Music Stocks
Radio broadcaster Cumulus Media was notified by the Nasdaq Composite on Wednesday (April 23) that its shares will be de-listed from the exchange on May 2, according to a Cumulus regulatory filing. The stock will transition the same day to trading on the over-the-counter (OTC) market and will retain the CMLS ticker. Shares of Cumulus […]
Music stocks bounced back — and performed better than major U.S. indexes— for a second week after President Trump’s tariff policy sent markets into a tailspin.
The 20-company Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI) rose 3.6% to 2,446.90, its second consecutive gain after falling 8.2% the week ended April 4. Fourteen of the 20 stocks were winners and five had gains exceeding 5%. The largest companies were among the week’s winners, which had an outsized impact on the index’s value, while the four worst performers are the index’s least valuable companies.
The BGMI outperformed the Nasdaq and S&P 500, which lost 2.6% and 1.5%, respectively, but fell short of the FTSE 100’s 3.9% improvement. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index gained 2.1% and China’s SSE Composite Index rose 1.2%.
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Streaming companies, which analysts believe are well-suited to survive the impacts of the U.S. tariff policy, were among the week’s best performers. Cloud Music was the week’s biggest gainer, rising 10.5% to 156.40 HKD ($20.15). Deezer was the third-best performer with a 6.7% gain.
Spotify, the most valuable music company, rose 5.6% to $574.25. UBS lowered its Spotify price target on Tuesday to $680 from $690 but maintained its buy rating. Tencent Music Entertainment improved just 0.4%, giving it a 10.2% gain in 2025.
Multi-sector companies, particularly those from South Korea, also performed well. YG Entertainment rose 10.0% to 66,800 KRW ($47.10). SM Entertainment rose 9.3% to 116,300 KRW ($81.99) and JYP Entertainment improved 6.2% to 63,300 KRW ($44.63). HYBE rose 2.0% to 230,500 KRW ($162.51).
Universal Music Group rose 3.2% to 23.96 euros ($27.25), turning a deficit into a year-to-date gain of 0.2%. Warner Music Group rose 0.3%, bringing its loss in 2025 to 6.1%.
Live entertainment companies had mixed results. German promoter CTS Eventim gained 4.2% to 97.20 euros ($110.54) and MSG Entertainment rose 1.2% to $30.69. Live Nation fell 1.8% to $127.22. Sphere Entertainment Co. dropped 6.3% to $25.38. The company, which owns the Sphere venue in Las Vegas, has fallen 40.2% year to date.
Radio companies continued their decline. iHeartMedia dropped 14.8%, bringing its year-to-date loss to 54%. Cumulus Media’s 19.4% fall took its year-to-date deficit to 67.5%.
Tariffs continued to be a dominant theme in the financial world this week. Apple and other tech companies that import phones, computers and chips from China and other Asian countries gained a reprieve from the most burdensome tariffs. The announcement, which came on April 11, sent Apple’s stock up 2% on Monday (April 14) and pushed its market capitalization back past $3 trillion. On Thursday, the Trump administration announced new fees on Chinese-made ships entering U.S. ports. Some of those fees were quickly walked back, however, by exempting ships that travel between U.S. ports of call, and from domestic ports to Caribbean islands or U.S. territories.
Billboard
Billboard
Billboard
Believe intends to acquire the few remaining shares it does not own through a public buyout offer or “assimilation,” the company announced Wednesday (April 16). The offer will be launched by an entity named Upbeat BidCo that’s controlled by CEO Denis Ladegaillerie and private equity funds EQT and TCV.
Upbeat BidCo, which owns 96.7% of Believe’s outstanding shares, will offer 15.30 euros ($17.40) per share for the remaining 3.3% of share capital. The bid represents a 1.2% premium over the previous day’s closing price of 15.12 euros ($17.20).
The offer will be filed on Wednesday. Subject to clearance by the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF), France’s securities commission, it’s expected to begin in the second quarter of 2025. After the closing of the bid, Upbeat BidCo will implement a “squeeze-out,” in which an acquiring company uses various tactics to pressure non-tendering shareholders to accept the buyout offer.
