Chart Beat
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The Contenders is a midweek column that looks at artists aiming for the top of the Billboard charts, and the strategies behind their efforts. This week (for the upcoming Billboard 200 dated April 13), it’s pretty much all Cowboy Carter, as Beyoncé’s eighth official studio LP sets its six-shooter’s sights on the top of the charts.
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Beyoncé, Cowboy Carter (Parkwood/Columbia): Even in a first quarter that’s seen full-length releases from some pretty massive artists — including Kanye West & Ty Dolla $ign, Ariana Grande and Future & Metro Boomin — Beyoncé albums remain a next-level event in the pop sphere. Cowboy Carter rode onto the scene last Friday (March 29) with more buzz and anticipation than any other LP of 2024 thus far, and the results have not disappointed: The album currently boasts a 92 score on review-aggregating website Metacritic, making it the second-best-reviewed set from any artist this year, and has also started receiving some serious Grammy buzz as the set to finally earn her long-overdue first album of the year trophy.
Unsurprisingly, the release is expected to make an eye-popping debut — helped by a number of physical versions of Cowboy Carter that Beyoncé is currently selling exclusively via her webstore. (Vinyl and CD are scheduled to go wide to all retail on April 12, which should give it a nice sales bump in its third chart week.) The set’s vinyl release includes four different-colored variants, each with a different back cover image of Beyoncé. The CD version includes an extra song, “Flamenco,” and is available in four variants (each also with a different Beyoncé back cover), while two of the CDs are exclusively available inside the boxed sets she’s selling — three versions of which are currently for sale, each with a T-shirt and a copy of the album on CD inside a branded box. And of course, there is a digital version for sale and streaming, which includes five tracks not featured on the physical release (“Flamenco,” “Spaghettii,” “The Linda Martell Show,” “Ya Ya” and “Oh Louisiana”).
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All of this should add up to a lofty sales total for Beyoncé, who has become a reliable performer in terms of physical sales, moving 190,000 such copies of Cowboy Carter’s 2022 predecessor Renaissance in its U.S. debut frame, according to Luminate. The new album is also streaming very well — at 27 tracks, it’s the longest album of Bey’s career to date, which will certainly help boost those totals — and Spotify even confirmed that it was the service’s most-streamed album in a single day of 2024 so far upon its release last Friday. That said, outside of previously-released lead single (and former Billboard Hot 100 No. 1) “Texas Hold ‘Em,” the album has no breakout hit yet on streaming akin to Grande’s “We Can’t Be Friends” or Future and Metro Boomin’s “Like That” — as of Tuesday (April 2), the only new song from the set in Spotify’s Daily US Top Songs chart was the Miley Cyrus duet “II Most Wanted,” at No. 10. (Both “II Most Wanted” and Bey’s redo of Dolly Parton’s “Jolene” were top 10 on Apple Music, at Nos. 10 and 8, respectively.)
Nonetheless, the high-volume combination of sales and streams should still result in a massive first week for Cowboy Carter — likely setting a new high-water mark for 2024 by passing Future and Metro Boomin’s We Don’t Trust You, which entered with 251,000 units on this week’s chart. It may also be in line to pass the 332,000 units Renaissance moved in its debut frame two years ago, becoming Beyoncé’s best-debuting album since her universally-beloved Lemonade bowed with 653,000 units back in 2016.
IN THE MIX
J-Hope, Hope on the Street, Vol. 1 (BigHit Music/Geffen/ICLG): J-Hope‘s latest is the musical accompaniment to his new Amazon Prime docuseries of the same name, in which the BTS alum hits the streets to meet dancers around the world and reconnect with his dancing roots. The six-track set features guest appearances from his bandmate Jung Kook as well as club legend Nile Rodgers, and is available in eight collectible CD editions, including exclusives for Target, Walmart and the Weverse store, all boasting branded paper merchandise (like posters, photo cards and stickers).
mgk & Trippie Redd, Genre : Sadboy (10K Projects/EST 19XX/Interscope/ICLG): The artist formerly known as Machine Gun Kelly’s first full-length release since officially rebranding as mgk is a 10-track team-up with longtime collaborator Trippie Redd. The resulting set is closer to the former’s hip-hop roots than his last few pop-punk-oriented albums, one of which (2020’s Tickets to My Downfall) debuted atop the Billboard 200. Genre : Sadboy is not yet available for vinyl purchase, but can be bought on CD via mgk’s official website.
Aaron Lewis, The Hill (Valory/BMLG): Longtime Staind frontman Aaron Lewis has found success in the country world since making a career pivot over a decade ago, particularly with conservative-courting right-wing anthems like 2021’s surprise top 20 Hot 100 hit “Am I the Only One.” His latest country-leaning effort The Hill is a 10-track acoustic affair, and is available on both CD and clear vinyl.
It’s Tyla’s turn at No. 1 on Billboard’s Hot R&B Songs chart as the singer-songwriter’s “Water” springs from No. 4 to rule the list dated April 6. The song, which reached a prior No. 2 best as far back as November, pools enough activity to claim the throne on the heels of its parent album’s release March 22.
