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K-pop stocks were the hardest hit music stocks on Monday (Aug. 5) as global markets continued Friday’s decline in the U.S. with major selloffs. Four K-pop companies — HYBE, SM Entertainment, JYP Entertainment and YG Entertainment — fell an average of 8.8% on Monday, while a major South Korean stock index, the KOSPI composite index, […]
Radio stocks struggled this week as companies’ second-quarter earnings revealed additional revenue losses.
SiriusXM shares fell 15.6% after the company’s second-quarter earnings on Thursday (Aug. 1) showed a loss of 173,000 satellite radio subscribers and 41,000 Pandora subscribers. Revenue fell 3% to $2.18 billion, although net profit improved 2% to $316 million. In the first quarter, SiriusXM lost 594,000 subscribers, although revenue improved 0.8% to $2.16 billion.
SiriusXM is trying to thread the needle as it expands its product line and gives consumers more options. The new $9.99-per-month streaming service is intended to appeal to a broader audience than potential satellite radio subscribers. At the same time, the company is introducing new pricing tiers for satellite radio, including a $9.99 music-only subscription that can expand to news, talk and sports for additional fees. The trick is not cannibalizing its core, higher-priced satellite offering. “The early results in our testing have been encouraging,” CEO Jennifer Witz said during Thursday’s earnings call. “It shows that we’re getting consumers into the right packages for them.”
Shares of radio broadcaster Cumulus Media fell 21% to $1.62 and dropped as far as $1.29 on Friday (Aug. 2) — a 52-week low — after the company’s second-quarter earnings showed that revenue fell 2.5% and net loss increased to $27.7 million from $1.1 million a year earlier. iHeartMedia, which doesn’t report earnings until Thursday (Aug. 8), appeared to be a casualty of Cumulus Media’s results as its shares fell 12.9% to $1.49.
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Collectively, radio companies have had the worst stock performance of all music companies this year. Year to date, Cumulus Media is down 69.5%, iHeartMedia has fallen 44.2% and SiriusXM is off 42.6%. Only JYP Entertainment, which has fallen 44.3% year to date, has suffered a similar drop.
The Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI), a measure of the market capitalizations of 20 publicly traded music companies, fell 1.1% to 1,739.18. Even though 13 of the 20 stocks lost ground — five of them suffering double-digit declines — gains by some of the index’s most valuable companies nearly offset the losses. HYBE improved 5.3% to 180,800 won ($139.01). Spotify gained 2.8% to $331.02. And Universal Music Group (UMG) rose 0.5% to 21.44 euros ($23.41).
Music stocks have had a case of the summer doldrums after soaring in the winter and spring. The BGMI has fallen for four consecutive weeks and stands 5.9% below its all-time high of 1,847.64 set on May 17. On Friday, the index reached its lowest point since April 19.
Music companies’ losses were compounded by sharp declines in U.S. stock markets on Friday after news that the unemployment rate rose in July stoked fears the economy could enter a recession. The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 3.4% this week and stood in “correction” territory, at 10.1% below its all-time high set on July 11. Amazon fell 8.0% after missing revenue expectations and providing investors with a disappointing forecast. Intel fell 31.5% after announcing broad layoffs, reporting a decline in quarterly revenue and issuing weak guidance.
The S&P 500 dropped 2.1% to 5,346.56. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 gained 2.3% to 8,474.71. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index dropped 2.0% to 2,676.19. China’s Shanghai Composite Index improved 0.5% to 2,905.34.
The week’s greatest gainer was K-pop company JYP Entertainment, which rose 6% to 56,400 won ($41.53). JYP was added to the BGMI this week after Hipgnosis Songs Fund was removed from the London Stock Exchange once its acquisition by Blackstone was completed. Three other K-pop companies were among the week’s few gainers: HYBE improved 5.3%, YG Entertainment rose 2.1% and and SM Entertainment increased 1.0%.
Reservoir Media dropped 14.4% to $7.37 after releasing its quarterly earnings on Wednesday (July 31). Tencent Music Entertainment, which will report earnings on Aug. 13, fell 10.5% to $12.62. Warner Music Group (WMG) fell 5.3% to $28.26. In the wake of UMG’s latest earnings results, which showed a slowdown in subscription revenue, J.P. Morgan dropped its price target on shares of WMG — which will report earnings on Aug. 7 — to $41.00 from $42.00.
