index reached an all-time high on Thursday (Feb. 22), finally surpassing the previous record reached in 1989 when the Japanese economy was the world’s envy.
Music streamer LiveOne was the second-best performing music stock of the week after its shares jumped 17.9% to $1.71, bringing its year-to-date improvement to 22.1%. With no other music stocks posting double-digit gains, the next best performance came from Chinese music streamer Cloud Music. Its shares rose 4.1% to 90.95 HKD ($11.63) as Chinese stocks finished the week strong after hitting a five-year low in February. In an attempt to bolster the market, Chinese regulators this week established trading restrictions such as limits on short-selling and institutional investors.
Spotify shares gained another 4.0% this week to close at $256.10, bringing its year-to-date gain to an impressive 36.3% (which has added approximately $13.4 billion to its market capitalization). On Wednesday (Feb. 21), the company announced the creation of a new music advisory agency, AUX, that will connect brands with artists. The inaugural campaign matches Coca-Cola with DJ-producer Peggy Gou in what the company called “a long-term partnership that will span live concerts and events, social media content, a branded playlist, and on-platform promotional support.”
Live Nation shares finished the week up 2.2% to $95.32 and rose 2% on Friday following the company’s encouraging fourth-quarter earnings release. Morgan Stanley raised its price target from $110 to $120 in part because Live Nation said it expects double-digit growth in adjusted operating income in 2024 thanks to a busy touring schedule in its high-margin amphitheaters. “This is going to be a great year,” president/CEO Michael Rapino said during Thursday’s earnings call.
Radio broadcaster iHeartMedia was the index’s biggest loser of the week after dropping 12.5% to $2.32. The company will announce its results for the fourth quarter of 2023 on Feb. 29.
Believe’s share price jumped 19.2% to 14.78 euros ($15.93) this week following Monday’s news that a consortium including founder/CEO Denis Ladegaillerie plans to take the company private at 15.00 euros per share. The scant difference between the offer price and Friday’s closing price suggests investors believe Ladegaillerie, along with investment funds EQT and TCV, is likely to get the deal done.
“Believe has a significant opportunity ahead to consolidate the independent music market and create the first global major independent,” Ladegaillerie said in a statement. But the consortium, which has 71.9% of outstanding shares, has a good distance to go. After the group obtains a 75% stake through already agreed-upon transactions with some shareholders, it will acquire regulatory approvals and the opinion of an independent expert before making a tender offer for the remaining shares.
The Billboard Global Music Index rose 1.4% to a record 1,659.96 as 13 of the index’s 20 stocks finished the week in positive territory. That brought the index’s year-to-date gain to 8.2%. Over the last 52 weeks, the index is up 29.4%.
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Thanks to Believe’s double-digit gain and improvements from some large companies such as Live Nation, CTS Eventim and Spotify, the Billboard Global Music Index outperformed many other indexes around the world. In the US, the Nasdaq composite and the S&P 500 declined 1.3% and 0.4%, respectively. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index rose 1.1% to 2,648.76. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 gained 1.8% to 7,711.71.
U.S. stocks had an off week, rocked by news on Tuesday (Feb. 13) that U.S. prices rose 0.3% in January. That led investors to flee from stocks for fear that the higher-than-expected inflation figures would cause the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates high to cool the economy. Then on Thursday (Feb. 15), numbers from the U.S. Census Bureau showed that retail sales fell 0.8% in January, worse than the expected 0.3% decline and well below December’s 0.4% gain.
Spotify gained another 2.2% to $246.18, bringing its year-to-date gain to 31.0%. Live Nation shares improved 4.2% to $93.27 ahead of the company’s fourth-quarter earnings release on Feb. 22. Reservoir Media rose 8.6% to $6.96 a week after the company raised its guidance for full-year results and posted 19% revenue growth last quarter.
