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Many music companies’ stocks soared on Thursday (Nov. 10) on news that U.S. inflation was less than expected in October. The Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed the consumer price index rose 0.4% last month, less than the 0.6% Dow Jones estimate. Although the annual inflation is still high at 7.7%, it had been as high as 9.1% in June and hadn’t been below 7.5% since January.
Spotify shares jumped 9.9% to $78.44. Universal Music Group shares rose 3.3% to 20.81 euros. Sony shares spiked 6.6% to $44.15.
Live music companies fared especially well: U.S.-based Live Nation and MSG Entertainment improved 5.1% and 6.6%, respectively, while German promoter CTS Eventim climbed 3.8%. Ticketing companies Eventbrite and Vivid Seats rose 8.3% and 9.2%, respectively.
Radio company stocks, recently hurt by the softening advertising market, enjoyed the biggest gains as iHeartMedia was up 10.0% and Audacy rose 14.0%. Cumulus Media and Townsquare Media had smaller gains of 3.3% and 2.5%, respectively.
U.S. stocks had their biggest single days since 2020. The Dow Jones Industrial Average, a group of 30 prominent stocks, rose 3.7%. The S&P 500 improved 5.5% and the tech-heavy Nasdaq climbed 7.4%.
The good news quickly spread to Asia after U.S. markets closed. Shares of South Korean music companies HYBE and SM Entertainment were up 8.3% and 4.5%, respectively, early on Friday morning. Likewise, the Hang Seng Index, a selection of companies on the Hong Kong Exchange, was up 5.0% in early trading Friday.
Persistently high prices have had damaging effects to economies of the U.S. and other countries re-opening from COVID-19 restrictions. Businesses have encountered higher costs for labor, manufacturing and services, and often pass them along to consumers rather than absorb them. Everything from vinyl manufacturing costs to tour buses have soared. Some bands, such as Anthrax and Cold, pulled out of tours because of logistical issues and high costs. “There are tours being canceled left and right,” Jamie Streetman, operations manager for Nashville-based Coach Quarters, told Billboard in Sept.
To tame inflation, the U.S. Federal Reserve Bank, which targets 2% annual inflation, has raised the federal funds rate six times in 2022 to tame inflation. That has made borrowing more expensive for everyone from investors in music publishing catalogs to consumers with credit card bills.
The pairing of high interest-high inflation has wreaked havoc on stock prices, too. Year to date, the Dow index is down 7.2% and the S&P 500 is off 17.0%. Music companies that are otherwise having a solid year have seen their share prices sink, too. UMG shares are down 16.0% and Spotify shares are off 66.5% this year.
While investors celebrated the improvement in the CPI, inflation is still abnormally high and energy costs – a significant cost for touring musicians – were up 17.6% year-over-year in October. Presidents of the Federal Reserve indicated on Thursday that more rate hikes would probably be forthcoming, although at a slower pace.
YouTube announced that it now has more than 80 million Music and Premium subscribers around the world (counting users in trials). That represents a jump of 30 million users from 2021.
In a blog post, Global Head of Music Lyor Cohen called passing the 80-million threshold “a monumental moment for music on YouTube.” He added, “Hopefully, these milestones demonstrate our commitment to becoming the #1 contributor of revenue to the music industry.”
In a statement, Lucian Grainge, chairman and CEO of Universal Music Group, praised YouTube for “creating a compelling and unique music service that is rapidly growing its base of subscribers and contributing significantly to the vibrancy of the music ecosystem.”
“YouTube has demonstrated their commitment to partnership with the music industry and growing revenue for all artists and rightsholders alike,” added Jeremy Sirota, CEO of Merlin.
YouTube’s latest level-up follows the company’s September announcement that it had paid out $6 billion to the music industry in the 12 months between June 2021 and June 2022. That amount represented a hefty 50% increase relative to the previous sum YouTube reported in June 2020: $4 billion over a 12-month period. (In 2020, the company reported that it had 30 million subscribers.)