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Believe’s board of directors has established an ad hoc committee consisting of three independent directors: Orla Noonan, Anne-France Laclide-Drouin and Cécile Frot-Coutaz. According to the press release, the committee will “monitor and facilitate the work of the independent expert, and to prepare a draft reasoned opinion on the merits of the offer and its consequences for Believe, its shareholders and its employees.”
On Tuesday (April 15), Believe’s board of directors unanimously welcomed Upbeat BidCo’s intent to file the public buyout offer based on a preliminary recommendation of the ad hoc committee.
The Paris-based company was publicly traded for three years before a consortium led by Ladegaillerie, EQT and TCV took the company private in 2024 with a buyout offer of 15.00 euros ($17.06). The consortium did not squeeze out the remaining shareholders, however, and the small float remains trading on the Euronext Paris stock exchange.
Buying the remaining shares won’t come with much of a premium. Since the tender offer closed in June 2024, Believe’s shares have traded in a narrow band, reaching a high of 16.00 euros ($18.20) and a low of 13.70 euros ($15.58). Earlier this year, Believe shares had gained 5.0% before the announcement. On Wednesday, Believe rose 0.9% to 15.26 euros ($17.36), just below the 15.30 euros offer price.
Led by Spotify and Live Nation, music stocks surged on Wednesday (April 9) after the U.S. Treasury placed a 90-day pause on most tariffs and recaptured some of the losses from the chaotic previous week.
A week after losing $12 billion in market value, Spotify was one of the top-performing music stocks of the week, gaining 8.0% and offsetting most of the previous week’s 10.3% decline. A 9.8% gain on Wednesday helped improve the streaming company’s two-week loss to 3.1%.
The 20-company Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI) gained 4.6% to 2,362.78 on Wednesday’s 90-day tariff pause. That welcome news recaptured only a fraction of the previous week’s losses, however, and music stocks were hurt by a weakened U.S. dollar and growing fears the U.S. could slip into a recession. After losing 8.2% in the previous week, the index’s two-week loss stands at 4.0%.
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U.S. markets rebounded after a miserable week. The Nasdaq rose 7.3% to 16,724.46, bringing its two-week loss to 3.5%. The S&P 500 rose 5.7% to 5,363.36, giving it a two-week decline of 3.9%.
Many markets outside of the U.S. were down, however. In the U.K., the FTSE 100 dropped 1.1%, giving it a two-week loss of 8.0%. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index was down 1.3%, adding to the previous week’s 3.6% decline. China’s SSE Composite Index dipped 3.1% a week after falling 0.3%.
Music streamer LiveOne was the week’s biggest gainer after jumping 18.0% to $0.72. The company’s preliminary results for fiscal 2025 released on Monday (April 7) showed the music streaming company had revenue of more than $112 million, while subscribers and ad-supported listeners surpassed 1.45 million. Even after the large increase, LiveOne shares have fallen 47.4% year to date.
Live Nation, which jumped 7.2% to $129.52 this week, is the only music company to post a gain over the past two weeks. The concert promoter’s share price dropped 3.4% the previous week but, with the help of a 10.9% jump on Wednesday, recovered well enough for a two-week gain of 3.6%.
Record labels and publishers finished the week in the middle of the pack. Warner Music Group fell 1.5% to $29.03, bringing its two-week decline to 8.0%. Universal Music Group was down 1.6%, giving it a two-week decline of 10.7%. Reservoir Media rose 0.7% to $7.10, giving it a two-week deficit of just 2.1%.
Sphere Entertainment Co. is one of the worst-performing music stocks over the past two weeks with an 18.5% decline. The company’s shares finished the week up 1.3%, barely offsetting the previous week’s 19.5% decline. A spike on Wednesday was partially offset by declines of 4.3% and 7.7% on Tuesday (April 8) and Thursday (April 10), respectively.
Most radio companies, which are heavily exposed to slowed advertising spending during recessions, had another down week. Cumulus Media dropped 22.5% to $0.31, bringing its two-week loss to 34.0%. iHeartMedia fell 4.2%, which took its two-week decline to 29.9%. Townsquare Media was down 4.9% this week and 13.6% over the past two weeks. Satellite broadcaster SiriusXM, which was upgraded by Seaport to buy from neutral, gained 2.6% this week, narrowing its two-week loss to 12.0%.