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In the March 22-28 tracking week, “Water” recorded 10.3 million official U.S. streams, a 17% surge from 8.8 million in the previous frame, according to Luminate. The boost pushes the single 5-4 on R&B Streaming Songs, where it previously peaked at No. 2, and wins Greatest Gainer honors, given each week to the song with the largest improvement among the chart’s 15 titles. Plus, the latest haul gives “Water” its best streaming week since Jan. 5-11, when it accrued 10.9 million clicks.
For the two remaining metrics that funnel into the Hot R&B Songs chart – song sales and radio airplay – “Water” sold 2,000 downloads in the same period, a 17% bump from the prior week, and registered 51.7 million in airplay audience across all formats, down 4%.
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“Water” was already a proven smash on Rhythmic Airplay and Mainstream R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay, ruling the charts for one and eight weeks, respectively, over the winter, helping explain the current audience decline. It remains active, however, at pop radio, holding at its No. 6 high on the Pop Airplay chart. The crossover appeal reflects the singer-songwriter’s “popiano” sound — a hybrid of pop, R&B and Afrobeats characteristics, as detailed in Tyla’s March Billboard cover story.
The song’s streaming and sales growth aligns with the release of Tyla’s self-titled debut album March 22. The set, released via FAX Records/Epic Records, opens at No. 2 on the Top R&B Albums chart with 24,000 equivalent album units earned in its first week. The arrival makes the set only the second of 2024 to debut in the top two, following the No. 1 launch of Usher’s Coming Home in February.
Beyond “Water,” Tyla finds five more tunes on Hot R&B Songs: “Truth or Dare” rises 8-7 in its eighth chart week, while four tracks – “Art” (No. 8), “No. 1,” featuring Tems (No. 13), “Jump,” with Gunna and Skillabeng, and “Safer” (No. 22) – all debut.
Notably, Tyla tops Hot R&B Songs after SZA had reigned for 66 of the past 68 weeks, via four No. 1s.
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Elsewhere, Tyla floods the Billboard U.S. Afrobeats Songs chart, as 12 of the album’s cuts land on the 50-position list. “Water” retains the top rank for a 25th consecutive and total week, while a familiar set of titles shows in the top 10: “Truth or Dare” (No. 3), “Art” (No. 4), “No. 1” (No. 5), “Jump” (No. 6) and “Safer” (No. 8), while the Becky G collaboration “On My Body” begins at No. 10. With the tidal wave, Tyla becomes the first act to occupy seven of the top 10 spots on the two-year-old chart.
The “Water” triumphs add to a spate of honors of late for the single. In addition to the Afrobeats Songs and radio crowns, the track won the singer, age 22, the first-ever Grammy Award presented for best African music performance, on Feb. 4. “It’s something that a lot of people strive toward and want to win at least once in their lifetime,” she said in the cover profile. “And I’m so blessed to have received one so early in my career.”
Kenny Chesney banks his 22nd top 10 on Billboard’s Top Country Albums chart as Born opens at No. 5 on the survey dated April 6.
In the week ending March 28, the set, released March 22, earned 27,000 equivalent album units in the U.S., according to Luminate. With 18,000 sold, the LP also starts at No. 1 on Billboard’s all-genre Top Albums Sales chart, where it’s Chesney’s 12th leader.
On the all-genre Billboard 200, Born enters at No. 20, marking the Tennessee native’s 18th top 20 title.
Chesney co-produced the 15-song album with longtime collaborator Buddy Cannon.
Born follows Chesney’s Here and Now, which arrived as his 17th No. 1 on Top Country Albums in May 2020. He’s tied with Garth Brooks for the third-most leaders on the 1964-launched tally. George Strait has notched a record 27 No. 1s, followed by Willie Nelson with 18.
Meanwhile, Born lead single “Take Her Home” bounds 32-19 for a new high on the streaming-, airplay- and sales-based Hot Country Songs chart, up 99% to 2.6 million official U.S. streams. On Country Airplay, it lifts 13-12 (16.8 million in audience, up 8%).
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Chayce Beckham’s debut Hot Country Songs entry, “23,” hops 12-8 with 6.4 million streams (up 2%). The 2021 American Idol winner also scores his first Country Airplay leader with the song (6-1; 28.2 million, up 22%). It’s the latter list’s first No. 1 solely written by the act that recorded it since Taylor Swift’s “Ours” in 2012.
Plus, Parker McCollum earns his fourth Hot Country Songs top 10 as “Burn It Down” climbs 11-10. The track, which the singer-songwriter from Conroe, Texas, co-authored, drew 6.3 million streams and sold 1,000. On Country Airplay, it bumps 7-6 for a new best (23.5 million, up 2%).