Cohen has set lofty goals for YouTube: “We want our twin engine of ads and subscriptions to be the #1 contributor of revenue to the industry by 2025,” he declared in September. That won’t be easy; Spotify’s Loud & Clear report said the company paid $7 billion in royalties to the music industry in 2021. That was a 40% jump from the $5 billion the service said it paid out in 2020.
Among other major streaming services, Apple Music reported 60 million global subscribers back in 2019, while Amazon Music reported 55 million subscribers worldwide in 2020 (neither company has updated those numbers since). Elsewhere, the much-smaller Deezer boasts 9.4 million global subscribers as of its Q3 2022 earnings report, while paid subscribers to the diminishing Pandora service were 6.3 million, according to parent company SiriusXM’s Q3 earnings report released Nov. 1.
In his blog post, Cohen seemed cheerful about his company’s ability to leapfrog its competitors, ending the short note with McFadden & Whitehead‘s ode to persistence, “Ain’t No Stoppin’ Us Now.”
The Ledger is a weekly newsletter about the economics of the music business sent to Billboard Pro subscribers. An abbreviated version of the newsletter is published online.
Apple Music’s recent subscription price increase and a likely forthcoming price hike by Spotify would provide a boost to U.S. and global music revenues and likewise impact catalog valuations.
Higher prices for Apple Music and Spotify’s individual plan could be worth hundreds of millions in additional subscription revenue annually in the U.S. Incremental revenues resulting from these price increases have the potential to reach roughly $650 million a year for streaming services. That assumes 7% growth in subscribers in 2023, no additional churn, a full year of higher prices and higher prices for both self-paid and promotional subscription plans.
However, a small amount of churn is possible, and Spotify is unlikely to raise rates at the beginning of the year. Additionally, not all subscription plans are subject to increase. (Apple is not raising the price on Apple Music Voice, for example.) Thus, the actual impact is likely to be lower next year and in successive years.
Apple Music’s individual plans rose $1 from $9.99 to $10.99 per month, while its family plan price increased $2 from $14.99 to $16.99. Apple One, a bundle that includes Apple Music, Apple TV+ and other services, rose $2 for the individual plan and $3 for the family plan (which includes Apple Arcade and iCloud+) and premier plan (which adds Apple News+ and Apple Fitness+).
Spotify could follow with similar price increases in the U.S. of $1 per individual subscription, though it may not further raise its family plan price on top of the $1 increase, to $15.99, that it imposed in April. Spotify also has discounted plans for students that cost $4.99 per month. For these purposes, Billboard assumes those discounted plans will remain untouched.
Creators and rights owners effectively get a raise from a price increase. The same percentage of streaming services’ revenue would flow as royalties to labels and publishers. Higher prices wouldn’t impact listening habits — although some churn is possible — so the math is favorable to creators and rights owners: a larger royalty pool would be divided by the same number of streams to calculate the per-stream royalty owed to each track.
Higher rates from the two largest subscription services in the U.S. would make songwriting and recording catalogs more valuable, too. Price increases will add revenues to a catalog’s existing royalty income, and streaming growth has been positively correlated with higher valuations of music catalogs. As Billboard reported this week, a new paper by New York University professor Larry Miller found that streaming accounted for 62% of the average multiple paid for songwriting catalogs in 2021.
Spotify has not announced a broad price increase on its individual and family plan subscriptions, but CEO Daniel Ek signaled the company would likely follow Apple Music’s lead when speaking to investors during Spotify’s Oct. 25 earnings call. A U.S. price increase “is one of the things we would like to do,” Ek told investors, adding Spotify will have conversations with labels “in light of these recent developments with our label partners.”