By raising prices and cutting costs, Spotify has transformed into the kind of profitable company investors always hoped it could become, and the streamer’s upbeat second-quarter earnings on Tuesday (July 23) led its share price to jump 9.1% to $321.87 this week.
After Spotify announced it grew revenues by 20%, improved its gross margin and beat guidance on new subscriber additions, a slew of analysts raised their price targets, including Goldman Sachs (from $320 to $425), JP Morgan (from $375 to $425), Rosenblatt (from $396 to $399), Pivotal Research (from $400 to $460), Barclays (from $350 to $360), Cowen (from $273 to $356) and B of A Securities (from $380 to $430).
Universal Music Group (UMG), the other music company that released earnings this week, had the opposite reaction from investors when its second-quarter subscription revenue fell far short of analysts’ expectations, leading its share price to drop 24.1% to 21.34 euros ($23.17). But it wasn’t all bad news: Overall revenue at the music giant grew 8.7% to 2.93 billion euros ($3.16 billion) and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) rose 17.4% to 580 million euros ($624 million).
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But investors focused on UMG’s streaming numbers above all else. The recorded music division’s subscription revenue grew 6.9%, down from 12.5% in the prior-year quarter, while overall streaming revenue grew 4.1% compared to 11% a year earlier. A number of analysts lowered their UMG price targets following Wednesday’s earnings announcement, albeit by smaller margins than the decline in the share price.
UMG went public in Sept. 2021, giving investors an opportunity to capitalize on the largest music company during a time of streaming growth and industry expansion. Even optimistic investors will have to bear through short-term ups and downs, however. “If you think the longer term analysis holds then [UMG’s current price] represents a significant buying opportunity,” J.P. Morgan analyst Daniel Kerven wrote in an email to investors on Friday (July 26). “Ultimately we believe you will still get to the same destination…just the pace of getting there was never likely to be linear, particularly on a quarter by quarter basis.”
The Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI) fell 1.2% to 1,757.70 this week, marking the third consecutive weekly decline. The index has risen 14.6% year to date but fell 3.2% in July and is 4.9% off its all-time high of 1,847.64 set on May 17. Nine of the index’s 20 stocks were winners, 10 lost ground and one was unchanged.
UMG’s earnings appeared to have an impact on similar companies that have yet to release their own. Warner Music Group shares fell 6.6% the day UMG released earnings and ended the week down 6.8% to $29.83. Believe shares dropped 9.1% to 13.76 euros ($14.96). However, because UMG’s publishing business fared well — revenues grew 10.1% to 511 million euros ($550 million) — it’s not a coincidence that shares of Reservoir Media, which gets most of its revenue from music publishing, jumped 11.4% to $8.61.
Many major indexes lost ground this week despite gains on Friday following encouraging U.S. inflation data. In the United States, the Nasdaq composite fell 2.1% to 17,357.88 and the S&P 500 declined 0.8% to 5,459.10. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index dipped 2.3% to 2,731.90. China’s Shanghai Composite Index was down 3.1% to 2,890.90. An outlier was the United Kingdom’s FTSE 100, which gained 1.6% to 8,285.71.
Slowing growth in subscription streaming sent Universal Music Group’s share price down 23.5% following the company’s second-quarter earnings report on Wednesday (July 24).
On Thursday (July 25), UMG shares dropped as far as 19.93 euros ($21.61), 29.8% below Wednesday’s closing price, before closing at 21.70 euros ($23.53) – a 23.5% decline that erased 12.2 billion euros ($13.25 billion) from UMG’s market capitalization.
Investors were reacting to a marked slowdown in streaming revenue in UMG’s recorded music division: In the second quarter, music subscription revenue grew 6.9%. That was down from 12.5% in the prior-year quarter, while overall streaming revenue grew 4.1% compared to 11% a year earlier. Non-subscription streaming revenue dropped 4.2% after growing 2.9% in the prior-year quarter.
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Analysts had expected far better. Barclays, for example, forecasted overall streaming growth of 10.5% and subscription growth of 11.0%. Guggenheim had forecast subscription growth of 11.3%.
During Wednesday’s earnings call, Michael Nash, UMG’s executive vp of digital strategy, singled out Spotify, YouTube and “local and regional” platforms for continuing to add subscribers. Apple Music and Amazon Music were conspicuously not mentioned, leading some analysts to believe those platforms are struggling to add new subscribers. “Other larger partners have been less successful at driving global adoption,” said Nash, “and there’s been some slowdown in terms of subscriber additions there.”