The two Chinese music streaming companies on the BGMI fared poorly despite the recoveries by Spotify, LiveOne and Deezer, which gained 2.3%. Tencent Music Entertainment fell 5.5% to $12.24 but was likely helped by Nomura initiating coverage this week with a buy rating and a $17.20 price target. Cloud Music shares dropped 5.7% to 141.50 HKD ($18.24).
K-pop companies, which bucked the downward trend the previous week, posted declines as well. SM Entertainment fell 8.2%, HYBE dropped 8.1%, JYP Entertainment sank 5.8% and YG Entertainment dipped 4.1%.
Billboard
Billboard
Billboard
Music stocks were battered this week after President Donald Trump unveiled the tariffs that will be applied to imported goods from around the world.
The 20-company Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI) fell 8.2% for the week ended Friday (April 4), marking the largest single-week decline in the index’s two-and-a-half-year history. Among the 17 stocks that posted losses, eight declined by 10% or more, and one — iHeartMedia — far surpassed a 20% decline. Of the 20 stocks on the index, only three South Korean K-pop companies posted gains for the week.
Markets around the world experienced large declines in the wake of the tariffs. In the U.S., the tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 10.0% and the S&P 500 dipped 9.1%. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 slipped 7.0%. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index fell 3.6%. China’s SSE Composite Index declined just 0.3%.
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SM Entertainment was the top performer of the week with an 8.3% gain, besting JYP Entertainment’s 3.3% increase and HYBE’s 2.3% improvement. No other music stock finished the week in positive territory, although French company Believe came close with a 0.1% decline.
Spotify fell 10.3% to $503.30, erasing approximately $12 billion of market value. While most stocks cratered on Thursday (April 3), Spotify had fared relatively well by losing just 1.2%. But Spotify shares fell 9.9% on Friday (April 4), paring down the once high-flying stock’s year-to-date gain to 7.9%.
Like Spotify, Tencent Music Entertainment bucked the downward trend on Thursday by suffering only a minor loss, but declined 9.5% on Friday, dropping 9.9% to $12.95.
Radio companies, which are heavily dependent on advertising revenue, were among the most affected stocks. iHeartMedia shares fell 26.8% to $1.20, bringing its year-to-date decline to 43.7%. Cumulus Media dropped 14.9% to $0.40. SiriusXM declined 14.2% to $19.51.
Live entertainment stocks were also hit hard. Sphere Entertainment Co., owner of the Sphere venue in Las Vegas, fell 19.5% to $26.74, mirroring sharp declines in gaming companies reliant on travel to Las Vegas such as Wynn Resorts (down 14.9% this week) and Caesars Entertainment (down 9.7%). Sphere announced on Friday that it has two new experiences in production: The Wizard of Oz at Sphere and From The Edge, a film about extreme sports.
Madison Square Garden Entertainment dropped 11.9% to $29.71, widening its year-to-date loss to 17.2%. Live Nation had been up 7.7% through Wednesday (April 2) but finished the week down 3.4% after losing a combined 10.3% over Thursday and Friday. German concert promoter CTS Eventim fell just 6.2%.
Music stocks started 2025 well, but concerns about tariffs have wiped out the index’s early gains. The BGMI has lost 18.0% of its value since Feb. 14 and has declined in five of the previous seven weeks. Halfway through February, the index had gained nearly 30% in the first six weeks of the young year. By Friday, that year-to-date gain was down to 6.3%.
Billboard
Billboard
Billboard
President Donald Trump’s so-called “Liberation Day,” which marked the imposition of tariffs on all U.S. trading partners on Wednesday (April 2), was followed by a bloodbath on Wall Street on Thursday (April 3).
The tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 6.0% while the S&P 500 dropped 4.8% — the largest single-day decline since 2020 for both. The Russell 2000, an index of small-cap companies, dropped 6.6% and entered bear market territory, having lost more than 20% of its value since reaching its all-time high in November.