Expect higher prices to become the norm. Amazon Music Unlimited raised its prices in May. Deezer raised its subscription prices in France, its largest market, in January and plans rate hikes in Germany and the U.S. in December. Apple Music’s decision to raise prices “opens the door for further price increases down the line,” Deezer CEO Jeronimo Folgueira said during its Oct. 28 earnings call. Exactly how much incremental revenue these price hikes will generate depends on many variables. In any case, creators and rights owners can expect more subscription royalties in 2023 and beyond.
For months, industry executives from Warner Music Group to Kobalt have been steadily beating a drum for investing in the Middle East and African markets.
On Thursday (Nov. 3), it it looked like the investor interest swirling around the region may be codified when Frankly magazine reported that Spotify was considering buying Anghami, the Arab-speaking world’s most popular streaming and content service. Billboard could not independently verify the report, however, and a source close to the situation refuted its contents. A Spotify spokesperson says the company has “no news to report regarding any potential acquisition.” Still, investment bankers say we are likely to see increasing investor interest and action around music assets in these markets, as song catalog prices remain elevated and the challenging macroeconomic outlook for North America and Europe slows down the pace of dealmaking there.
Financial players say that the dominant music streaming platforms and labels are looking to extend their global reach through popular streaming companies like Anghami in the Middle East and Boomplay and others in Africa because of those regions’ rapid growth, comparatively positive economic outlooks and the explosive potential for converting free subscribers to paid.
Anghami CEO and co-founder Eddy Maroun declined to comment on the acqusition reports out Thursday, but in a late-September interview Maroun confirmed the company has been approached by interested parties in the past.
“We believe what we are on to as an opportunity is big,” Maroun told Billboard at the time. “Until now we are independent, and we wish to remain independent as long as it’s in line with our company goals.”
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) was the fastest-growing region globally last year, with revenues up 35% to $89.5 million and a market that nearly doubled between 2019 and 2021, according to the International Federation of the Phonographic Industry (IFPI). More than 95% of MENA revenues came from streaming, and paid subscribership is expected to double by 2030.
“This sends a very big message to every industry player that this is a hot region and that this is where growth is,” Maroun said in September.
Launched in 2012, Anghami is the first and most popular streaming and content company focused on Arabic-language music, with about 58% of the Middle East’s market share and around 20 million active users, according to company filings.
With investors including the Saudi Arabia-backed firm MBC Group and Middle East Venture Partners and partner Sony Music Entertainment Middle East, with whom Anghami launched a joint venture record label last year, Maroun and co-founder took Anghami public in February.
After listing on the NASDAQ through a reverse merger with a special purpose acquisition company, Anghami stocks have fallen nearly 75% to $2.56 on the NASDAQ as of Thursday. Meanwhile, the company reported first-half 2022 revenues increased by almost 30% and monthly paid subscribers rose by 41% to 1.28 million. Bank sources described that growth as “encouraging,” and say that Anghami’s low stock price could make it an appealing acquisition for companies like Spotify.
For its part, Anghami aims to diversify its business with an entertainment division that houses a content creation studio, runs Anghami’s record label, Vibe Music Arabia, and operates a chain of music venues and lounges, the first of which recently opened in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
In addition to MENA, music and streaming companies in Sub-Saharan Africa, where music revenues grew by 9.6% last year, are steadily gaining big industry investors.
Major labels like Sony Music Group are adding staff to local offices in West Africa — where Sony previously had just two people — and Warner Music Group is leaning further into their strategy to acquire record labels and distribution companies in Africa, one of five priorities it pitched to investors during their 2020 IPO roadshow, say bankers familiar with the matter.
“French copyrights and Latin American copyrights became popular a little earlier,” says Michael Ryan-Southern, Goldman Sachs’ global head of music and live entertainment investment banking. “Now we’re seeing more and more music coming out of these local territories and therefore [companies] need to invest to make sure they are capturing that funnel of new artists locally to exploit globally.”
In its most recent Music In the Air report, Goldman Sachs analysts said Africa presents “a significant opportunity over time” and specifically highlighted Boomplay, one of the leading music streaming services, with 60 million monthly active users and a rapidly expanding song catalog.