Despite the streaming slowdown, UMG managed to improve both top-line revenue and margins. Overall revenue grew 8.7% to 2.93 billion euros ($3.16 billion). As a percentage of revenue, adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) improved to 22.1% from 21.9% in the prior-year period. Physical music sales grew 14.4% and merchandise sales jumped 43.7%. Analysts were far more concerned about the change in streaming, however, and seemed less concerned about improvements in lower-margin physical and merchandising that tend to naturally fluctuate based on new release and touring activity.
Many analysts lowered their price targets following Wednesday’s results, albeit by smaller margins than investors dropped the share price on Thursday. Guggenheim dropped UMG by 14% to 27.50 euros ($29.82). Barclays lowered its price target by 12% to 26.00 euros ($28.20). Citi lowered UMG by 7.8% to 29.50 euros ($28.20). And Kepler Cheuvreux reduced its price target 3.5% to 27.00 euros ($29.28).
For the first half of 2024, the stock market was a microcosm of the shifts in the music industry’s balance of power. Streaming stocks soared as investors rewarded companies that grew their paid-subscriber bases; radio stocks plummeted as companies struggled through a soft advertising market.
Spotify was the best-performing stock in the 20-company Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI) for the measurement period, Jan. 2-June 28, 2024. Shares of the Swedish company, which trades on the New York Stock Exchange, jumped 67.4% to $314.45 on June 28 and reached as high as $331.08 on June 5 — its highest mark since February 2021, the month that the shares closed at their all-time high of $387.44. Subscribers grew to 239 million at the end of March, up 14% from the prior-year period.
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A year-and-a-half ago, Spotify ended 2022 at $70.05, down 66% for the year. The remarkable turnaround stemmed from a change in business strategy. In its formative years, Spotify funded its rapid growth at the expense of profits. Investors tacitly approved of this strategy. But after a pandemic-fueled boom in streaming stocks, investors tired on growth-obsessed companies and demanded sustainable margins and better bottom lines. (Netflix sank 51% in 2022 and has since recovered, too.) So Spotify moved to become “relentlessly resourceful,” as CEO Daniel Ek put it, laying off nearly a quarter of its workforce and cutting many of its high-cost exclusive podcasts, including its deal with Prince Harry and Meghan Markle’s Archewell Audio. It also raised prices globally — twice in the United States, the United Kingdom and Australia — to further boost margins.
The six streaming companies on the BGMI posted an average gain of 21.8%, which bested the 18.3% average increase of all stocks on the index. China’s Tencent Music Entertainment rose 55.8% as first-quarter paid subscribers grew 20.2% year over year to 113.5 million, helping offset a sharply declining social entertainment business. LiveOne improved 12.1% as the company finished its fiscal year (ended March 31) with a 30% increase in paid subscribers and a 19% revenue gain. Anghami, based in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, managed a 2.9% gain and got a lift when video streaming platform OSN+ acquired a 55.5% stake in April. Paris-based Deezer was the exception, dropping 19.2%.
Only companies in takeover acquisitions came close to the streaming leaders’ performances. Listed on the London Stock Exchange, investment trust Hipgnosis Songs Fund rose 42.2% to 1.024 pounds ($1.30) as a result of Blackstone’s offer — which was backed by HSF’s board and accepted by shareholders on July 8 — to buy the company’s shares at 1.05 pounds ($1.31) apiece, a 49.2% premium over the pre-offer price. Likewise, Believe climbed 40.0% to 14.70 pounds ($15.79) after a consortium led by CEO Denis Ladegaillerie raised its stake to 95% through a tender offer at 15 pounds ($16.11), a 21% premium price before the takeover bid was announced.
At the other end of the spectrum, radio companies — iHeartMedia, Cumulus Media and SiriusXM — lost an average of 56.4%. Cumulus dropped 61.7% as first-quarter revenue fell nearly 3%. iHeartMedia dropped 59.2% and lost 36% on May 10 alone after the company’s forecast for second-quarter revenue was below analysts’ expectations. SiriusXM slipped 48.3% after it lost 445,000 self-pay satellite radio subscribers in 2023 and had slow uptake of its revamped, lower-priced streaming app launched in November. Lower average revenue per user and an “uncertain” advertising market means the company expects full-year revenue to drop more than 2% this year.