K-pop stocks have had a terrible start to 2024, though there was some improvement this week. SM Entertainment gained 9.7% to 80,100 won ($60.11), improving its year-to-date decline to 13%. HYBE, which is down 10.7% year-to-date, gained 4.3% to 208,500 won ($156.46). YG Entertainment rose 3.1% to 43,500 won ($32.64) but has fallen 14.5% in 2024. And JYP Entertainment managed a modest 0.7% gain, bringing its year-to-date deficit to 24.4%.
K-pop is having amazing charts and sales success and selling out large venues around the world, but the South Korean companies behind those artists are off to a terrible start in 2024.
Through Friday (Feb. 2), four K-pop stocks — HYBE, SM Entertainment, JYP Entertainment and YG Entertainment — have fallen an average of 17% year to date. HYBE, home to BTS and its members’ various solo projects, has had the best performance with a 12% decline, while JYP Entertainment is the worst of the group with a 24.1% loss. Elsewhere, YG Entertainment has lost 14.7% and SM Entertainment is down 17.4%. Korean stocks in general have gotten off to a much better start: Through Feb. 2, the KOSPI composite index of Korean companies increased 5.5%.
Investors may feel K-pop’s finances are less than reliable after news broke this week that Kakao Corp. is auditing SM Entertainment’s financial practices following its acquisition of a 40% equity stake in 2023, according to reports out of South Korea. Kakao’s audio committee is investigating “the appropriateness of investment decisions made by SM management without holding prior consultations with Kakao,” a Kakao official told The Korea Times. For the time being, Kakao is only auditing SM Entertainment’s books, not overhauling its management or considering selling its shares. Amidst heavy media coverage in Korea, Kakao went as far as to issue a statement on Monday (Jan. 29) to dispel rumors it will sell its stake in SM.
Spotify, on the other hand, is soaring ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings report on Tuesday (Feb. 6). The music streaming giant gained 3.8% to $222.31 this week, bringing its year-to-date gain to 18.4%. Spotify shares rose 1.6% on Friday after news broke the company had signed a new distribution deal with popular podcaster Joe Rogan. Spotify will sell ads for and distribute The Joe Rogan Experience on several multiple podcast platforms, according to the Wall Street Journal. So, unlike the previous deal, Rogan’s show will not be exclusive to Spotify and will be available on YouTube and elsewhere.
Although Rogan is no longer exclusive to Spotify, the deal could be extremely lucrative. An upfront minimum guarantee and ad revenue share could be worth up to $250 million, according to the report. While Rogan has proved to be enduringly popular, Spotify kept its relationship with the comedian while maintaining distance from its previous strategy of high-priced, exclusive content deals. Call Her Daddy is no longer exclusive to Spotify, Barack and Michelle Obama departed for Amazon’s Audible, and the former royals, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, were not renewed.
Investors’ enthusiasm for Spotify hasn’t spilled over to other music streaming companies, however. Abu Dhabi-based music streamer Anghami fell 10.1% to $0.98 this week, bringing its year-to-date decline to 5.8%. Three other music streaming companies also posted losses: France’s Deezer fell 2.3%, U.S.-based LiveOne sank 5.3% and China’s Cloud Music dropped 6.2%. Tencent Music Entertainment, China’s largest music streaming company, rose 0.4%.
The Billboard Global Music Index fell 0.4% to 1,588.68 this week as 13 of the 20 stocks posted losses and only seven stocks finished the week in positive territory. Stocks were broadly up in the United States: the Nasdaq composite gained 1.1% to 15,628.95 and the S&P 500 improved 1.4% to 4,958.61. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 dropped 0.3%. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index gained 5.5%. China’s Shanghai Composite Index sank 6.1% to 2,730.15.
German concert promoter CTS Eventim was the greatest gainer this week with a 4.1% gain. Two other live entertainment companies, Sphere Entertainment Co. and MSG Entertainment, ended the week up 2.8% and 0.7%, respectively.
