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Last week, Bloomberg reported that Spotify will be raising prices for its premium subscription in five markets later this month and do the same in the United States at an unspecified time later this year. For about $1 to $2 extra per month, depending on the market, premium users will receive audiobooks alongside podcasts and ad-free music listening in their subscription — but the change will have a knock-on effect for mechanical royalty rates for songwriters and publishers.

Once the price increases are launched, all premium subscribers will automatically be subject to the new offering unless they manually change their subscription tier. While the increased price will result in Spotify getting increased revenue, a representative for Spotify believes it also qualifies the popular premium tier for a discount on its royalty rate on U.S. mechanicals because it is now considered a “bundle,” similar to how Amazon bundles Prime and Amazon Music and Apple bundles Apple Music and Apple News.

“Spotify is on track to pay publishers and societies more in 2024 than in 2023,” a Spotify rep said, citing the company’s Loud and Clear report that says the streamer has paid nearly $4 billion to publishers, PROs and collection societies in the last two years.

“As our industry partners are aware, changes in our product portfolio mean that we are paying out in different ways based on terms agreed to by both streaming services and publishers. Multiple DSPs have long paid a lower rate for bundles versus a standalone music subscription, and our approach is consistent,” the company added. Though Spotify premium users have already gotten access to audiobooks on the service since October for no additional charge, the company clarified to Billboard that its re-classification of the tier as a “bundle” is not retroactive to when it began testing audiobooks but only begins when the subscription price increases.

Music publishers have made it clear they are not going to accept the change without a fight. David Israelite, president/CEO of the National Music Publishers’ Association (NMPA), called out the service for the move, saying that “it appears Spotify has returned to attacking the very songwriters who make its business possible.” He went on to add that the company’s attempt to “radically reduce payments” to publishers and songwriters is “a cynical and potentially unlawful move.” If it is determined that Spotify’s move is not properly categorized as a bundle, the trade organization says it will consider “all options,” including the MLC or publishers taking Spotify to court or before the Copyright Royalty Board (CRB), the entity that sets mechanical royalty rates for streaming in the United States. “We will not stand for their perversion of the settlement we agreed upon in 2022,” he warned.

Nashville Songwriters Association International (NSAI) took to Instagram, urging their followers to cancel their subscriptions: “NSAI, along with the the @nmpaorg, is contemplating our next steps to fight this move. Stay tuned, but in the meantime remember they are doing all this in the worst possible show of disrespect to the songwriters who make them billions.”

Songwriters of North America CEO Michelle Lewis shared the perspective of songwriters, telling Billboard, “We are disappointed, but not surprised, to see Spotify once again on the forefront of finding ways to pay songwriters less. This reclassification, which we see as a deliberate misclassification, dangerously undermines the good faith of the last CRB settlement. It’s also duly noted that it is always the same company leading in this way.”

Phonorecords IV Settlement

Every five years, the CRB reconsiders the royalty rate for mechanicals in the United States. It is a complex, multi-pronged formula, setting the rate that each streaming service must pay to publishers and songwriters based on a number of contingent factors, including the subscription price, the amount the service pays to record labels and more. There are other caveats to consider when setting the rate based on how the user is subscribed with their streaming service, including whether the music was streamed on a free, ad-supported tier or on a paid, premium tier and whether the user is subscribed to the service through a bundle of other products.

In late 2022, NMPA, NSAI and Digital Media Association (DiMA) jointly announced that they had come to a voluntary settlement about what the U.S. mechanical royalty rate would be for the period of 2023-2027 (also called Phonorecords IV or “Phono IV”).

Even though the changes to the way bundling worked were considered a concession to streaming services, many in the music business celebrated the Phono IV settlement as an overall win, especially because the previous five-year rate (Phono III) was fought over for years, causing confusion over rates in the interim. When it was announced, the NMPA touted the Phono IV settlement as delivering the “highest rates in the history of digital streaming,” and many felt it signaled a new era of cooperation between streaming services and the music business. Israelite says now in his statement that Spotify’s latest move to bundle audiobooks “ends our period of relative peace.”

How Bundling Affects Mechanical Revenue

Even though the price of Spotify premium is rising, that additional revenue does not benefit songwriters and publishers. Now that premium is considered a bundled service with audiobooks, some of the subscription price is owed to book publishers and authors to license their works, too.

Mechanical revenue for bundles is calculated by seeing what audiobooks are valued at as a standalone offering ($9.99) and weighing that against the price of the premium bundle offering ($10.99), according to Phonorecords IV. The value of music is found by dividing the total premium price ($10.99) by the two services (audiobooks only and premium) together ($21), which results in music being valued at about 52% of the total bundle, or around $5.70 per subscriber.

How Bundling Affects the Total Content Cost

The first step in calculating the mechanical royalty rate a streaming service owes to songwriters and publishers is to find the “all-in pool.” This is the greater of either the headline rate (which ranges from 15.1% for 2023, 15.2% for 2024, 15.25% for 2025, 15.3% for 2026, and 15.35% for 2027) of Spotify’s revenue (which is now lowered to around $5.70 per subscriber) or the percentage of total content cost (TCC), a.k.a. what royalty Spotify pays to labels.

Previously, Spotify premium qualified for the full rate of the lesser of 26.2% of TCC for the period or $1.10 per subscriber. Now, after deciding to change its premium offering to include audiobooks, Spotify argues it qualifies as a “bundled subscription offering,” which moves its rate down to 24.5% of TCC for the accounting period.

Regardless of whether Spotify calculates its royalties due to songwriters and publishers based on the percentage of TCC or the headline rate, both options are affected by Spotify reclassifying premium as a bundle. One source close to the matter tells Billboard that Spotify has been paying based on the TCC recently.