All four live music-ticketing companies posted gains at the midyear mark and had an average gain of 8.8%. Live Nation probably would have done better than its 0.2% increase had the U.S. Department of Justice not filed an antitrust lawsuit on May 23 that seeks to break up the company’s promotion and ticketing businesses. Germany’s CTS Eventim, which acquired Vivendi’s festival and ticketing businesses in June, climbed 24.4% thanks to a 22% jump in 2023 revenue and expectations for “a moderate rise” in 2024. MSG Entertainment and sister company Sphere Entertainment gained 7.5% and 3.1%, respectively.
Record labels and music publishers dropped an average of 4.4% if HSF and Believe are excluded (and gained 8.6% including them). Reservoir Media gained 10.8%, Universal Music Group rose 7.6%, and K-pop companies SM Entertainment and HYBE fell 12.7% and 13.3%, respectively. Warner Music Group lost 14.4%.
This story appeared in the July 20, 2024, issue of Billboard.
The two largest publicly traded record label and music publishing companies posted stock gains in a week that otherwise saw major indexes fall sharply.
Shares of both Universal Music Group (UMG) and Warner Music Group (WMG) managed modest gains this week as companies prepare to release their latest quarterly earnings reports. UMG, which reports earnings on Wednesday (July 24), rose 2.6% to 28.11 euros ($30.61). Year-to-date, UMG shares are up 8.9%.
WMG, which reports earnings on Aug. 8, gained 3.5% to $32.00 after receiving a nod from Jefferies analysts earlier in the week. Noting that WMG shares are down this year (-10.6% as of Friday) and trade at a discount to UMG, Jefferies called WMG’s current price “attractive” and believes the company will benefit from its slate of new releases (Zach Bryan, Dua Lipa) and cost-saving measures. Indeed, WMG did well in the first half of the year by owning the top three tracks in the U.S., according to Luminate’s midyear report. Jefferies has a $38 price target on WMG, which represents an 18.8% upside over Friday’s closing price.
The Billboard Global Music Index fell 2.9% to 1,779.41, dropping its year-to-date gain to 16.0%. Overall, nine stocks were gainers, ten were losers and one was unchanged. But the rough week extended far beyond music stocks. The Nasdaq composite fell 3.6% to 17,726.94 as investors dumped tech stocks such as chipmaker Nvidia (down 8.8% this week) and cybersecurity company Crowdstrike (down 11.1% on Friday thanks to a massive global internet outage), while the S&P 500 fell 2.0% to 5,505.00. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 dropped 1.2% to 8,155.72. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index fell 2.2% to 2,795.46. China’s Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.4% to 2,982.31.
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Spotify shares fell for the second consecutive week, dropping 2.4% to $295.09. On Thursday (July 18), Guggenheim reiterated its “buy” rating and $400 price target. Analysts expect to see some “modest cost savings” from lower publishing royalties, a move that has sparked controversy in the music industry and attracted the attention of some U.S. lawmakers. What’s more, Guggenheim analysts do not expect a “significant portion” of premium subscribers to switch to the lower-cost “basic” tier following price increases for the standard plans. Investors weren’t as optimistic, though, and Spotify fell 10.8% below its 2024 high of $331.08 set on June 5.
SiriusXM fell 8.1% to $3.41, bringing its year-to-date loss to 37.7%. This week, Morgan Stanley slightly lowered its forecast for net satellite radio subscriber additions in both the second quarter and the full year. SiriusXM, which reports quarterly earnings on Aug. 1, lost 1.4% of its satellite radio subscribers in the first quarter of 2024.
LiveOne shares rose 5.7% to $1.49 following the release of a preliminary look at quarterly earnings on Thursday. The music streaming company, which owns Slacker and a majority of podcaster PodcastOne, expects fiscal first-quarter revenue to increase 20% to $33.1 million.
K-pop stocks added to their losing streaks this week. HYBE fell 3.8% to 182,500 won ($131.31) and brought its year-to-date loss to 21.8%. SM Entertainment fell 5.8% to 73,300 won ($52.74) and has dropped 20.4% this year despite launching a new joint venture with Kakao Entertainment and overhauling its corporate governance. YG Entertainment lost 8% to 35,250 won ($25.36), bringing its year-to-date decline to 30.7%. JYP Entertainment was an outlier, gaining 2.6% this week to 59,000 won ($42.45), although the stock is still down 41.8% this year.