Among the week’s biggest losers was Hipgnosis Songs Fund, which fell 7.5% to 0.653 pounds per share. Hipgnosis fell 2.5% on Friday after news broke that Merck Mercuriadis is stepping down as CEO of the fund’s investment advisor, Hipgnosis Song Management, and will become chairman. President/COO Ben Katovsky will take over the CEO role.
Spotify shares gained 4.7% to $214.13 this week, helping the Billboard Global Music Index improve 2.3% to a record 1,595.11. Spotify’s fourth consecutive weekly increase came two weeks ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings on Feb. 6, which will show the full impact of its recent price increases in the United States and other major markets.
If a rising tide lifts all boats, Netflix’s superlative fourth-quarter earnings report explains why Spotify shares posted yet another positive week. Netflix shares rose 18.1% to $570.42 this week — including a 10.7% gain on Wednesday alone — after the company said it added 13.1 million subscribers in the fourth quarter, the most since 2020, with revenue up 12.5% to $8.8 billion. Not only was the quarter encouraging for streaming in general, the video streaming giant offered the music business some insights about finding growth in a maturing market: Netflix’s growth hasn’t been hurt by either the company’s constant price increases or its recent efforts to limit password sharing. In fact, pricing played an important part in that growth.
“As we invest in and improve Netflix, we’ll occasionally ask our members to pay a little extra to reflect those improvements, which in turn helps drive the positive flywheel of additional investment to further improve and grow our service,” the company stated in a letter to shareholders. Cutting down on password sharing has made an impact, too. Netflix said “millions” of subscribers are using features such as Transfer Profile (a user transfers a profile from a shared account to a new account) and Extra Member (adding a user to an account for $7.99 per month in the United States), and that paid sharing “is now a normal course of business.”
Because of its large market capitalization, Spotify’s gain was a major factor in the Billboard Global Music Index’s 2.3% gain this week. The top-performing music stock of the week was iHeartMedia, which gained 26.7% to $2.85, putting it 68% below its 52-week high of $9.01. Music streaming company LiveOne was another high performer, gaining 13.5% to $1.51. The company announced on Thursday that Podcast One — LiveOne spun off the podcast company and remains a majority owner — reached new agreements with two of its most popular podcasts, The Adam Carolla Podcast and The Adam and Dr. Drew Show. Elsewhere, Sphere Entertainment Co. shares rose 8.7% to $34.45 following the company’s recent hire of Jennifer Koester, a former Google executive, as president of Sphere Business Operations, effective Feb. 5. One of Koester’s duties will be to develop a corporate conference business for product launches and other events.
Eight of the index’s 20 stocks fell this week — although none dropped more than 3%. SiriusXM shares fell 1.5% to $5.34; the company announced Wednesday that it would maintain its quarterly cash dividend at $0.02666 per share. Hipgnosis Songs Fund fell 2.1% to 0.7057 pounds per share amidst multiple regulatory filings that hinted at tension between the company’s new board and its investment advisor, Hipgnosis Song Management. Hipgnosis shareholders will vote on Feb. 7 on a proposal that would result in paying a fee to bidders on its catalog.
Stocks were broadly up in the United States this week as positive economic news made an impact on markets. The tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 0.9% to 15,455.36 and the S&P 500 rose 1.1% to 4,890.97. Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta reached new highs this week, though Tesla shares fell 13.6% after the company warned vehicle unit sales in 2024 “may be notably lower” than last year. On Friday, Intel shares fell 11.9% after the company offered investors a disappointing outlook for the current quarter during its Thursday earnings release.
On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Commerce’s Bureau of Economic Analysis released data that showed gross domestic product grew at a better-than-expected annualized rate of 3.3% in the fourth quarter of 2023. Then on Friday, the Department of Commerce released data that showed personal incomes ended the year on a high note by increasing 0.3% in December. What’s more, a measure of how much people are spending showed that price increases have slowed. Personal consumption expenditures in December were 2.6% higher year over year (and 2.9% higher excluding food and energy). Last week, new consumer sentiment data showed an improvement in Americans’ feelings about the economy and their expectations for future inflation.