Singer-songwriter Patrick Mayberry notches his first No. 1 on Billboard’s Christian Airplay chart as “Lead on Good Shepherd” rises to the top of the survey (dated April 6). The single, released on Centricity Music, increased by 7% to 5.9 million airplay audience impressions in the March 22-28 tracking week, according to Luminate. Mayberry co-authored the […]
Jonathan McReynolds collects his sixth total and consecutive No. 1 on Billboard’s Gospel Airplay chart (dated April 6) with “Able,” featuring Marvin Winans, who adds his third leader. During the March 22-28 tracking week, the song drew airplay on 34 stations that report to Gospel Airplay, tying for the most among all titles on the […]
A U.K. chart double beckons for Beyoncé, as Cowboy Carter and its hit single “Texas Hold ‘Em” set the pace in the race to No. 1.
As previously reported, Cowboy Carter (via Columbia/Parkwood Entertainment) is strides ahead of the competition at the midweek point. According to the Official Charts Company, Bey’s country-themed collection is currently outselling the rest of the top 5 combined.
With Cowboy Carter bolting out the gate, “Texas Hold ‘Em” lifts 2-1 on the midweek chart, and is predicted to log a fifth non-consecutive week at the summit.
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Two more cuts from Bey’s new LP are set to crash the top 10, “Jolene” (at No. 5) and “II Most Wanted” with Miley Cyrus (No. 8). If both tracks hold their course, Beyonce’s career tally of U.K. top 10 hits will lift to 24.
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Meanwhile, Benson Boone’s two-week reign with “Beautiful Things” (Warner Records) is expected to end at the hands of Bey, down 2-1 on the midweek tally. The Washington-raised singer and songwriter is on the verge of a third U.K. top 40 appearance, however, with “Slow It Down” up 49-26 on the midweek chart (Boone’s 2022 single “In The Stars” reached No. 21).
Closing out the top three on the midweek tally is Teddy Swims’ “Lose Control” (Atlantic), expected to maintain control of No. 3.
British-Cypriot DJ and producer Artemas is on the brink of his first U.K. top 10 with “i like the way you kiss mem” (Parlophone), up 13-7 on the chart blast.
Further down the midweek survey, Irish DJ duo NewEra takes flight with “Birds In The Sky” (Warner Records), up 21-19 for a potential new peak position, while Jungle’s soulful throwback number “Back on 74” (Caiola) is eying a new peak position, up 47-23 peak following a viral uplift.
Several singles are on the way up, including The Blessed Madonna & Clementine Douglas’ “Happier” (up 39-25 via FFRR); and U.S. indie-pop singer, songwriter, producer and TikTok creator Mark Ambor, who is predicted to bag his first U.K. top 40 entry with “Belong Together” (Hundred Days), up 66-29 on the midweek tally.
All will be revealed when the Official U.K. Singles Chart is published late Friday, April 5.
Beyoncé’s Cowboy Carter won’t be caught in the U.K. chart race.
Based on midweek sales and streaming data published by the Official Charts Company, Cowboy Carter (via Columbia/Parkwood Entertainment) is outselling rest of top 5 combined.
The U.S. superstar’s eighth studio LP, Cowboy Carter is all set to become Bey’s fifth solo leader in the U.K., following Dangerously In Love (from 2003), 4 (2011), Lemonade (2016) and Renaissance (2022). As a member of Destiny’s Child, alongside Kelly Rowland and Michelle Williams, Beyoncé owns another No. 1 with 2001’s Survivor.
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Queen Bey could lasso a chart double, as Cowboy Carter cut “Texas Hold ‘Em” eyes a return to No. 1 on the Official U.K. Singles Chart, for what would be a fifth non-consecutive week at the top.
British shoegaze champions Ride could nab a career-best chart position with Interplay (Wichita Recordings), their seventh studio set. Interplay bows at No. 2 on the Official Chart Update, and should become the band’s fourth top 10 entry, alongside 1992’s Going Blank Again and 1994’s Carnival Of Light, both of which peaked at No. 5; and 2019’s This Is Not A Safe Place (No. 7).
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Olivia Rodrigo’s Guts (Geffen) should grab the glory with a top three finish, thanks to the release of the deluxe “Spilled” edition. The one-time U.K. chart champion, Guts lifts 4-3 on the chart blast.
Canadian punk-rock outfit Sum 41 is eyeing a top 10 debut with Heaven :x: Hell (Rise Records), their eighth and final studio album. It’s predicted to start at No. 10, for Sum 41’s second top tier effort and highest charting record since their 2001 debut All Killer, No Filler hit No. 7.
Finally, new releases from While She Sleeps (Self Help at No. 18 via Spinefarm), BTS’s J-Hope (Hope On The Street Vol.1 at No. 20 via BigHit Entertainment) and Sheryl Crow (Evolution at No. 30 via Big Machine) are heading for top 40 berths.
All will be revealed when the Official U.K. Albums Chart is published this Friday, April 5.
Fletcher’s second full-length studio album In Search of the Antidote debuts at No. 3 on Billboard’s Top Album Sales chart (dated April 6), giving the singer her highest-charting set yet on the tally. The effort launches with just over 13,000 copies sold in the U.S. in the week ending March 28, according to Luminate. Fletcher previously visited the chart with her debut full-length, Girl of My Dreams, debuting and peaking at No. 4 in 2022.