Although most music stocks gained value this week, Spotify dropped 4.6% to $302.27 despite the U.S. markets surging to record heights and two new analyst reports that indicated the company’s share price has much room for improvement.
On Wednesday (July 10), KeyBanc increased Spotify’s price target from $400 to $410 on the belief that the market is underestimating the company’s revenue, earnings and gross margin for 2025 and 2026. In addition, Wolfe Research initiated coverage of Spotify with a $390 price target. Given Spotify’s closing price of $302.27 on Friday, KeyBanc’s new price target implies 35.6% upside while Wolfe’s price target implies 29% upside.
There was one Spotify dissenter this week, however. Redburn Atlantic downgraded Spotify to “sell” with a $230 price target — 23.9% below Friday’s closing price. While Redburn’s analysts are impressed with Spotify’s operating momentum, they believe the market “is simply forecasting too much growth,” they wrote in an investor note. In April, Spotify — which will release its second-quarter earnings on July 23 —said it expects second-quarter revenue to be 3.8 billion euros ($4.1 billion), which would be a 19.6% increase over the prior-year period. It also said it anticipated 245 million subscribers, up 11.4% year-over-year.
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Spotify also bucked the trend among all stocks, which enjoyed a record-setting week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and S&P 500 reached all-time highs on Friday (July 12) while the Nasdaq composite hit a new peak on Thursday (July 11). After gaining 0.2% this week, the tech-heavy Nasdaq is up 22.6% in 2024, while the S&P 500 added 0.9% and has gained 17.7% year to date.
Spotify’s fall was a major factor in the Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI) dropping 0.9% to 1,828.20 this week, though a couple of other valuable stocks also played a role even as only six of the 20 stocks lost ground this week. The index’s second-most-valuable component, Universal Music Group, declined 2.2% to 27.40 euros ($29.92) while its sixth-most-valuable component, HYBE, fell 3.9% to 189,700 won ($137.95). Despite this week’s decline, the BGMI is up 19.2% in 2024, just shy of the Nasdaq and ahead of the S&P 500.
Among stocks that saw gains this week was Warner Music Group (WMG), whose share price improved 2.0% to $30.93. On Thursday, Jefferies lowered WMG’s price target to $38 from $43, which implies 22.9% upside over Friday’s closing price. On Friday, Wolfe Research initiated coverage of WMG with a $37 price target, which implies 19.6% upside. Meanwhile, Redburn downgraded WMG from “neutral” to “sell” and has a price target of $23, 25.6% below Friday’s closing price.
Sphere Entertainment Co. led all music stocks by gaining 16.6% to $43.66, bringing its year-to-date gain to 28.4%. On Thursday, Morgan Stanley boosted its price target to $45 from $42, which implies 3.1% upside from Friday’s closing price. The company’s shares got a boost two weeks ago after hedge fund titan Steve Cohen’s Point72 Asset Management took a 5.5% stake. Sphere’s sister company, MSG Entertainment, gained 8.0% to $37.21.
Leading all music stocks this week, SiriusXM shares rose as high as $4.14 on Friday (July 5), its highest point since March 13, and closed at $3.71, up 31.1%. The satellite radio company, which also owns music streaming service Pandora and has high hopes for its revamped SiriusXM streaming app, is likely benefitting from an upcoming 10-to-1 reverse stock split and merger with Liberty Media’s SiriusXM Group tracking stock. The merger eliminates any confusion amongst investors by creating only one way to invest in SiriusXM. And although the split doesn’t affect the company’s value, it will increase the share price by reducing the number of shares outstanding. That, in turn, could help SiriusXM’s image with investors and further help prop up the share price.
French streaming company Deezer rose 20.3% to 2.07 euros ($2.25) after it completed a public offering that transferred shares from the professional to the general segment of the Euronext Paris. (The professional segment is dedicated to companies that did not have an initial public offering or sale of shares. Deezer gained entry to the Euronext Paris through a merger with I2PO, a special purpose acquisition company, in 2022.) With that improvement, Deezer’s year-to-date loss improved to 12.3% from 19.2% a week ago. The company will report first-half earnings results on July 30.