Stocks also improved outside of the United States. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 rose 2.3% to 7,635.09. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index improved 0.2% to 2,478.56. And China’s SSE Composite Index jumped 2.8% to 2,910.22.
Universal Music Group (UMG) shares almost hit an all-time high on Friday, reaching 27.47 euros ($29.98) before closing at 27.22 euros ($29.21), a 1% increase for the week. That was close to the peak of 27.96 euros ($30.52) reached on Nov. 12, 2021, less than two months after the company was spun off from Vivendi, and marked a new 52-week high. The 1% gain followed a 6.9% improvement last week as investors reacted to news that the company expects to lay off staff in the first quarter.
If French music company Believe is taken private, as has been reported, shareholders would expect a premium over the recent share price. That would explain why the company’s share price rose 13.5% to 10.18 euros ($11.11) this week — more than offsetting the 10.5% decline Believe shares experienced last week after news broke of the potential takeover. According to a Reuters report, Believe co-founder/CEO Denis Ladegaillerie and U.S. investment firm TCV have floated the idea to private equity firms.
The S&P 500 rose 1.2% to close at a record high of 4,839.81 on Friday, surpassing the previous peak set two years ago. The Nasdaq didn’t set a record but fared even better, climbing 2.3% to 15,310.97. Stocks in other countries didn’t match the gains in U.S. markets. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 dropped 2.1% to 7,461.93. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index fell 2.1% to 2,472.74. China’s Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index sank 1.7% to 2,832.28.
Music stocks were slightly off last week’s record high despite Believe’s double-digit gain and the majority of music stocks finishing the week in positive territory. The 20-company Billboard Global Music Index fell 0.4% to 1,559.48 this week, down slightly from last week’s all-time high of 1,566.45. Twelve of the 20 stocks had gains this week. Other than Believe’s takeover-related jump, the best-performing music stocks had only low, single-digit gains. MSG Entertainment rose 4.1% to 33.48 and SiriusXM improved 4% to $5.42.
The index’s most valuable companies improved slightly: In addition to UMG’s 1% gain, Spotify improved 0.8% to $204.71 and Live Nation climbed 0.6% to $91.18. Those gains were overshadowed by losses by radio giant iHeartMedia, which fell 1.7% to $2.25, and three Asian companies: HYBE, SM Entertainment and Tencent Music Entertainment.
The index’s biggest losers were K-pop companies HYBE and SM Entertainment, which fell 10.9% and 10.3%, respectively. HYBE has been on a roller coaster in January, jumping 9.6% from Dec. 28 to Jan. 11 before falling 14.1% over the next six trading days. SM Entertainment jumped 20.5% from the end of December to Jan. 11 but has only dropped 3.4% from its high point. Another big mover this week was Chinese music streamer Tencent Music Entertainment, which dropped 9.5% to $8.51.
There was good news for all companies on Friday when the closely watched University of Michigan’s Index of Consumer Sentiment jumped 13% in January, its highest level since July 2021. Over the last two months, consumer sentiment has risen 29% and Americans’ expectations for future inflation dropped to 2.9%. Consumer sentiment is now 60% above the all-time low from June 2022 but remains 7% below the historical average.
Music companies will soon announce earnings results for the quarter ended Dec. 31. The first companies out of the gate are SiriusXM on Feb. 1 and Spotify on Feb. 6.
Universal Music Group (UMG) shares rose 3% on Friday — the same day news broke that the company will lay off hundreds of staffers — and finished the week up 6.9% to 26.95 euros ($29.54). The prospect of cost savings made UMG the top-performing music stock of the week, beating French music streaming company Deezer’s 6.5% gain and 6% improvements by both Chinese music streamer Tencent Music Entertainment and live entertainment company MSG Entertainment.