Also in the top 10 of the Top Album Sales chart, the latest efforts from Kenny Chesney, Shakira and Sierra Ferrell debut, while André 3000’s New Blue Sun and Alice In Chains’ Jar of Flies re-enter the chart largely due to new vinyl releases.
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Billboard’s Top Album Sales chart ranks the top-selling albums of the week based only on traditional album sales. The chart’s history dates back to May 25, 1991, the first week Billboard began tabulating charts with electronically monitored piece count information from SoundScan, now Luminate. Pure album sales were the sole measurement utilized by the Billboard 200 albums chart through the list dated Dec. 6, 2014, after which that chart switched to a methodology that blends album sales with track equivalent album units and streaming equivalent album units. For all chart news, follow @billboard and @billboardcharts on both Twitter and Instagram.
Fletcher’s first-week sales of In Search of the Antidote were bolstered by its availability across six vinyl variants (including one signed edition, and exclusive versions for Target and indie retailers), four CD editions (including a Target-exclusive edition with alternate cover art and a poster, a signed CD and a deluxe “Archives” edition in expanded packaging), a standard digital album and a deluxe digital album with bonus tracks. Vinyl sales accounted for 7,500 of Antidote’s first-week sales – or, 57% of the album’s total sales for the week. That 7,500 figure also represents Fletcher’s biggest sales week for a vinyl album.
Meanwhile, Kenny Chesney clocks his 12th No. 1 on Top Album Sales as Born bows atop the list with 18,500 copies sold. The set was available as a standard CD, signed CD, standard digital album, and deluxe digital album with additional bonus live tracks.
Shakira’s Las Mujeres Ya No Lloran debuts at No. 2 on Top Album Sales, marking the seventh top 10-charting effort for the entertainer. The project sold 14,500 copies in its opening week, supported by four vinyl variants (each with a different color vinyl and alternate cover art), four CD variants (each with different cover art) and a digital album.
Kacey Musgraves’ Deeper Well dips 1-4 in its second week on Top Album Sales (10,500; down 84%) and Taylor Swift’s chart-topping 1989 (Taylor’s Version) falls 4-5 (9,500; down 4%).
Alice In Chains’ EP Jar of Flies, originally released in 1994, re-enters the chart at No. 6 following its 30th anniversary reissue on vinyl and cassette. The set was reintroduced across four vinyl variants (including a vinyl edition with actual flies in the vinyl) which, together with existing earlier released vinyl versions, sold a little over 9,000 copies in the tracking week (of its total 9,500 sold across all configurations). Jar of Flies debuted at No. 1 on the Feb. 12, 1994-dated Top Album Sales chart and marked the first of two leaders for the rock band. The set was last on the list in April of 1995.
Taylor Swift’s former No. 1 Lover descends 6-7 on Top Album Sales with nearly 9,500 copies sold (up 5%).
André 3000’s New Blue Sun re-enters Top Album Sales at No. 8, a new peak (and its first week in the top 10), following its release on physical configurations on March 22. The set (his first solo charting effort on Top Album Sales) was originally released via digital download and streaming services last November, and then saw its release on vinyl, CD and cassette on March 22. Combined, all configurations of the album sold nearly 9,000 copies for the week (up from a negligible sum in the previous week).
Sierra Ferrell captures her first top 10 on Top Album Sales as Trail of Flowers blooms at No. 9 in its debut frame, selling 8,500 copies. The set was supported by eight vinyl variants, a standard CD and a digital album download. Vinyl sales accounted for 6,000 of the album’s total first-week sales, marking Ferrell’s best week ever on vinyl.
Rounding out the top 10 of the new Top Album Sales chart is Ariana Grande’s former No. 1 Eternal Sunshine, falling 3-10 in its third week with nearly 8,000 sold (down 39%).
In the week ending March 28, there were 1.201 million albums sold in the U.S. (down 0.5% compared to the previous week). Of that sum, physical albums (CDs, vinyl LPs, cassettes, etc.) comprised 892,000 (down 1%) and digital albums comprised 309,000 (up 0.9%).
There were 427,000 CD albums sold in the week ending March 28 (down 2.5% week-over-week) and 461,000 vinyl albums sold (up 0.6%). Year-to-date CD album sales stand at 5.656 million (down 32.2% compared to the same time frame a year ago) and year-to-date vinyl album sales total 5.951 million (down 48.4%).
Overall year-to-date album sales total 15.54 million (down 36.9% compared to the same year-to-date time frame a year ago). Year-to-date physical album sales stand at 11.664 million (down 41.7%) and digital album sales total 3.875 million (down 16.5%).
Muni Long’s “Made for Me” asserts its place atop the R&B radio game as it rises to No. 1 on Billboard’s R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay chart dated April 6.
The single ascends from the runner-up spot after a 3% gain to 21.6 million in audience that made it the most-heard song on U.S. monitored adult R&B and mainstream R&B/hip-hop radio stations in the March 22 – 28 tracking week, according to Luminate.