All music stocks except three K-pop companies suffered losses Thursday, with a handful losing 13% or more of their value and most dropping by mid-single digits. Music is largely a service that operates seamlessly across borders and is mostly immune from the tariffs applied to manufactured goods. But investors clearly expect U.S. consumers to face higher prices and an uncertain labor market, which in turn causes people to reduce their spending on everything from everyday household items to more expensive items such as concert tickets and travel.
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The severity of stock declines varied by industry segment. Companies with high exposure to the U.S. advertising market were hit particularly hard, a reflection of brands’ tendency to reduce their ad spending in times of economic uncertainty. In the radio segment, iHeartMedia shares fell 13.1%, Cumulus Media dropped 10.1% and Townsquare Media sank 6.3%. Satellite radio company SiriusXM lost 5.4%. Music streamer LiveOne, which has both subscription and ad-supported offerings, fell 12.9%. PodcastOne, a podcast company majority owned by LiveOne, dipped 10.3%.
Companies involved in live music also fared poorly. Sphere Entertainment Co. fell 13.9% while sister company MSG Entertainment fell 6.8%. Live Nation dropped 6.4%. Secondary ticket marketplace Vivid Seats fell 9.6% and ticketing company Eventbrite sank 4.7%. Sphere Entertainment’s decline was mirrored in other companies that also rely on travel to Las Vegas: Las Vegas Sands Corp. lost 6.7%, MGM Grand International dipped 9.3%, Caesars Entertainment fell 9.5% and Wynn Resorts dropped 10.6%.
Multi-sector music companies — a combination of mainly recorded music and music publishing — fared relatively well. Universal Music Group lost 1.5%. Warner Music Group dropped just 0.7%. Reservoir Media was down 3.5%.
There was also a clear divide between companies that derive the majority of their income within the U.S. and companies that do not. Live music and ticketing companies based in the U.S. fell an average of 8.3% while German concert promoter CTS Eventim fell just 2.4%. Radio companies and LiveOne, which are more subject to the health of the U.S. advertising market, fared worse than Spotify, which fell just 1.2% despite offering an ad-supported tier in the U.S.
The most valuable American companies suffered huge losses as investors gauged the tariffs’ impact on foreign-manufactured goods. Apple shares dropped 9.3%, wiping out more than $300 billion of market value. Amazon, which does brisk business on items manufactured in Asian countries facing large tariffs, fell 9.0%. Meta, which relies on advertising for nearly all of its revenue, also dropped 9.0%.
K-pop companies SM Entertainment and HYBE were among the best-performing music stocks of the week as most stocks were dragged down by continued uncertainty about U.S. tariff policy and new data on higher-than-expected inflation.
SM Entertainment, home to NCT Dream and RIIZE, was the week’s best performer after gaining 6.7% to 107,000 KRW ($72.91). That brought the company’s year-to-date gain to 47.4% — the best of any music stock.
HYBE, which counts BTS and its solo members’ projects among its vast roster, improved 3.7% to 240,500 KRW ($163.87). On Thursday (March 27), HYBE announced that BTS songs such as “Dynamite” and “Butter” will be featured on Lullaby Renditions of BTS, out April 4 on Rockabye Baby! Music. HYBE shares are up 19.7% year to date, the fifth-best among music stocks.
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K-pop fared well during a down week for most stocks and markets in general. YG Entertainment, home of BLACKPINK and BABYMONSTER, rose 3.3% to 63,500 KRW ($43.27) while JYP Entertainment was unchanged at 61,300 KRW ($41.77).
Outside of South Korea, music stocks reflected the challenging economic conditions and uncertainties that have hurt stocks in recent weeks. The 20-company Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI) declined 2.9% to 2,459.98, marking its fourth decline in the last six weeks. With just eight of its 20 stocks finishing the week in the black, the BGMI fell into correction territory as its value has declined 10.7% since the week ended Feb. 14. The first six weeks of 2025 were good enough to overcome the recent slump, however, and the BGMI is up 15.8% year to date and has gained 40.4% over the last 52 weeks.
Stocks took another hit on Friday (March 28) after the core personal consumption expenditures price index, a measure closely watched by the U.S. Federal Reserve, increased 0.4% in February. That put the 12-month inflation rate at 2.8%. Both figures were above experts’ expectations. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite finished the week down 2.6%, increasing its year-to-date decline to 11.7%, while the S&P 500 fell 1.5%. In the U.K., the FTSE 100 increased 0.1%. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index fell 3.2%. China’s SSE Composite Index dropped 0.4%.