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The Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI) rose 1.6% to 1,844.87, nearly matching the all-time record of 1,847.64 set the week ended May 17, with the large gains enjoyed by SiriusXM and Deezer helping offset losses by 11 of the index’s 20 stocks. The index’s most valuable companies had small gains this week: Live Nation rose 1.7% to $95.34, Universal Music Group added 0.9% to 28.03 euros ($30.41) and Spotify gained 0.8% to finish at $316.85.
Music stocks couldn’t match many major indexes this week. In the United States, the Nasdaq composite gained 3.5% to 18,352.76 and the S&P 500 rose 2.0% to 5,567.19 — both record closes. Stocks were aided by data released on Friday by the U.S. Labor Department that showed that the economy added more jobs than expected in June while the increase in hourly earnings met expectations. The rise in the unemployment rate rise from 4.0% to 4.1% was a surprise, however.
Internationally, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 improved 0.5% to 8,203.93. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index gained 2.3% to 2,862.23. China’s Shanghai Composite Index dropped 0.6% to 2,949.93.
Sphere Entertainment Co. improved 6.8% to $37.43, bringing its year-to-date gain to 10.1%. On Wednesday (July 3), the company announced it had given executive chairman/CEO James Dolan a new three-year employment contract that runs through June 30, 2027. That ensures Dolan will continue to oversee the growth of Sphere in Las Vegas and additional locations the company will target. Looking ahead, Dead & Company’s 30-show residency at the venue concludes on Aug. 10 while the Eagles will begin a 16-date residency — eight weekends of Friday and Saturday concerts — on Sept. 20.
Music streaming company LiveOne fell 14.6% to $1.34, putting the stock down 4.3% year to date. On Monday (July 1), the company announced a partnership with Seekr to build an AI-powered search engine for beats and sounds. The platform, expected to launch by the end of the year, is intended to help creators and music licensors.
Korean companies continued to struggle this week. HYBE fell 2.5% to 197,400 won ($143.30), bringing its year-to-date loss to 15.5%. SM Entertainment fell 3.5% to 77,600 won ($56.33) and has fallen 15.7% in 2024. Two K-pop companies not in the Billboard Global Music Index fared even worse: JYP Entertainment, home to TWICE and Stray Kids, dropped 2.8% to 55,700 won ($40.43) and has fallen 45% this year; while YG Entertainment, home to BLACKPINK and BABYMONSTER, sank 5.3% to 38,150 won ($27.69) and has lost 25% year to date.
Sphere Entertainment Co. stock gained 5.4% to $35.04 this week after Point72 Asset Management, the hedge fund of Wall Street giant Steve Cohen, took a 5.5% stake in the company, making it one of the best-performing companies on this week’s Billboard Global Music Index.
Cohen is the owner of the New York Mets professional baseball team. Sphere’s sister company, MSG Sports — James Dolan is CEO of both companies — owns two of the city’s major professional sports franchises, the New York Knicks basketball team and the New York Rangers hockey team. The Sphere venue in Las Vegas will host its first sports event Friday evening (June 28): the National Hockey League draft.
Elsewhere, radio companies Cumulus Media and iHeartMedia gained 9.1% and 9.0% this week, respectively, as radio stocks bested other publicly traded music companies on the Billboard Global Music Index. Both Cumulus and iHeartMedia clawed back nearly half of the losses they suffered in the previous two-week period. After dropping 21.1% from June 7 to June 21, Cumulus finished up at $2.04. Similarly, iHeartMedia had lost 21.1% in the prior two weeks and finished this week at $1.09. Townsquare Media, which is not in the Index, rose 9.2% to $10.93, turning its 5% year-to-date loss into a 3.7% gain.
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Many radio companies are still having a tough 2024, however, as they slog through a challenging advertising climate. Through June 28, iHeartRadio has fallen 59.2% and Cumulus is down 61.7%.
The Billboard Global Music Index was effectively unchanged from the previous week, rising less than one point to 1,815.54. The index’s year-to-date gain was also unchanged at 18.3%. Most of the stocks showed little movement as 16 of the 20 companies fell within the range of +2.1% to -3.4%. Even though 12 of the companies posted gains, the biggest winners are among the index’s smallest companies, and those winners were overcome by losses suffered by larger companies such as Spotify (down 1.1%), CTS Eventim (down 1.3%) and SiriusXM (down 3.4%).