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The new champ gives Muni Long her second No. 1 on R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay, after the eight-week ruler “Hrs and Hrs,” in 2022. While that song raced to the top in 12 weeks, Muni Long’s second coronation took considerably longer – 26 frames. Having debuted on the chart dated Oct. 19, 2023, “Made for Me” wraps the seventh-longest trek to the summit among the chart’s 303 leaders.
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Here’s a review of the songs that needed the most weeks to top the R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay chart, dating to its 1992 launch:
Weeks to No. 1, Song Title, Artist, Date Reached No. 135, “Step in the Name of Love,” R. Kelly, Dec. 6, 200333, “Free Mind,” Tems, Nov. 12, 202231, “You,” Lloyd featuring Lil Wayne, Feb. 17, 200729, “There Goes My Baby,” Aug. 14, 201029, “Snap Yo Fingers,” Lil Jon featuring E-40 & Sean Paul of the YoungBloodz, July 29, 200629, “I Wanna Know,” Joe, April 1, 200026, “Made for Me,” Muni Long, April 6, 2024
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“Made for Me” takes the throne from SZA’s “Snooze,” which pauses its No. 1 domination after a record-breaking 36 nonconsecutive weeks on charge, but remains virtually even in radio airplay compared to the prior week. But don’t count the juggernaut out just yet: During its historic run, “Snooze” was bounced twice from the top spot – two weeks each for Usher, Summer Walker and 21 Savage’s “Good Good” and Victoria Monet’s “On My Mama” – but recovered each time.
Steady support from both adult R&B and mainstream R&B/hip-hop stations give “Made for Me” enough radio audience to manage the win. It adds a third week atop the Mainstream R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay chart even with a 5% decline in plays for the week. On Adult R&B Airplay, despite having peaked at No. 2 in December, the track remains in high rotation, improving 6-5 on the latest chart, essentially remaining even in plays during the last tracking week compared to the prior frame. The consistency dates to the single’s second wind following viral buzz on TikTok for clips based on its “twin, where have you been?” lyric.
Elsewhere, the tune climbs on Rhythmic Airplay, with a 10-7 boost after a 22% surge in weekly plays at the format. Coupled with strong results on the R&B/hip-hop side, the gains help “Made for Me” push 18-14 on the all-genre Radio Songs chart. There, the hit added 10% in audience to reach 33.5 million for the week across all genre formats.
For the second time in three weeks, a new standard has been set for single-week units moved in 2024. Two weeks after Ariana Grande’s Eternal Sunshine debuted with a year-best 227,000 units, according to Luminate, Future and Metro Boomin have raised the bar to 251,000 with their first full-length collaborative album We Don’t Trust You.
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While the album easily tops the Billboard 200 with its impressive first-week mark — set almost entirely through streams, with the album’s 17 tracks racking up a combined 324.31 official on-demand U.S. streams in its debut frame — its explosive Kendrick Lamar team-up “Like That” bows atop the Billboard Hot 100, with four other songs from the project also entering the chart’s top 10. The song debuts with 59.6 million streams, the top mark for 2024 so far, with interest in it largely driven by Lamar’s fiery verse, which takes implied shots at fellow rap stars J. Cole and Drake.
What does the success of “Like That” and We Don’t Trust You tell us about hip-hop in 2024? And can the duo maintain their momentum through a second full-length project this year? Billboard writers discuss these questions and more below.
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1. Future and Metro Boomin’s We Don’t Trust You post’s the year’s best first-week tally this week with its 251,000 units moved, good for an easy No. 1 debut. Is this performance particularly meaningful to either Future’s or Metro’s careers, do you think, or is it mostly just par for the course for two of the most consistently successful figures of hip-hop’s last decade?
Jason Lipshutz: On paper, the quarter-million debut of We Don’t Trust You may seem like part for the course for two of hip-hop’s most bankable stars — but considering all of the chatter around “Like That,” the multiple other songs launched into the top 10 of the Hot 100, the still-mighty streaming performance of the album 10 days after its debut and the potential of an imminent sequel, Future and Metro Boomin have kicked off the spring in dominant fashion, and their album has become the biggest story in rap. Metro was already ascending as a front-line star thanks to Heroes & Villains and Future is no stranger to the top of the charts, but this project has functioned as a commanding moment in both of their respective careers, and feels particularly meaningful for their legacies.
Heran Mamo: The success of We Don’t Trust You reinforces Future and Metro’s consistency as chart-topping hitmakers, but the album’s performance is a little more meaningful to Future’s career. We Don’t Trust You marks his ninth No. 1 album, a feat he’s accomplished in 2015 (twice), 2016, 2017 (twice), 2019, 2020, 2022 and now 2024. This not only speaks to Future’s consistency, but also his longevity in the rap game and validates his continued ascent into rarefied air.
If the second Future x Metro album that’s dropping in two weeks also goes No. 1, that means he will not only have earned his 10th Billboard 200 No. 1 album, but that he will have also notched two No. 1 projects in the same year in three different years: 2015 (What a Time to Be Alive and DS2), 2017 (Future and Hndrxx) and 2024. He’d tie Elvis Presley and Eminem for the eighth-most No. 1 albums and be in fourth place among rappers, after Jay-Z (14), Drake (13) and Ye (11).