The BGMI was pulled down by Spotify’s 6.5% decline and a 4.2% drop by German concert promoter CTS Eventim. Warner Music Group, one of the index’s largest companies, dropped 2.7% to $31.56.
Tencent Music Entertainment (TME) gained 2.7% to $14.38 after Deutsche Bank upgraded its rating on TME shares to buy from hold. Universal Music Group rose 2.0% to 25.99 euros ($28.12) after Wells Fargo upped the rating on the company’s shares to overweight from equal weight and increased the price target to 33 euros ($35.70) from 28 euros ($30.29).
Music streaming company LiveOne had the week’s biggest decline at 14.1%. The company announced on Wednesday (March 26) that subscribers and ad-supported users surpassed 1.4 million.
Radio company iHeartMedia fell 6.8%, putting its year-to-date loss at 23.0%. Satellite broadcaster SiriusXM dropped 3.1% to $22.75, though it’s still up 1.7% in 2025.
After a four-week span that negated some positive earnings results and strong global trends, music stocks received a reprieve from the gloom that has spread over the economy since the Trump administration imposed tariffs on Canada, Mexico and European countries.
Tencent Music Entertainment shares rose 11.6% to $14.00 after the company’s fourth-quarter earnings release on Tuesday (March 18) showed a big increase in both subscribers and subscription revenue. The Chinese streaming company’s revenue surpassed $1 billion in the fourth quarter, an 8.2% increase, and net profit climbed 47.3% to $284 million. Additionally, Tencent Music made two announcements that tend to get a warm reaction from investors: a dividend and a $1 billion share repurchase program.
The Billboard Global Music Index gained 3.0% to 2,533.53 as 12 of its 20 stocks posted gains, seven lost value and one was unchanged. After suffering through a tariff-induced, four-week losing streak, the S&P 500 improved 0.5% and the Nasdaq composite gained 0.2%. In the U.K., the FTSE 100 broke a two-week losing streak by gaining 0.2%. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index gained 3.0%. China’s SSE Composite Index dropped 1.6%.
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Music streaming company LiveOne gained 13.3% after the company announced it surpassed 1.3 million subscribers and ad-supported users. The index’s third-best performer, K-pop company SM Entertainment, rose 10.0% to 100,300 KRW ($68.46).
A handful of companies that had taken a hit since mid-February fared better this week. iHeartMedia gained 9.3% to $1.76, improving its year-to-date loss to 17.4%. Madison Square Garden Entertainment rose 7.6% to $33.85, its first weekly gain in four weeks. Live Nation also broke a four-week losing streak, improving 3.2% to $123.06.
Satellite radio broadcaster SiriusXM shares gained 3.5% to $23.47. The company announced on Thursday at named Anjali Sud, CEO of on-demand video streaming platform Tubi, as an independent director to its board. SiriusXM shares are down 39.5% over the last 52 weeks but have rebounded recently and are up 5.0% year to date.
French streaming company Deezer shares fell 6.0% to 1.41 euros ($1.53) following the company’s fourth-quarter earnings release on Tuesday (March 18). Deezer’s revenue grew 12% to $591 million but its subscribers fell 3.1% to 9.7 million (the decline was actually more significant Deezer because removed 500,000 inactive family accounts from its 2023 subscriber count). Despite the week’s decline, Deezer shares are up 7.6% year to date.
The biggest loser of the week, JYP Entertainment, fell 12.2% this week following the K-pop company’s fourth-quarter and full-year earnings release on Tuesday (March 18). Revenue grew 26.8% in the fourth quarter and 6.2% in the full year, but operating profit dropped 2.6% in the quarter and 24.3% in the full year due to a decline in album sales, a higher proportion of management revenue and an introduction of new artist lineups.
The music business has earned a reputation for being recession-proof. In bad economic times, people still pay for their music subscription services and want to go to concerts. Some synch opportunities may dry up as advertisers make cutbacks, but overall, the music is a hearty business that doesn’t follow typical economic cycles.