Sources say streaming services and other companies that provide infrastructure for music are currently more appealing investment opportunities than catalogs by popular artists in the region because investors fear those are less mature assets with unknown decay rates.
Executives from Warner Music Group, Reservoir Media, Primary Wave, Kobalt and others have called out Africa and the MENA region in their emerging markets growth strategies in recent months.
U.S.-based Reservoir Media is one of the most vocal companies about the opportunity it sees in the Middle East and Africa. With its partner, the United Arab Emirates-based independent music company PopArabia, Reservoir recently bought the Egyptian label 100COPIES, the Lebanese label and music publisher Voice of Beirut, and signed publishing deals with Egyptian rapper and singer Mohamed Ramadan, Lebanese indie singer songwriter Zeid Hamdan and Moroccan hip-hop star 7liwa.
On a recent call with investors to discuss Reservoir’s earnings, the company’s founder and chief executive Golnar Khosrowshahi said emerging markets investments are a key part of the company’s diversification strategy.
“The thing about the emerging markets is that we could do high-volume deals, but at significantly lower price tags than what we do in Europe … North America, etcetera.,” Khosrowshahi said.
Outgoing Warner Music Group CEO Stephen Cooper said in September that Warner’s share in the Africa and MENA markets has grown from 10% to 30% in recent years through partnerships with record labels and distribution companies, and it aims to continuing investing in the region.
“Great content, great entertainers, great storytelling is starting to transcend language, and there’s a recognition that the next global chart-topping songwriter can come from anywhere in the world,” says Aaron Siegel, Goldman Sachs global head of entertainment investment banking. “That is a theme that major labels and publishing companies are willing to bet on.”
The Ledger is a weekly newsletter about the economics of the music business sent to Billboard Pro subscribers. An abbreviated version of the newsletter is published online.
Apple Music may have opened the floodgates on Monday when it announced that it will raise prices on its Apple Music subscription service, as well as its Apple TV+ streaming video on-demand service and its Apple One bundle of services (which includes Apple Music).
Apple wasn’t the first music streaming company to broadly raise prices. Deezer started raising prices in France in January. In May, Amazon hiked prices for Prime members for Amazon Music Unlimited from $7.99 to $8.99 (or $79 to $89 if paid annually) and for the single-device plan (for Amazon’s Echo and Fire TV devices) from $3.99 to $4.99 per month. And Spotify started testing the waters in 2021 by modestly raising prices on some plans in select markets – 46 price increases in total, according to company executives. In the U.S., the family plan price increased from $14.99 to $15.99.
But Apple’s decision to ask subscribers for more money signals a tide change and will likely embolden competitors to follow suit. Speaking during Spotify’s earnings call on Tuesday, CEO Daniel Ek strongly signaled the company would follow Apple’s lead. A price increase in the U.S. “is one of the things we would like to do,” Ek told investors, and Spotify could raise prices in 2023 after it has conversations “in light of these recent developments with our label partners.”
Prices for music subscription services have remained stubbornly low for the past decade — to the chagrin of rights holders and creators who want higher royalties from streaming platforms. Spotify launched in the U.S. in 2011 at $9.99 per month. Apple Music launched in 2015 with a standard $9.99 individual plan and a $14.99 family plan, the first of its kind to offer up to six subscriptions per account for $14.99. Spotify, Tidal, Amazon Music and the now-defunct Google Play Music followed with equivalent offerings in the following months. Family plans resulted in a lower average revenue per user but helped reduce churn, Spotify has said repeatedly, and has increased the average subscriber’s lifetime value. Those gains obviated the need to raise prices and allowed Spotify and others to focus on growth instead.