Michael Saponara: I’d lean Metro for sure. He made a name for himself carving out hits behind-the-scenes as a beat maestro, but now he’s elevated his brand to another level as a commercial superstar being billed as the lead artist on tracks/albums. Between the success of the Grammy-nominated Heroes & Villains and the visibility gained from helming the Spider-Verse soundtrack, Young Metro has shown versatility and can really take this winning streak in any direction he wants. With another bona fide solo project, Metro could overtake the lane DJ Khaled has occupied for the last 15 years or so if he pleases. It doesn’t sound like the train’s going to slow down either as MB promised at least three albums this year.
Damien Scott: Future and Metro’s We Don’t Trust You going No. 1 was expected. They are two of the biggest artists in rap right now, and this was one of the most anticipated albums of the past few years. Future and Metro are coming off the biggest solo projects of their careers with I Never Liked You and Heroes & Villains, respectfully. And, despite having worked together on numerous songs over the years, the two have never released an official joint project. (Sure, Metro produced the bulk of What a Time to Be Alive, but that vision was more Drake and Future’s own.) So, when Metro told Ebro the reason he didn’t have any songs on I Never Liked You was because he was saving tracks for a different Future project, everyone’s been amped to see what the two longtime collaborators cooked up together.
Andrew Unterberger: I don’t know that it’s necessarily that huge a breakthrough for either artist at this point in their respective careers, but it does show that Metro Boomin is an A-lister on par with all but maybe a handful of MCs in hip-hop right now. Lest we forget, Future’s full-length team-ups haven’t always gone so great: What a Time to Be Alive (with Drake) was something of a classic, sure, but when was the last time you listened to WRLD on Drugs (with Juice WRLD) or Pluto x Baby Pluto (with Lil Uzi Vert)? But there was little doubt that Future and Metro would make collaborative magic together — and indeed, passed even the 222,000 units that Future moved in the debut frame for his most recent solo effort, 2022’s I Never Liked You.
2. “Like That” also bows at No. 1 on the Hot 100 with the year’s best single-week streaming tally. Do you see the degree of its success as being mostly attributable to the firestorm surrounding Kendrick Lamar’s seeming callout of fellow superstars J. Cole and Drake? If Lamar’s verse had been similarly inspired but with less direct targeting, do you think the song still debuts at No. 1?
Jason Lipshutz: In the first few days of its release, I would have mostly chalked up its enormous streaming success to the curiosity factor around Kendrick’s verse… but now that the dust has settled a bit, “Like That” has established itself as a sledgehammer of a single, even in its first half before K. Dot arrives. The “Everlasting Bass” lift, the zonked-out Future hook and the “Eazy-Duz-It” schoolyard sing-along all serve as prelude to its guest star’s fury; even without the thinly veiled shots, everything about the song hums along effectively. “Like That” would have fallen out of rotation if it was solely based around some inflammatory lines, but Future and Metro Boomin engineered a standout track around the disses.
Heran Mamo: Dot’s diss is undoubtedly the biggest reason why “Like That” had such a splashy No. 1 debut. And he’s a straight shooter with no time for subliminal targeting. Just go back and listen to Big Sean’s 2013 track “Control,” where Kendrick called out 11 rappers – including J. Cole, Drake and even Sean – by saying, “I’m usually homeboys with the same n—as I’m rhymin’ with/ But this is hip-hop, and them n—as should know what time it is/…. I got love for you all, but I’m tryna murder you n—as.” He’s kept that same energy for over a decade.
And while Dot has been nothing but direct, Drake has contained the sneak dissing to his Instagram captions (for now) — even though he and J. Cole have had prime opportunities to clap back more candidly during their It’s All a Blur Tour — Big As the What? Cole’s Dreamville Festival is coming up this weekend, so maybe we’ll hear something from either of them then. In Drake’s 2013 Billboard cover story, he didn’t have much to say and dismissed Dot’s diss on “Control.” “I didn’t really have anything to say about it. It just sounded like an ambitious thought to me. That’s all it was,” he said. “I know good and well that Kendrick’s not murdering me, at all, in any platform. So when that day presents itself, I guess we can revisit the topic.” Well, Aubrey, I believe the time has come.
Michael Saponara: I think there’s a good chance it still debuts at No. 1, but by not nearly as wide of a margin. “Like That” still would have been a standout on the collab effort but the massive buzz from K. Dot taking aim at Drizzy and Cole only boosted the track to another stratosphere. For Metro and Future, they were mostly competing with themselves — as “Type S–t” featuring Playboi Carti and Travis Scott would have been the other option heading for the top slot.
Damien Scott: “Like That” debuting at No. 1 on the Hot 100 is very likely due to Kendrick going at Drake and J. Cole. That’s not to say the song needed the verse. The track was already a standout on the album before Kendrick’s verse started. As soon as you heard Future sliding over the “Everlasting Bass” sample, you knew the song was going to be special. The Kendrick verse was just the icing on the cake. There’s an argument to be made that Future’s verses are better but, come on — this is rap. There’s no denying how exciting a good battle is. Especially when it involves the best in the game. It’s rare when a rap diss is also a great song. You can count them on your fingers and have some digits to spare. So, it’s not surprising people went so crazy for it that it topped the charts.