Streaming stocks had the worst week of any sector after losing an average of 0.4%. The top streamer was Anghami, which rose 0.9% to $1.07. Cloud Music and Deezer each lost less than 1%. LiveOne fell 1.3% to $1.57.
Reservoir Media was the week’s greatest gainer after improving 11.9% — 9.6% on Friday alone — to $7.90. The gain came without major news or analyst commentary. The last analyst to increase a price target on Reservoir was B. Riley on May 31, the day after Reservoir announced that its full-year revenue increased 18% to $145 million.
K-pop companies all had modest increases this week. HYBE gained 1.3% to 202,500 won ($146.60). SM Entertainment, also a Billboard Global Music Index member, rose 1.1% to 80,400 won ($54.21). Elsewhere, JYP Entertainment jumped 2.1% to 57,300 won ($41.48) and YG Entertainment sank 1.0% to 40,300 won ($29.18). All four stocks have fallen sharply in 2024, however, with an average year-to-date decline of 22.6%.
Major stock indexes had mixed results this week. In the United States, the Nasdaq composite rose 0.2% to 17,732.60 and the S&P 500 fell 0.1% to 5,460.48. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index gained 0.5% to 2,797.82. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 dropped 0.9%. China’s Shanghai Composite Index declined 1.0% to 2,967.40.
SiriusXM had its best week since December 2023 this week, leading all music stocks in a week when the losers outnumbered the winners two to one. Shares of the company jumped 12.3% to $2.93 following the company’s decision to conduct a 1-for-10 reverse stock split when it merges with the Liberty Media SiriusXM Group tracking stock later this year. SiriusXM gained 16.4% in the week ended Dec. 15, 2023.
The reverse split is meant to boost SiriusXM’s beleaguered share price. After years of steady growth in its satellite radio business, the company has suffered declines in both revenue and satellite subscribers as it attempts to build a competitive streaming service. The company lost 445,000 self-pay subscribers in 2023 — a 1% decline — and experienced a 1.4% drop in the first quarter of 2024. The revamped streaming app launched in December at $9.99 per month, about half the average revenue per user generated from satellite radio subscriptions in 2023.
SiriusXM was the only music stock to post a double-digit gain this week and one of only six stocks in the 20-company Billboard Global Music Index to see growth. With 13 stocks declining and one — French music company Believe — unchanged, the index fell 0.3% to 1,814.88. On average, live music stocks fared the best with an average gain of 0.6%. Other segments posted declines: streaming stocks fell 3.7%, radio stocks dropped 2.9%, and record labels and publishers dipped 1.3%.
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Live Nation rose 4.7% to $92.96, its highest closing price since June 5. The company’s shares are down 8.3% since the Department of Justice brought an antitrust lawsuit that seeks to break up its concert promotion and ticketing operations, but it’s held steady since an initial post-lawsuit drop. Friday’s closing price was just 52 cents below the price the day after the lawsuit was announced on May 23.
Shares of Spotify rose 1.5% to $317.86 to mark their third successive weekly gain. Cost-cutting and price-hiking have helped Spotify’s stock gain 69.2% in 2024 and 101.8% in the last 52 weeks. There was more price-related news on Friday (June 21) as Spotify revealed a new “basic” plan in the United States, which costs $10.99 per month and offers users a plan that doesn’t include audiobooks. The “premium individual” plan includes both music and 15 hours of audiobook listening for $11.99 per month, while the “audiobook access” tier provides 15 hours of audiobook listening and the ad-supported music service for $9.99 per month.
iHeartMedia was the index’s worst performer after dropping 17.4% to $1.00. The radio giant’s stock is down 62.5% year to date amidst a weak radio advertising market and steady growth at competing streaming services. LiveOne fell 12.6% to $1.59, bringing its year-to-date gain to 13.6%.
Music was outperformed by broader indexes as stocks reached new highs this week. On Thursday (June 20), the S&P 500 set a new all-time high of 5,503.53 and the Nasdaq composite reached a new high of 17,936.79. For the week, the S&P 500 rose 0.6% to 5,464.62 and the Nasdaq composite was barely above breakeven at 17,689.36. In the United Kingdom, the FTSE 100 rose 1.1% to 8,237.72. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index gained 0.9% to 2,784.26. China’s Shanghai Composite Index fell 1.1% to 2,998.14.