UMG first let investors know it was planning layoffs in its October earnings call. On Friday, a report by Bloomberg said UMG is planning layoffs as early as this quarter, primarily in its recorded music division. A company spokesperson declined to comment on the scope and timetable of the layoffs but told Billboard UMG is “creating efficiencies” in certain areas of the business “so we can remain nimble and responsive to the dynamic market, while realizing the benefits of our scale.” UMG’s stock gained 14.7% in 2023.
Despite no stocks finishing the week with double-digit gains, the 20-company Billboard Global Music Index rose 3.6% to a record 1,566.45 as 12 companies posted gains and eight companies’ share prices declined. Streaming companies led the way with an average gain of 3.9%. Live music companies averaged a 0.7% improvement. Record labels and publishers dropped an average of 1.5%. Radio companies lost an average of 4%.
Music stocks topped the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite, which gained 3.1% to 14,972.76 and easily bested the S&P 500’s 1.8% increase to 4,783.83. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 fell 0.8% to 7,624.93. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index dropped 2.1% to 2,525.05.
The index got a big lift from Spotify’s 4.9% gain to $203.03 this week. Spotify has surged 12.4% since it announced layoffs on December 4 and pledged to operate more efficiently. On Thursday, Spotify closed above $200 for the first time since Feb. 1, 2022. At Friday’s closing price, the stock is up 120.5% in the last 52 weeks.
Live Nation finished the week up 1.6% to $90.66 after Roth analyst Eric Handler upgraded the stock to “buy” and increased the price target from $92 to $114. The $114 price target implies a nearly 26% upside from Friday’s closing price.
Shares of French music company Believe fell 10.5% to 8.97 euros ($9.83) on Friday’s news that the company’s investors were pursuing taking the company private. According to a Reuters report, Believe’s largest shareholders, which includes founder Denis Ladegaillerie and U.S. investment firm TCV, have been working with advisors to gauge the interest of private equity firms. In the first nine months of 2023, Believe, the owner of digital distributor TuneCore and record labels such as PlayTwo and Jo&Co, had revenue of 630.4 million euros ($691 million), up 14.8% year over year.
While other companies in recorded music and publishing posted gains this week, K-pop stocks were down across the board. HYBE’s 2% decline to 247,000 won ($188.05) was the best of the four South Korean music companies. JYP Entertainment fell 8.3% to 96,600 won ($73.54). Two others each dropped 5.9%: SM Entertainment closed at 88,200 won ($67.15) and YG Entertainment finished the week at 43,100 won ($32.81).
Music stocks mirrored the poor start to 2024 seen in markets around the world, but K-pop giant HYBE bucked the trend with a 7.9% gain to 252,000 won ($191.67) this week. HYBE made the news multiple times during a relatively slow, holiday-shortened week — though none of it was the type of financial news that […]
The Billboard Global Music Index — a diverse collection of 20 publicly traded music companies — finished 2023 up 31.3% as Spotify’s share price alone climbed 138% thanks to cost-cutting and focus on margins. Spotify is the single-largest component of the float-adjusted index and has one of the largest market capitalizations of any music company.
The music index was outperformed by the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite, which gained 43.4% with the help of triple-digit gains from chipmaker Nvidia Corp (+239%) and Meta Platforms (+194%). But the Billboard Global Music Index exceeded some other major indexes: the S&P 500 gained 24.2%, South Korea’s KOSPI composite index grew 18.7% and the FTSE 100 improved 3.8%.
Other than Spotify, a handful of major companies had double-digit gains in 2023 that drove the index’s improvement. Universal Music Group finished the year up 14.7%. Concert promoter Live Nation rode a string of record-setting quarters to a 34.2% gain. HYBE, the increasingly diversified K-pop company, rose 34.6%. SM Entertainment, in which HYBE acquired a minority stake in March, gained 20.1%.
A handful of smaller companies also finished the year with big gains. LiveOne gained 117.4%. Reservoir Media improved 19.4%. Chinese music streamer Cloud Music improved 15.8%.