Andrew Unterberger: The year’s-best marks wouldn’t have happened without the drama, I don’t think, but a blistering Future & Metro Boomin song with a rare fire-breathing cameo from Kendrick Lamar? That certainly sounds like a recipe for a No. 1 to me, almost regardless of subject matter. The fact that “Like That” is actually good is as important as the fact that it started the year’s biggest hip-hop s–tstorm, certainly.
3. Between Megan Thee Stallion’s “Hiss” and “Like That,” we’ve now seen two rap diss tracks debut at No. 1 in 2024, where at this point last year we still hadn’t had a single rap song of any kind reach the chart’s apex. Why do you think beef is moving the needle like this in 2024 — and do you agree with Metro that the success of song and single here is a sign that hip-hop is alive and well?
Jason Lipshutz: Celebrity gossip is always going to be highly valued currency: regardless of the medium, “Did you see what THIS famous person said about THAT famous person?” remains a vital component in popular culture. Rap beef is obviously not a novel concept, although the A-list players involved in both “Hiss” and “Like That” are enough to transcend hardcore hip-hop fans and reach casual listeners who want to crane their necks and see what’s going on. And the fact that modern rap contains such larger-than-life personalities that the greater population is interested when they’re fighting speaks to how healthy popular hip-hop is right now.
Heran Mamo: It’s damn near impossible not to be tuned into beef if you’re a rap fan. Songs like “Hiss” and “Like That” will have you sitting on your couch, snacking on popcorn and scrolling through your phone to see which rapper is taking shots next and who they’re targeting and how it’s going to escalade. Diss tracks evoke larger conversations not just online but also IRL, and those who need to be up to speed on what’s happening inevitably have to listen to the songs that ignited it all, which have allowed “Hiss” and “Like That” to shoot to No. 1.
This level of competitiveness and s–t-talking is at the core of hip-hop’s spirit, so I definitely agree with Metro that the genre is alive and well. We’re 14 weeks into the year, and out of the nine Hot 100 No. 1 songs we’ve had, four have been rap songs: “Lovin on Me” by Jack Harlow, “Hiss,” “Carnival” by ¥$: Ye and Ty Dolla Sign feat. Rich the Kid and Playboi Carti, and “Like That.” Rap is off to a great start in 2024, especially compared to where it was at this point in 2023, so I have high hopes for the genre.
Michael Saponara: Controversy sells. Hip-hop has been built on its fair share of historic feuds over the years and while the landscape of rap beef has changed its warfare tactics with the introduction of social media, fans are always going to indulge when the competitive juices get flowing in battle. It seems like social media is extending the shelf life of diss records at times with beef maintaining a buzz in the culture longer than traditional songs, which feel more disposable than ever. Hip-hop is definitely “alive and well,” with three rap albums and four different rap songs reaching No. 1 on the Billboard 200 and Hot 100 charts after what felt like a possible slip thanks to a quieter 2023 commercially.
Damien Scott: Social media has also played a big part in moving rap away from lyrical sparring. Instead of throwing on a beat and making a song, a lot of artists now just take to Instagram or TikTok or X to tell their fans why they’re better than their competition. So, when an artists actually do engage in a real battle — especially the biggest rap artists in the world — people’s ears perk up and fans get excited. I don’t know if I agree that it’s a sign that hip-hop is alive and well, after all, these guys have been around for at least 15 years. Meg is the youngest out of all of them at 29. That said, it is a sign that all is not lost. Hopefully, younger artists see the success of these songs and see that some of the traditional elements of the genre are worth saving.
Andrew Unterberger: Rumors of rap’s demise have long been greatly exaggerated — just because hip-hop isn’t displaying the cartoonish level of dominance it did in 2018 doesn’t mean it isn’t still easily the biggest genre in popular music. But is this particular evidence of hip-hop being in a good, healthy place? I dunno. Certainly, it never hurts to have the genre providing music’s biggest action of the season, but the fact that all the names involved in this particular drama are ones who’ve been part of rap’s ruling class for a decade already, at least partially reheating old beefs, doesn’t strike me as the most important indicator of the genre’s current vitality. When we see credible 25-and-under challengers to the throne mixing it up with the so-called Big Three, that’s when I’ll really be excited for hip-hop’s alive-and-wellness.
4. While “Hiss” was able to achieve tremendous first-week excitement, it was not able to sustain it: within a month and a half, it was off the Hot 100 entirely. Do you see “Like That” having a similar trajectory, or do you think it’s in it for the long haul?
Jason Lipshutz: Long haul, for sure. Not only is Kendrick Lamar’s verse on “Like That” a more explosive takedown than Megan’s disses, but the song around it is more compelling than “Hiss”; plus, the early streaming returns in its second week suggest that “Like That” is still earning plenty of plays even as the controversy has quieted down a bit. Although it’s only been a week and a half, I think “Like That” has a chance to be one of the biggest hits of 2024.
