Audacy
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Radio broadcaster Audacy has begun talks with its lenders to restructure the company’s debt as a soft advertising market clouds its long-term outlook. The discussions, first reported by the Wall Street Journal, follow the May 10 statement by chairman/president/CEO David Field during the company’s first quarter earnings call that Audacy was “finalizing its preparation to […]
A couple of years after the COVID-19 pandemic took radio listeners out of their vehicles and a recession caused an advertising slowdown, the radio industry is experiencing another decline. That has complicated the financial position of Audacy, the second-largest radio company in the United States and a major player in the podcast market.
Warning lights appeared again last week when the company revealed in its May 10th 10-Q filing that “current macroeconomic conditions” such as rising inflation and interest rates and lower advertising revenue “have created, and may continue to create, significant uncertainty in operations.” Those factors “have had, and are expected to continue to have, a material adverse effect” on Audacy’s forecasted revenue, which is “unlikely to be sufficient” to maintain compliance of the financial debt covenants its lenders impose to ensure it can make its interest payments. As a result, Audacy explained, the company could default on its debt — which could then cause that debt to become immediately payable.
On Tuesday (May 16), a week after the March 10 filing, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) decided to halt trading of Audacy’s shares in order to delist the company. It was an expected move. Audacy, which changed its name from Entercom in March 2021, last traded at $0.09 per share — down nearly 63% year-to-date — before trading on the NYSE was halted. The NYSE, which has rules to maintain minimum share prices, issued a warning to Audacy on July 31 because its average closing price over a consecutive-day trading period was below $1. Audacy last closed above $1 per share on July 5, 2022 — meaning it remained below $1 for 218 consecutive trading days.
Investors have lost some faith in radio companies’ stocks as advertising growth weakened in 2022. Year-to-date, shares of iHeartMedia, the nation’s largest radio company, have fallen 55.3%. Likewise, shares of Cumulus Media, the third-largest radio company, are down 47.5%. Market conditions appear to be improving, however. iHeartMedia expects its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) to improve throughout 2023, CEO Bob Pittman said during the company’s May 2 earnings call. “And if this advertising market recovery trend continues in 2024,” Pittman added, “we expect to resume our growth trajectory that was interrupted by this period of advertising softness.”
The advertising market is part of Audacy’s problem, but it’s not the entire problem, according to Craig Huber, media analyst at Huber Research Partners. “The number one issue is too much debt in a secular declining industry,” says Huber. Audacy acquired most of its $1.9 billion of long-term debt from its 2017 merger with CBS Radio. That deal increased Audacy’s revenue more than four-fold, from $367 million in 2016 to $1.7 billion in 2018, but also increased its debt from $468 million at the end of 2016 to $1.86 billion at the end of 2017.
The debt has been a drag on Audacy’s cash flow. In 2022, Audacy’s net interest expense was $107.5 million — about 8.6% of the company’s annual revenue of $1.25 billion. After paying interest to service its debt, Audacy’s free cash flow in 2022 was -$31.8 million. “They haven’t done enough to take out costs” to achieve positive free cash flow, says Huber, and revenue hasn’t met the company’s own expectations.
When the merger with CBS Radio was announced in 2017, the combined companies had adjusted EBITDA of $500 million, including “expected transaction synergies,” according to the press release. In 2022, adjusted EBITDA was just $138 million. Even though Audacy was in compliance with its debt covenants on March 31, the company has expressed concern about its ability “to continue as a going concern” over the next 12 months.
Audacy operates in a difficult business that’s losing listening time as people change their listening habits and migrate to streaming platforms. Although Audacy, like iHeartMedia and Cumulus, has invested in digital platforms — it acquired podcasting companies Pineapple Street and Cadence13 in 2019 and was the No. 8 podcasting network in Q3 and Q4, according to Edison Research — revenue fell about 14% between 2018, the first full year after the CBS Radio merger, and 2022.
With no way around the soft advertising market, Audacy has started cutting costs and selling non-core assets. The company expects its costs will decline 4%, or $35 million, in the last three quarters of 2023, chairman/president/CEO David Field said during the May 10 earnings call. He also said the company raised $17 million in the first quarter from sales of broadcast towers and expects to close on the sale of two stations for $15.5 million in the second or third quarter.