Apple and Amazon certainly had incentive to raise music subscription prices. Apple Music and Amazon Music Unlimited offer high-fidelity audio as a standard feature even though licensing deals with record labels for premium audio are more costly for streaming services, according to industry sources. Unless Apple and Amazon raise prices to offset the lower margins, they must eat the higher costs associated with offering better audio quality. Spotify, on the other hand, does not yet offer high-fidelity audio. Plans for just such a product, called HiFi, have not materialized after announcing the project would come out in 2021. Recently, the company has been surveying customers regarding a more expensive package that would include HiFi, as well as other products.
But now Apple has effectively given its competitors cover to raise their prices, too — whether they offer high-fidelity audio or not. Deezer already planned to raise prices in the U.S. and Germany this month and in Brazil in December. Still, its competitors’ decisions to raise prices “makes us more competitive,” Deezer CEO Jeronimo Folgueira said during Friday’s earnings call, and “opens the door for further prices increases down the line.”
Spotify certainly appears confident it can charge more. Thus far, its price increases had results “as good as we would have hoped for,” said Ek said during the earnings call. “We believe we have significant pricing power and we’re offering an amazing consumer value proposition.” Other metrics seem to have convinced Spotify the time is right to raise prices: engagement continues to increase, and Spotify has “the lowest churn of any competitor,” according to Ek. Put another way, Spotify thinks it can raise prices without fear that a significant number of people will walk away.
Now that Kanye West has been dropped by the talent agency CAA and lost his deal with Adidas, Spotify needs to remove some problematic content from its platform. West’s music isn’t the issue, though.
On the Oct. 6 episode of Joe Rogan‘s podcast, Pink Floyd co-founder Roger Waters says that Palestinians are concerned “that the Israelis seem now to have a policy of murdering so many of them that they are absolutely trying to create another intifada so they can make it an armed conflict,” in Waters’ view, “so they can just kill them all.” Rogan did not ask Waters for any evidence of this. Waters accused Israel of behaving “like people in the past behaved toward Jews in northern Europe” and complained that the Jewish community uses accusations of antisemitism to “smear anyone who dares to suggest there’s something bad about Israeli policies.”
Roger Waters attends the “Roger Waters Us + Them” Photocall during the 76th Venice Film Festival at on Sept. 6, 2019 in Venice, Italy.
Vittorio Zunino Celotto/GI
There’s nothing wrong with criticizing Israel. But over the years, Waters’ advocacy for Palestinians has curdled into bigotry that features comparisons between Israel and Nazi Germany and antisemitic conspiracy theories about media control. In a recent Rolling Stone interview that he complained to Rogan made him look bad, Waters says that Jewish Israelis “are not the descendants of indigenous people who’ve ever lived there” and suggests that some Jewish people in the U.S. and U.K. bear responsibility for the actions of Israel, “particularly because they pay for everything.” (Neither Spotify nor Waters responded to requests for comment on this matter.)
This kind of overblown rhetoric that feeds into antisemitic stereotypes is dangerous, and Spotify should edit or remove this interview and either drop Rogan’s podcast or make sure he’s prepared to ask hard questions of controversial guests.
But it shouldn’t remove West’s music — or Waters’ for that matter.
Weeks ago, Twitter and Instagram did the right thing by locking West’s social media accounts, while Revolt, Diddy’s media company, was wrong to show a lightweight interview with the rapper — and right to take it down afterward. West has the right to free speech, of course, but private companies also have a responsibility not to amplify his antisemitism. (West intends to solve this by buying his own social media company, Parler, which seems like a really bad idea for everyone involved.) Finally, on Tuesday, even Adidas dropped him. West’s deal with the Gap ended last month, but the company said it’s now taking “immediate steps” to remove his products from stores, Balenciaga ended its partnership with him, and stores like TJ Maxx and Foot Locker have also pledged to pull his shoes. At this point, West no longer even has a label (his recording contract with Universal Music ended last year) or a publisher (his administration deal with Sony Music Publishing expired earlier this year, although it will continue to administer his work for some time).