Heran Mamo: If the beef continues and intensifies, “Like That” could have a longer run on the Hot 100. I’ve seen a lot of TikTok videos of fans praising Metro’s expert sample of Rodney-O and Joe Cooley’s 1986 track “Everlasting Bass,” so they’ve found other elements of the song (outside of Kendrick’s headline-making verse) to hold onto. But I’ve also seen a lot of Photoshopped rap Avengers posters on the internet that suggest “Like That” has initiated a larger war, which suggests it could have longevity.
I’m curious to see if there’s going to be another buzzier track on their upcoming second album. At this point, the only thing that’s going to be bigger than a Kendrick Lamar-featuring diss track against Drake and J. Cole is a track with 21 Savage that solidifies which side he’s on, considering that’s what a lot of people have been wondering about, given the rapper’s tight-knit relationship with both Metro and Drake.
Michael Saponara: “Like That” is going to stick around for the long haul as I expect We Don’t Trust You to remain a commercial juggernaut for the foreseeable future. The only thing that could be tricky here is Metro and Future outdoing themselves with another project on the way in a couple of weeks. The Nicki Minaj-Megan Thee Stallion feud burned bright and burned fast. With Megan releasing “Hiss” independently and the serpentine-themed track not really catching on at radio (No. 40 peak on the R&B/Hip-Hop Airplay Chart), it didn’t have the staying power for a mainstream hit.
Damien Scott: Again, “Like That” is a great song despite the Kendrick verse. Because it’s already getting radio play, playlist placements — and, according to some anecdotal evidence, getting spun in the club — there’s a good chance of this song sticking around. Even if it falls from number one, I think it will stay in the top 10 as people anticipate a response from Drake and J. Cole. “Hiss,” while a good song, didn’t have the momentum “Like That” now enjoys, likely because many didn’t expect much to come of Megan’s beef with Nicki Minaj.
Andrew Unterberger: I think it’ll stick around — but I also thought that about “Hiss,” and was quickly proven wrong, so I’m a little more hesitant to be so bullish this time around. I also would’ve pegged “Texas Hold ‘Em” and then “Carnival” as long-lasting No. 1s, and they seem to be tapping out at a combined three weeks on top. There’s just a lot going on this year, with more big names and big songs getting into the game every week, and folks seem to be moving on from last week’s news a little quicker than they have the past couple years.
5. A second full-length teamup is supposedly due from Future & Metro later this month. Do you think they can build on this excitement and do even better the second time out, or is some commercial recession inevitable coming so soon after the first time?
Jason Lipshutz: I’d expect some commercial recession, but who knows! Maybe there’s another song on Part II that’s even more incendiary than “Like That,” or something that comments on the existing controversy around Kendrick’s verse. Topping the biggest debut week of the year a few weeks later is a tall order, but depending on what’s actually on the album, anything is possible.
Heran Mamo: Putting out two full-length albums only three weeks apart is ambitious, and outside of “Like That,” I would’ve liked to see other standout tracks like “Type Shit” cook a little more before serving fans an entirely different menu. However, dropping back-to-back projects is a signature Future move: He had a legendary run in 2014-2015 when he released three mixtapes in five months – Monster, Beast Mode and 56 Nights – that successfully set him up for his culturally influential DS2 album, which earned Pluto his first Billboard 200 No. 1 album. Two months later, he completed his victory lap when he teamed up with Drake (RIP to that duo) for What A Time To Be Alive, which Metro executive produced, and it earned him his second No. 1 album. He did it again in 2017, when he dropped Future and Hndrxx one week apart from each other, and both topped the Billboard 200. Given his track record, the new set could one-up We Don’t Trust You.
Michael Saponara: A minor commercial recession seems inevitable with the years-long anticipation behind We Don’t Trust You and Kendrick Lamar throwing gas on the fire taking it to new heights. Although, I could envision a scenario where the hype is through the roof if Drake somehow responds to “Like That” in the time until the next project’s arrival, addressing the OVO static with Future and Metro.
Damien Scott: Some commercial recession is inevitable. Just look at the last time Future released back-to-back albums. In 2017, when he dropped Future and Hndrxx a week apart, the second of the two, the more impassioned Hndrxx didn’t perform as well as the first offering. Granted, Future, in a way similar to We Don’t Trust You, was helped greatly by a viral Metro-produced single, “Mask Off.” The song took off on social media becoming a meme and inspiring tons of TikTok videos. None of the singles from Hndrxx enjoyed the same sort of virality. Without another hit that completely and utterly dominates the conversation, it’s safe to say we’ll see a dip, even if slight, in the performance of the upcoming project.
Andrew Unterberger: Really depends what they have up their sleeve for Vol. 2. Doesn’t seem like Future and Metro would unleash a first volume with as big a secret weapon as “Like That” buried in its tracklist and not have something similarly major planned as the ace in the hole for its follow up. Will be hard to compete with the consensus best rapper of his generation calling out the unquestionable biggest rapper of his generation, but I’d bet it’ll still be something to capture a lot of eyes and ears.