Several key races were too close to call.
Unlike last year, when Oppenheimer was a lock to win for best picture, this year no one was sure what would win the top award, with Anora, Conclave and The Brutalist all having a real shot. Also, the best actor race was unsettled. When A Complete Unknown star Timothée Chalamet won in that category at the SAG Awards one week before Oscar night, it made people think he might just score an Oscar-night upset over the season’s front-runner, Adrien Brody for The Brutalist. Best actress was also up in the air, with Mikey Madison (Anora) and Demi Moore (The Substance) locked in a tight race.
This is the second year in a row that a lead acting winner at the SAG Awards faltered at the Oscars. Last year, Lily Gladstone (Killers of the Flower Moon) won at the SAG Awards, but then lost to Emma Stone (Poor Things) at the Oscars. By contrast, in the two years before that, all four SAG acting winners went on to repeat at the Oscars. That’s good for them, but it’s a little bit predictable (read: boring) for most of the audience.



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