Now questions are being raised about what should happen to his old music, just as they were with R. Kelly and others. I object to West’s recent behavior about as much as anyone could: I’m Jewish (although I certainly don’t think one has to be to in order to object to antisemitism), and I think we all have an obligation to stand against racism (which West’s “White Lives Matter” shirt represents). But there’s nothing objectionable about West’s music. President Obama had it right: “He is a jackass. But he’s talented.”
There are two main reasons why activists usually call for the removal of music, or other work, from online platforms: It promotes hate, or it will benefit someone who promotes hate. Neo-Nazi bands fall into the first category, which is why almost all major platforms have a policy to take their music offline. For the same reason, Spotify should edit or remove Rogan’s interview with Waters.
West’s music isn’t hateful, though. And removing his music would also punish his label, his publishers, and numerous collaborators and songwriters who haven’t done anything wrong. (I think it behooves companies that own or distribute his music to condemn his behavior, but both his former label and publisher have done so.) That doesn’t mean other steps can’t be taken in order to put pressure on him: Apple pulled its West “Essentials” playlist, while Spotify leaves editorial playlist decisions up to individual editors, some of whom seem to have removed West’s music. These seem like smart decisions – and hopefully, if West apologizes, temporary measures.
Until West commits to changing his behavior, the music business should refuse to give West him platforms to spew his hate — and it should do the same with Waters (who should continue to advocate for his politics without crossing into hate or conspiracy theories). But it seems self-defeating to pull their music offline. If nothing else, it reminds fans of what great art they made before their genius was eclipsed by hate.
For the Record is a regular column from deputy editorial director Robert Levine analyzing news and trends in the music industry. Find more here.
A raft of equity analysts lowered their price targets for Spotify’s stock following the company’s third-quarter earnings report on Tuesday, helping send the music streaming company’s share price down 13.1% to $84.42 on Wednesday (Oct. 26).
KeyBanc dropped its price target from $135 to $125, Barclays lowered its target from $164 to $135 and Raymond James cut its target from $150 to $110. J.P. Morgan analysts, who dropped the price target from $130 to $115, wrote in an investor note they were “encouraged” by fourth-quarter guidance on monthly active users and subscribers — 479 million and 202 million, respectively — but believes investments and foreign exchange will pressure fourth-quarter profitability. Spotify expects this quarter’s 300 million-euros ($303 million) operating loss to include a 95 million-euros ($96 million) negative impact from foreign exchange.
For most of its four-plus years as a public company, Spotify prioritized growth over profit and attracting new users. This year’s emphasis is winning over investors with larger margins while maintaining momentum. In an interview on Spotify’s For the Record podcast released Wednesday, CEO Daniel Ek admitted gross margins were hurt by “advertising [being] a bit softer than we would have liked” but insisted the results were fundamentally on point with the company’s expectations. “We still feel really good about the underlying core trends in the business,” he said. “We feel really good about where we think we’re going to end up over the next one to three years.”
That long-term vision is part of the company’s transition from a music-focused company to one that embraces many forms of audio entertainment. The early results show promise: Spotify users spending more time with the service and its churn rate – the fraction of subscribers that leave in a month – is “the lowest across our competitive set,” said Ek during the earnings call. Podcasting advertising is growing faster than music advertising, and the number of monthly active users that listened to a podcast great “in the substantial double-digits” year-over-year, according to a letter to shareholders.
But investors aren’t showing a great deal of patience — and not just with Spotify’s stock. Numerous tech stocks have fallen this week on less-than-stellar results and guidance. Alphabet’s stock price fell 9.6% after the company’s third-quarter earnings on Tuesday showed that revenue growth slowed to 6% from 41% a year earlier. What’s more, ad revenue at Alphabet’s YouTube, which beat Netflix in U.S. streaming TV viewership in September, according to Nielsen, fell 1.9% year-over-year in the third quarter.