Music business stocks, however, aren’t immune to fluctuations in the market and investors’ worries about the increasingly fragile state of the economy. This week, just three of the 20 companies on the Billboard Global Music Index (BGMI) finished with gains, and five stocks had losses in excess of 10%. Despite a host of strong quarterly earnings results in recent weeks, President Donald Trump’s tariffs on goods from Canada, Mexico, China and Europe have caused markets to panic, taking down music stocks along with the industrial and agricultural companies most likely to be affected.
The S&P 500 entered correction territory on Thursday (March 13) when it closed down 10% from the all-time high. The Russell 2000, an index of small companies, was down 18.4% from its peak. Most stocks improved on Friday (March 14) as markets rallied — despite a decline in the University of Michigan’s consumer confidence index — but the first four days of the week were too much to overcome. The S&P 500 finished the week down 2.3% and the Nasdaq composite closed down 2.4%.
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Markets outside of the U.S. fared better than U.S. markets. The U.K.’s FTSE 100 dropped just 0.5%. South Korea’s KOSPI composite index rose 0.1% and China’s SSE Composite Index improved 1.4%.
Even though 17 of the 20 companies on the BGMI posted losses this week, the index rose 0.5% to 2,460.71 because of Spotify’s 8.1% gain, and the dollar’s nearly 1% increase against the euro offset the weekly declines of 17 other stocks. Spotify is the BGMI’s largest component with a market capitalization of approximately $117 billion — more than twice that of Universal Music Group’s (UMG’s) $50.2 billion. The stock also received rare good news this week as Redburn Atlantic initiated coverage of Spotify with a $545 price target (which implies 5.5% upside from Friday’s closing price) and a neutral rating.
UMG shares fell 8.8% on Friday, a reaction to Pershing Square’s announcement on Thursday that it will sell 50 million shares worth approximately $1.5 billion. Pershing Square CEO Bill Ackman called UMG “one of the best businesses we have ever owned.” JP Morgan analyst Daniel Kerven admitted the news was “a near-term negative for confidence” in UMG but saw Pershing Square’s decision to sell shares as a move to take profits and re-weigh its portfolio (UMG was 27% of Pershing Square’s holdings) rather than a commentary about UMG’s long-term potential or recent operating performance. UMG shares ended the week down 8.2% to 25.46 euros ($27.78) but remained up 6.5% year to date.
Live Nation shares dropped 6.5% to $119.22, marking the stock’s fourth consecutive weekly decline. During the week, Deutsche Bank increased its Live Nation price target to $170 from $150 and maintained its “buy” rating. On Friday, a judge denied Live Nation’s request to dismiss an accusation that the promoter illegally forced artists to use its promotion business if they wanted to perform in its amphitheaters.
Other U.S.-based live entertainment companies also fell sharply. Sphere Entertainment Co. fell 10.1% to $31.55. MSG Entertainment dropped 1.3% to $31.46 despite Wolfe Research upgrading the stock to “outperform” from “peer perform” with a $46 price target. Vivid Seats, a secondary ticketing platform, fell 28.1% to $2.86 after the company announced fourth-quarter earnings.
Radio companies, which tend to suffer when economic uncertainty causes advertisers to pull back spending, had yet another down week. iHeartMedia fell 12.0% to $1.61. Cumulus Media dropped 11.5% to $0.46. And SiriusXM, which announced layoffs this week, fell 10.1% to $22.67. Year to date, iHeartMedia is down 24.4% and Cumulus Media is down 40.3%. SiriusXM, on the other hand, has gained 1.4% in 2025.
K-pop stocks also fell sharply despite South Korea’s market finishing the week with a small gain. HYBE, SM Entertainment, JYP Entertainment and YG Entertainment had an average decline of 7.4% for the week. Collectively, however, the four South Korean companies have had a strong start to 2025 and, after this week, had an average year-to-date gain of 19.3%.
Hedge fund Pershing Square Holdings is parting with 50 million shares of one of its most prized assets, Universal Music Group (UMG). The sale of 50 million shares — approximately 2.7% of UMG’s outstanding shares — on the Euronext Amsterdam exchange, at 26.60 euros ($28.97) to 27.90 euros ($30.28), according to Bloomberg, would gross between […]