As for Audacy’s stock, trading volume will decrease now that it’s been delisted. Since it started selling only over the counter (through a broker-deal, not on an exchange), the share price has fallen: On Wednesday, Audacy shares declined nearly 24% to $0.04, and they ended the week at $0.06.
The company will now take steps to get back to the NYSE. “While we are disappointed by the NYSE’s decision, we are hopeful we will find our way back to the exchange later this year as we execute our action plans which include a reverse stock split to satisfy NYSE rules, the continued execution of our liability management plans and working with our financial advisors to refinance our debt,” Field said in a May 16 press release. Shareholders will vote on the reverse stock split at the annual meeting on May 24. By working with the factors it can control, Audacy can soften the impact of the broader market conditions it cannot control.
The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) has notified radio and podcast giant Audacy of its plan to delist the company’s Class A common stock from the exchange over its consistently low share price, Audacy announced Tuesday (May 16).
According to a press release, “the NYSE will consider commencing delisting procedures when a company’s listed securities experience an abnormally low selling price.” The NYSE abruptly halted trading of Audacy’s stock at 2 p.m. ET on Tuesday, when shares were trading for $.094 — down slightly from $.10 at the start of the day. The company’s share price is down nearly 63% since the beginning of the year.
NYSE rules require a minimum average closing price of $1 per share over 30 consecutive trading days, but Audacy’s share price hasn’t traded above that threshold since July 5, 2022.
The NYSE has applied to the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to delist Audacy’s stock. While that process plays out, trading in the company’s common stock on the exchange will be suspended, though it can still be traded over the counter.
Audacy signaled its intent to appeal the delisting by filing a written request, which it is required to do within 10 days of receiving the delisting notice. If that appeal is successful, the stock may resume trading on the NYSE.
In a statement, Audacy president/CEO David J. Field said that while the company is “disappointed” in the NYSE’s decision, he is “hopeful” that Audacy stock will start trading on the exchange again later this year “as we execute our action plans which include a reverse stock split to satisfy NYSE rules, the continued execution of our liability management plans and working with our financial advisors to refinance our debt.”
Field also stated that the company is confident it “will benefit from a general market recovery and will be able to capitalize on our investments in strategic transformation that position Audacy well for the future.”
Radio companies have been slammed by an advertising slowdown since the second half of 2022, and Audacy has been particularly hard-hit. In its first-quarter earnings released Wednesday (May 10), the company’s net revenue of $259.6 million was down 5.7% year-over-year, while cash operating expenses were up 3%. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) was $3.5 million, compared to $26 million in the first quarter of 2022.
On a May 10 earnings call, Audacy CFO Richard Schmaeling noted that the company’s network advertising revenue fell 6% year-over-year due to inflation and rising interest rates (though its podcast advertising revenue was up 14%). He warned that advertising demand has “further softened” since the start of 2023 and added that “it could get worse before it gets better,” noting that the company “is continuing to work to accelerate revenue growth, develop and execute added cost reduction actions and to sell other noncore assets.”
“However,” Schmaeling continued, “these actions may not be sufficient to fully mitigate the impact of potential further advertising weakness.”
U.S. radio companies aren’t exactly struggling through post-pandemic recoveries, but economic conditions are preventing a stronger comeback.
The earnings releases of four U.S.-based, publicly traded radio companies – iHeartMedia, Cumulus Media, Audacy and Townsquare Media – reveal an industry in flux. While the music streaming and satellite radio businesses enjoy some security from subscription-based models that can withstand economic upheaval, the radio industry depends on advertising dollars that can fluctuate greatly. Ongoing economic problems caused some advertisers to pull back in the third quarter and cloud radio’s future.