Another bellwether of online advertising, Meta, fell 14.9% in after-hours trading Wednesday. The social media giant’s third-quarter earnings missing expectations on both revenue and earnings per share, according to Bloomberg, and its third-quarter revenue declined 4% from the prior-year period. Three months ago, Meta posted the first year-over-year quarterly revenue decline since going public in 2012.
Since Spotify is primarily a subscription business, it doesn’t face the same threat from advertising weakness as Alphabet or Meta. “Any headwinds in the advertising business for us, it’s just a lot smaller than it is for platforms that solely rely on ads,” Ek said during Tuesday’s earnings call. But advertising is crucial to the company’s podcasting business, an increasingly vital part of its long-term strategy to boost profitability. So far this year, Spotify’s heavy spending on its podcasting business has been a drag on margins. That’s to be expected, however, Ek and chief financial officer Paul Vogel repeatedly said during the earnings call and on the For the Record podcast. Next year, they pledged, podcasting will start to contribute to the bottom line.
The growing corporate boycott of Kanye “Ye” West after he made antisemitic remarks in several interviews has increased pressure on music streaming services to pull the rapper-turned-fashion mogul’s albums from their platforms.
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On Tuesday (Oct. 25), Spotify CEO Daniel Ek addressed the issue in an interview with Reuters, making clear that Ye’s comments were “awful” but his music did not violate the streamer’s anti-hate policies. Ek added it was up to Ye’s label, Universal Music’s Def Jam imprint, to pull his music if they felt compelled to.
“It’s really just his music, and his music doesn’t violate our policy,” Ek told Reuters, adding, “It’s up to his label, if they want to take action or not.” Ek said that Ye’s antisemitic comments would have been pulled from Spotify if he had made them on a podcast or recording, as per their hate speech policy, but that the rapper hadn’t made such comments.
Def Jam owns the copyright to Ye’s recordings from 2002 through 2016. The New York Times, which cites an unnamed source, reported that Ye’s label G.O.O.D. Music is no longer affiliated with Def Jam. The rapper’s contract with his long-time record company reportedly expired with his 2021 album DONDA.
“There is no place for antisemitism in our society,” Def Jam said in a statement to Reuters.
After Ye made repeated antisemitic comments in interviews and tweets, Hollywood’s major players began publicly calling for a boycott of the rapper. WME chief Ari Emanuel directly called on Ye’s corporate partners, particularly Spotify and Apple Music, to stop collaborating with him.
Since Emanuel’s plea, talent agency CAA dropped Ye as a client, MRC Entertainment shelved a completed documentary on the rapper and Balenciaga, GAP and Vogue cut all ties with him.
On Monday, Ye lost his biggest corporate back, the sportswear giant Adidas, who ended their highly lucrative partnership with the Yeezy brand.
This article originally appeared in THR.com.
Music streaming giant Spotify reported 195 million paid subscribers in the third quarter of 2022, up from 188 million paid or premium subscribers in the previous quarter and above expectations.
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The company had forecast it would hit 194 million premium subscribers this quarter.
Spotify also exceeded its monthly active user expectations, reaching 456 million monthly active users in the third quarter, above its forecast of 450 million. In the second quarter, monthly active users hit 433 million, up from 422 million in the previous quarter.
The company now says it has 4.7 million podcasts. At the end of June, Spotify had 4.4 million podcasts on the platform, up from 4.0 million at the end of March. New additions this quarter included the launch of Meghan Markle’s podcast, Archetypes.
Total revenue came in at €3.04 billion compared to a forecast of €3.0 billion.
Still, the continuing focus is on the company’s margins (which came in below expectations at 24.7 percent compared to the company’s estimate of 25.2 percent). The company said this was due in part to “slower than forecast advertising growth given the challenging macro environment,” as well as the expected renewal of a large publishing contract outside of the U.S. and currency fluctuations. Advertising was particularly impacted in Europe, according to the company. However, advertising only makes up a small segment of the company’s results.