The biggest loser on the Billboard Global Music Index in 2023 was radio broadcaster iHeartMedia, which fell 56.4%. Abu Dhabi-based music streamer Anghami finished 2023 down 34.8%. After a series of large fluctuations in recent months, Anghami ended the year 69% below its high mark for 2023. Hipgnosis Songs Fund, currently undergoing a strategic review after shareholders voted against continuation in October, finished the year down 16.6%.
Sphere Entertainment Co., which split from MSG Entertainment’s live entertainment business back in April, ended 2023 down 24.4%. Most of that decline came before the company opened its flagship venue, Sphere, in Las Vegas on September 29, however. Since U2 opened the venue to widespread acclaim and earned Sphere global media coverage, the stock dropped only 8.5%.
For the week, the index rose 1.1% to 1,534.07. Fourteen of the index’s 20 stocks posted gains this week, four dropped in price and one was unchanged.
LiveOne shares rose 15.7% to $1.40 after the company announced on Friday (Dec. 29) it added 63,000 new paid memberships in December and surpassed 3.5 million total memberships, an increase of 29% year over year. iHeartMedia shares climbed 14.6% to $2.67. Anghami continued its ping-pong trajectory by finishing the week up 16.9%.
Deezer shares fell 6.4% this week after France’s National Assembly approved a 1.2% tax on streaming revenue on Tuesday (Dec. 19). The new tax, which is meant to support local cultural programs, taxes effect in January and will be owed on top of existing tax obligations.
Deezer CEO Jeronimo Folgueira called the tax “the worst possible outcome of all the different scenarios” the company faced from the French government. “Adding taxes is the worst way of trying to support the industry,” he told Billboard. France is Deezer’s home and largest market, accounting for roughly 60% of its revenue in the first nine months of 2023, according to the company’s latest earnings report.
Spotify immediately pulled sponsorship support for two local music festivals to help offset the additional tax burden. France is not as important to Spotify as to Deezer, however, and the new tax was probably not a factor in the 1.3% decline in Spotify’s share price this week. Spotify would be far more affected if other countries followed France’s lead — a possibility raised by Deezer’s Folgueira. “It sets a very dangerous precedent for other markets,” he warned.
SiriusXM investors were unfazed by the news that the New York attorney general’s office had sued the company for allegedly making customers go through a “burdensome” cancellation process. The satellite radio company’s stock finished the week up 1.3% to $5.47 despite a lawsuit that alleges SiriusXM “deliberately wastes its subscribers’ time even though it has the ability to process cancellations with the click of a button.” The company said it will “vigorously defend against these baseless allegations” that “grossly mischaracterize” its practices.
The Billboard Global Music Index fell 0.3% to 1,517.98, lowering its year-to-date gain to 30.0%. Nine of the index’s 20 stocks posted gains this week; 11 stocks ended the week in negative territory.
Shares of streaming company LiveOne gained 10% to $2.21 after the company on Tuesday (Dec. 19) raised its guidance for revenue for its fiscal year ended March 31, 2024, to a range of $118 million to $120 million, up from $105 million to $110 million. The company also said that it’s finalizing a restructuring of its merchandising business, first announced on Dec. 14, that will reduce headcount by 75 to 100 staffers and result in $5 million to $10 million of cost savings.
Three other companies in the Billboard Global Music Index posted gains of 5% or more this week. Sphere Entertainment Co. rose 5.4% to $34.32. Warner Music Group improved 5.1% to $35.29. And K-pop company SM Entertainment gained 5% to 90,100 won ($69.32).
Major indexes fared better than music stocks as investors reacted positively to Friday’s announcement by the Federal Reserve that U.S. prices rose less than expected in November. In the United States, the Nasdaq composite gained 1.2% to 14,992.97 and the S&P 500 improved 0.8% to 4,754.63. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 rose 1.6% to 7,697.51, while South Korea’s KOSPI composite index climbed 1.4% to 2,599.51.