According to Cumulus Media CEO Mary Berner, “starting in late Q2, national advertisers reduced marketing to mitigate the headwinds they face from inflationary pressures, persistent supply chain issues, finance, market turmoil and overall recession risks,” she explained during the company’s Oct. 28 earnings call. Collectively, the macroeconomic pressures resulted in a decline in broadcast revenues of roughly 5% in the third quarter, said Berner, and was the “main driver” in the company’s 2% decline in total revenue to $233.5 million.
iHeartMedia CEO Bob Pittman lamented during the company’s Nov. 3 earnings call that the business “doesn’t have the robustness that we expected.” Still, iHeartMedia, the country’s largest radio company, landed at the high end of its revenue guidance with total revenue of $989 million, up 7% from the prior-year period. Revenue of its multi-platform group — which includes broadcast radio — was $659.0 million, up 0.1% year-over-year, with the help of political advertising. “This will be the best non-presidential political year that we’ve had,” said president, COO and CFO Rich Bressler.
Townsquare Media’s third-quarter revenue of $120.6 million came in at the low end of its guidance range — $120 million to $127 million — and its adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of $30.9 million hit the midpoint of its guidance range of $30 million to $32 million.
Audacy was hurt by advertisers’ pullback in the third quarter. Revenue dropped 3.8% to $317 million, and radio revenues dropped 6%, due to “a substantial deterioration of market conditions,” president and CEO David Field said on the company’s Tuesday (Nov. 8) earnings call. “This has obviously taken a toll on our EBITDA and [debt] leverage and has raised concerns.”
Digital remains radio companies’ growth engines. S&P Global Market Intelligence forecasts radio digital revenues to climb 4.8% next year. iHeartMedia’s digital audio segment, which includes its podcasting business, grew 23.4% year-over-year to $254 million in the third quarter. That accounted for 26% of the company’s consolidated revenue, up from 12% in the first quarter of 2020. Podcasting revenue alone accounted for $91.3 million, up 42.1% year-over-year. At Cumulus, digital revenue growth of 20% far outstripped overall revenue growth of 5% in the third quarter. Within its digital segment, podcasting revenue grew 27% year-over-year. Townsquare Media’s digital revenue increased 17%, accounting for half of total revenues, and helped the company set records for third-quarter net revenue and adjusted EBITDA.
Radio companies have taken measures to weather financial uncertainty that will extend into 2023. Cost-cutting remains popular after companies sharply reduced expenses in 2020. IHeartMedia saved about $250 million from 2020 to 2021 — a reduction of historical annualized cost base of about 10% — and targeted an additional $75 million of annual savings this year, said Bressler. Cumulus is “on track to be more than $75 million below the 2019 baseline” of fixed costs, said Berner. Audacy added to its cash reserves by selling real estate worth $56 million in the third quarter and has plans for additional sales.
S&P Global Market Intelligence expects radio local spot advertising to improve by 3% and national ad revenues to grow 1.5%, both down significantly from 2022 growth levels. Solomon Partners estimates 0.8% audio ad spending growth in 2023 based on major advertising agency forecasts from Dentsu, GroupM, Zenith and Magna.
Whatever happens in 2023, radio companies are better prepared than they were for the pandemic in 2020. That downturn “was probably the swiftest and worst downturn I’ve ever lived through,” said iHeartMedia’s Pittman. “And even in that year we had positive free cash flow.”
Still, economic pressures have weighed heavily on radio companies’ share prices. Barrington lowered its price target for iHeartMedia shares from $18 to $13 in an investor note issued Monday. iHeartMedia shares fell 15.1% over Tuesday and Wednesday, to $6.61. Year to date, iHeartMedia shares are down 68.6%.
Shares of Cumulus Media rose 8.9% following its third-quarter earnings release on Oct. 28 — although the stock gave back those gains and more over the next week and a half. As of Wednesday, Cumulus shares are down a relatively mild 38.7% year-to-date. Investors pushed up the share price 39.9% on April 14 on news of a takeover bid by a consortium led by radio veteran Jeff Warshaw. Cumulus rejected the offer and instead offered shareholders a $50 million stock repurchase program. In June, Cumulus spent $25 million to purchase 1.7 million shares, or 8.7% of outstanding Class A shares.
Audacy shares fell 6.3% to $0.298 on Wednesday following the company’s third-quarter earnings release, bringing the year-to-date decline to 88.3%. Audacy shares were trading at $0.59 per share on Aug. 1 when the company was notified by the New York Stock Exchange that it was not in compliance with a listing standard that requires a minimum closing price of $1 over 30 consecutive trading days.