While podcasting has been gaining traction and ad revenue, the $1 billion investment to get there has weighed down the company’s profitability. In June, the company said it expected podcast margins to turn positive after 2022 — this year marked the peak negative impact on the margins — with the segment becoming profitable in the next one to two years.
Speaking on the earnings call Tuesday, Spotify CEO Daniel Ek said the results are still in line with that pledge, as well as the theory that this is an investment year for the company.
“This is all playing out largely as we expected, despite the macro environment,” Ek said.
Asked whether Spotify would consider raising prices in the U.S., as Apple Music and other competitors have, Ek said “it is one of the things that we would like to do,” and that the company will be having conversations with its label partners on that.
In July, the company said it was preparing for an economic downturn — though it had not yet had much of an impact on its business — by slowing its pace of hiring by 25 percent.
“I do believe only the prepared survive, and we’re preparing as if things could get worse,” Ek said at the time.
On Tuesday, Spotify said it had not seen any “material impact” from the economic downturn, other than on its ad business.
However, moving forward, Ek said the company will be “more selective” with its “overall spending.” Future investments will be made only if they are accretive to the company’s margin over the investment period and if they strengthen the company’s value proposition to users. Ek also noted that there may be new opportunities in an economic downturn.
The company has also taken on other cost cutting measures. Earlier this month, Spotify canceled 10 original shows from its studios Parcast and Gimlet. This led to the layoff of 38 employees and pushback from their respective unions.
On Tuesday, Spotify did not address the cancellations directly, but said that the restructuring should lead to “improved productivity at select studios” and appear as a one-time charge in the fourth quarter.
At the same time, Spotify officially launched its audiobooks business in September, which it had been long promising as the next step in its business plan after its podcast push. The company chose an à la carte model at launch, in which users can check out individual books from a library of 300,000 titles. There are no ads yet for the audiobooks business, but the company has said it may explore that and other business models.
While management did not release numbers yet on the launch, executives said they had seen “good engagement” with the segment, even as the purchasing experience has been not been ideal for iOS users. Ahead of the earnings call, The New York Times reported that Apple had rejected the Spotify app three times.
The company has also been experimenting with selling tickets. In August, Spotify launched a ticket selling website for select artists. Paul Vogel, Spotify’s chief financial officer, has characterized it as a means of boosting average revenue per user on the platform, as well as increasing listening hours for those artists. The company would not disclose any numbers on that effort Tuesday.
This article originally appeared in THR.com.
In the third quarter of 2022, Spotify revenue improved to 3.04 billion euros ($2.98 billion at the Sept. 30 exchange rate), marking an increase of 12% at constant currency and 21.4% as reported, the company reported Tuesday (Oct. 25). Subscription revenue grew 13% (22% as reported) to 2.5 billion euros ($2.46 billion) while subscribers improved 13.4% to 195 million — 1 million ahead of guidance. Led by podcasting, the company’s ad-supported revenue grew just 3% at constant currency (19% as reported) to 385 million euros ($378 million).
Spotify’s gross margin of 24.7% — which is 50 basis points below guidance — was slightly better than the 24.6% registered in the second quarter, but it was still two percentage points lower than 26.7% in the prior-year period. The company attributed the decline to its spending on non-music content and product enhancements, increased publishing rates and an adjustment to prior-period accruals. Those negative effects served to offset a favorable revenue shift to podcasting and continued growth in Marketplace, Spotify’s hub for artist services.
Spotify shares fell 6.7% to $90.54 in after-hours trading.
Financial metrics
Revenue: 3.04 billion euros ($2.98 billion), +21.4% y/y, +13% at constant currencyGross margin percentage: 24.7%, down from 26.7% in Q3 2021 Operating loss: 228 million euros ($223.8 million), down from 75 million euros operating income in Q3 2021 Average revenue per user: 4.63 euros ($4.55)
Listener metrics
Subscribers: 195 million, +13.4% y/y Ad-supported monthly active users: 273 million, +24.1% y/y Monthly active users: 456 million, +19.7% y/y
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